After Nancy Pelosi was re-elected Speaker of the House, she gave a gracious speech in which she quoted Justice Louis Brandeis. She said, quoting him:
“‘As Justice Brandeis said, ‘We may have democracy, or we may have wealth concentrated in the hands of a few, but we can’t have both’”
This article was written by an economist at George Mason University (whose Economics Department was heavily influenced by gifts from the Koch brothers, who are low-tax libertarians). I suspect the Koch brothers would hate the views expressed here. Economist Steven Pearlstein addresses the issue raised by Pelosi:
The $786 million question: Does Steve Schwarzman — or anyone — deserve to make that much?
Last year, Stephen Schwarzman took home $786.5 million from the Blackstone Group, a leading private-equity firm that he co-founded and has run for more than 30 years. That sum included his salary, bonus and incentive fees totaling $125 million, plus more than $650 million Blackstone paid out as dividends associated with the sizable holding of Blackstone stock he retains as a founder and longtime executive. It was a big payday, to be sure, but not out of line with previous years, when Schwarzman’s Blackstone income ranged from $425 million to $734 million. Nor is it out of line with increases in wealth earned by a number of other billionaire financiers and company founders.
The question is: Do they deserve such extraordinary sums?
Schwarzman declined an invitation to talk through that question. But it’s a fair guess that as a staunch defender of free markets, he considers his take a proper reward for his talent, hard work, ingenuity and willingness to take risk over many years. In the past, he has criticized those who blame the wealthy for stagnant middle-class incomes and rising inequality. And when the Obama administration proposed a change in tax law that would have reduced his income, an outraged (and later apologetic) Schwarzman likened it to Adolf Hitler’s invasion of Poland.
In the theoretical models favored by economists, what Schwarzman or anyone else earns in the marketplace is thought to reflect how much we add to economic output — in the language of economics, our “marginal productivity.”
“My own reading of the evidence is that most of the very wealthy get that way by making substantial economic contribution,” Harvard economist Greg Mankiw wrote in a much remarked-upon essay a few years back that was titled “Defending the One Percent.”
Indeed, if we still had an economy of independent, self-sufficient farmers and artisans, Mankiw’s mental model might be the correct one. Someone could point to a bushel of tomatoes or a hand-knit sweater and credibly make the claim, “I produced that. It is the fruit of my labor, so what I earn from it in the competitive marketplace is my property, my just desert.”
But in a modern economy, creating products and services is a team sport, with individuals constantly interacting with other individuals and firms in complex arrangements that make it much more difficult to determine each person’s contribution to overall economic output. There are differences in market power between firms, and differences of individual power within firms, both of which have a significant effect on exactly who earns what.
One of the reasons Blackstone is so successful, for example, is that as one of the biggest private-equity firms, it gets a first look at most of the best investment opportunities. Everyone who works at, or invests with, Blackstone benefits from that kind of market power. And within Blackstone, Schwarzman has the “sole discretion” in setting the bonuses for top executives, according to its annual proxy filings.
More significantly, the amount anyone earns at Blackstone, or any other firm, is influenced by the rules, laws and norms that govern business behavior and market competition.
As someone who buys and sells companies, for example, Schwarzman has benefited handsomely from a uniquely American business environment in which companies are run with the single-minded focus of maximizing returns to shareholders and investors, rather than balancing the interests of all stakeholders.
The hotel companies and amusement parks that Blackstone has owned (Hilton, La Quinta, Motel 6, Six Flags, Busch Gardens) have benefited from a federal minimum wage that hasn’t budged in more than a decade, and labor laws that now make it almost impossible for workers to vote in a union at any company that is determined to stop them.
Over the past 30 years, the weakening of antitrust enforcement and regulations meant to protect consumers and investors have boosted the profits and increased the value of Blackstone-owned companies in the waste management, cable television, telephone, funeral and nursing home industries.
As a big investor in corporate debt, Blackstone also has benefited from bankruptcy rules that favor bondholders over workers, as it did in the restructuring of telecom firm Avaya in which $360 million in unfunded pension liabilities was effectively shifted to the government’s pension guarantee agency.
The extraordinarily low interest rates engineered by the Federal Reserve in recent years have boosted valuations for the many real estate investments that Blackstone has made, including its $37.7 billion purchase of Equity Office Properties at the top of the last real estate bubble. Low interest rates also have provided Blackstone with the financial headroom to shower its investors and executives with huge one-time dividends financed with debt.
