The biggest political news of the past few days is that the nonpartisan, highly respected Siena College poll reported that Democrat Gina Hinojosa is leading rightwing Governor Greg Abbott in Texas by four points, and Democrat James Talarico is leading Republican extremist Ken Paxton by six points in the Senate race.
This is the first major poll that shows the momentum of the Democratic candidates in Texas. if the trend continues, and if Texas flips blue, it would be a political earthquake. It would be a major defeat for Trumpism and the hard-right extremists who have run the state for the past three decades.
Texas is the state to watch in the 2026 election. It is a very conservative state, where political spending is overwhelmingly dominated by oil and gas billionaires and evangelical Christians, a few of whom are oil and gas billionaires. Texas has not elected a Democrat to a statewide office since 1994.
The Governor’s race is exciting. Republican Governor Greg Abbott is running for his fourth term. He is in cahoots with the oil and gas billionaires and with evangelicals. He delivered for both, with tax cuts for the rich and vouchers for religious schools.
His opponent, Gina Hinojosa, is the real deal–a mom who got into politics when state budget cuts threatened to close her son’s public school. She is the only major candidate in the country who has made public schools the centerpiece of her campaign. She believes that public schools are essential for democracy, and she has built her campaign around that issue. She has received support from MAGA Moms who don’t understand why Governor Abbott is contemptuous of their local public schools. She is also drawing strong support from independents.

Abbott is sitting on a campaign fund of $60 million. Gina has raised $6 million.
In the 36 hours after the Siena poll was released, showing that she has caught up with Abbott, Gina raised over $1 million.
Abbott is running on culture war issues. He opposes transgender athletes in women’s sports. He fought to put the Ten Commandments in every classroom in the state. He fought to get vouchers for anyone who wanted one, regardless of family income. He relentlessly accused public schools of “indoctrinating” students, without a shred of evidence, while his voucher plan pays students to attend religious schools whose very purpose is indoctrination into their faith.
Gina Hinojosa is campaigning on two big issues: saving public schools and affordability for working Texans. She talks about issues that directly affect the quality of life of working families, like health care, rising prices for electricity, the cost of living, and data centers.
Gina wants to bring people together and improve their ability to afford a good life. Abbott wants to target someone they can hate, to distract them from the cost of gasoline, rent, and food.
Gina has opposed data centers, while Abbott first supported them, then said he would conduct a study of their impact on power and water when he saw the bipartisan opposition to them.
Latino men, who supported Trump in 2024, are rejecting the Republican Party and Abbott because of Trump’s anti-immigrant policies and rhetoric. They have seen friends snatched away and disappear. Gina was born and raised in the Rio Grande Valley, which is heavily Hispanic. She is, of course, bilingual and can count on Latino support and excitement about a Latino governor.
Gina’s campaign ads are as fearless as she is. In one, she says: “I’m Gina Hinojosa. My pronouns are Mom, Texan and, soon to be, governor.”
Many people think she can’t win, because Democrats haven’t won in Texas in so many years. Abbott will say she is a “Communist,” a “Socialist,” a “radical leftwinger,” etc. She is none of those things. Abbott will insult and attack because he doesn’t want to discuss the issues that affect people’s lives.
Gina does bring those issues front and center.
The fact that he has so much more money than she does might make you feel pessimistic.
But even though he is sitting on $60 million, even though he is outspending her 10-1, she just surged ahead of him in the polls.
Gina is taking it to the people and telling them the truth: They don’t have to accept corrupt politicians who gin up inane culture war battles and ignore people’s need for good jobs, a decent living wage, high-quality childcare, affordable housing and food, good access to medical care, and strong public schools.
I have contributed to Gina’s campaign (and to James Talarico as well). I will give as much as I can. The corrupt politicians like Governor Greg Abbott, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick, and Attorney General Ken Paxton must go. It’s time to elect honest, hardworking people who care about every Texan, not just their billionaire donors.
It’s time for a change.
Here is Gina’s website. Contribute whatever you can.

Gina came to the Network for Public Education conference in Columbus, Ohio, in April 2025.