Liberalized trade treaties have made it possible for Blackstone-owned firms such as Freescale Semiconductor and TRW Auto Parts to lower costs by moving work to low-wage countries overseas. The same treaties have also made it possible for Blackstone to attract more foreign investors, like the sovereign wealth funds of China and Saudi Arabia, while opening new investment opportunities for Blackstone abroad, such as Legoland and Versace.
Scharzman and his partners have benefited handsomely from the favorable tax treatment for “carried interest,” and the ability to defer taxes on profitable investments that are exchanged for new ones. And under the new law, their taxes will be lower, and returns higher, as a result of the new lower rates for corporations and partnerships. The repeal of the estate tax will also leave wealthy families with more money to invest in Blackstone funds.
The point here is not to quarrel with these policy choices (although there is much to quarrel with) or to suggest that Blackstone has benefited more than other firms (although that is probably the case). Rather, it is to illustrate that the amount that Schwarzman or anyone else earns in any year in the marketplace is determined in no small part by rules and norms that govern market competition.
Those rules and norms were not set in place by some all-knowing “invisible hand” — they were politically and socially determined. That is why wars have been fought over them, legislative battles have been waged over them and elections have been won and lost because of them. And it is why Blackstone and other companies spend lavishly on lobbying and electing friendly politicians who are in a position to shape them.
Under different sets of rules and norms, the market might have valued Schwarzman’s economic contribution last year at a measly $393 million — half of what he did receive, but surely still enough to persuade him to contribute his excellence.
Markets, in other words, are social constructs, and the idea that they generate a distribution of income based on a purely objective measure of individual economic contribution is a fiction, nothing more than free-market ideology. When it comes to the distribution of income, there is no “pure” market. Any distribution is, by its nature, “political,” reflecting changing social norms and the distribution of political power.
To point this out is not to suggest that I know of a more objective system for determining how income should distributed. Rather, it is to suggest that if we, as a society, decide that we find the current distribution of income unacceptable — if it offends our moral intuitions that a single financier earns as much in a year as 15,000 elementary school teachers — then it violates no great moral or economic principle to alter that distribution.
One way to make the distribution of income more equal would be to change some of the rules and norms that govern market competition.
Another would be to leave the rules and norms in place and alter the distribution after the market has delivered its judgment, through more progressive taxation and government spending.
The first has been called “predistribution,” the second redistribution, and there may be good economic and political reasons for favoring one or the other. But from a moral viewpoint, there is no meaningful distinction between the two. Both reflect the ways that societies determine the distribution of income based on subjective judgments of what is fair.
Defenders of free markets have long argued that shifting income away from those whom the market judges more talented and more productive would be to deny them their “just deserts.” But as a moral concept, just deserts is inadequate and incomplete.
For in determining whether any distribution of income is just, it is not enough to inquire whether someone has earned his income by playing by the rules. We must also look at the distribution of income and ask whether the rules themselves are fair and just.
Pearlstein is a business and economics columnist for The Washington Post and the Robison Professor of Public Affairs at George Mason University. He is also the author of “Can American Capitalism Survive? Why Greed is Not Good, Opportunity is Not Equal and Fairness Won’t Make Us Poor.”
Steven Pearlstein, a Washington Post economics columnist and the Robinson professor of public affairs at George Mason University, is the author of “Can American Capitalism Survive?”
Democracy Dies in Darkness
© 1996-2019 The Washington Post

It always amuses (bemuses) me that economists tend to be the poorest in their ability to follow the money, and figure out what plutocrats actually spend their money on, which has more to do with buying politicians, pundits, and propaganda than producing anything of value.
LikeLike
Economists are only good at spending money, not following it.
LikeLike
The $786 million question: Does Steve Schwarzman — or anyone — deserve to make that much?…NO!! Teachers in Indiana make less than they did in 1999 and Governor Holcomb has a budget that will not give any money for raises until 2021. Glad I’m not working in this Republican state. Idaho is near the bottom with Utah for worst funding in the nation. Why are red states so far down on the decency list? “Inflation level increases” means no improvement in living standards for teachers. Do districts even have union budget negotiations anymore if there is no money?
Money for tuition increases means voucher money will be increased. I will never understand why people vote for such incompetence.
…………………..
Holcomb administration unveils its two-year state budget proposal
INDIANAPOLIS — Gov. Eric Holcomb is proposing a two-year state budget that provides inflation-level increases for elementary and high school education, while also meeting Indiana’s growing costs for Medicaid and the Department of Child Services….
Approximately half the annual spending will go toward kindergarten through 12th grade education, with student tuition support set to receive a 2 percent funding bump in each year of the biennium, or an overall increase of $289 million.
Holcomb’s spending plan, presented Thursday to the State Budget Committee, does not include a specific line item for teacher pay raises or money to expand the state’s On My Way pre-kindergarten program beyond the 20 pilot counties, including Lake.
Instead, the governor is sticking to his previously announced schedule to provide a general school funding increase in the next budget, and to continue working toward a dedicated appropriation for teacher pay hikes during the 2021 legislative session…
https://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/holcomb-administration-unveils-its-two-year-state-budget-proposal/article_e373e34e-f399-57af-815c-0405e2997be4.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=email&utm_campaign=user-share
LikeLike
As to the 786 million dollars, that equates to over $400,000 for every working hour of the year, so the answer is “no.” That is ridiculous and an indicator as to how much the game has been rigged.
As to having “earned” their money through making substantial economic contributions: Jeff Bezos’s wife seems to be considering a divorce from her husband which would make her the richest woman in the U.S. Earned? Did the Walton kids “earn” their wealth? And the number of laws that have been written to favor the accumulation of wealth is staggering (oil depletion allowances, etc.). Earned? Bah.
LikeLike
Diane, your opening quote reminds me of many email exchanges I have had with researchers who try to make charters I to public schools which I believe is another false equivalency: you can have public education and you can have charter schools, but you can’t have both.
LikeLike
Arnold, you can have both but the charters suck the resources out of the public schools that enroll the majority of students, like a parasite weakening the host.
LikeLike
As a wise person once said
You can have public schools and you can have charter schools, but you can not have public charter schools.
LikeLike
A person deserves to earn the salary that the firm chooses to pay. If this individual is providing services that the firm and he can agree on, then he is earning the proper salary.
I work in engineering. I earn the salary that my firm and I have agreed on.
Same situation with this man.
LikeLike
Sure, then tax it appropriately. How do you set a value on the society’s allowing someone to accumulate so much wealth within that society? Perhaps we should charge more for the privilege of doing business in this environment. The economy can set income and the government can decide how much of that income should be for the common good. The government of the people allows individuals to make so much and decides how much of that income should go for the good of all. Then, too, perhaps we should also use different words to describe that income. Maybe “compensated” as opposed to “earned.”
LikeLike
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has proposed a marginal tax rate of 70% for all income over $10 million a year. No wonder the super-rich hate her. How will they get by on only $10 million a year plus 30% of anything above that? How will Betsy take care of her 10 yachts?
LikeLike
Even at 70%, this would translate into almost $236 million of ANNUAL income. Think about that. Or better yet, don’t.
LikeLike
Charles shows himself to be an ideologue uninterested in facts. Firms are managed by CEO’s answerable to a Board of Directors. Research shows that often boards exert little oversight. Sometimes the objectives of the Board members have nothing to do with the firm’s best interests. Sears and Simplicity are examples. Other research describes the favors that Boards have given to the CEO and the favors given by the CEO in return. Institutional investment companies often have majority ownership in the companies paying the huge management salaries. The investors they represent are often collectives of working people who are so distant from the decision making that there is, in reality, no control of pay at the top levels.
LikeLike
70 percent sounds very radical but it avoids the central question. Who should rule and who should decide what the wealth that we (workers, farmers, small business people, etc.) produce should be used for.
AOC and her Democratic Party co-thinkers defend continued rule by the donor class but with a more benign free market capitalism, a fantasy that is becoming clearer day by day–witness the latest “recovery”.
Self promoting tweets and empty slogans serve as continued cover for the two party trap that working people are in today.
Time for a real radical break that starts with solidarity for people like the teachers in Los Angeles and ends up with labor candidates that expose the two party swamp for what it is.
LikeLike
“The two-party swamp”
I like that description for Washington DC
From what I’ve been reading, the Democratic Party is starting to go through a metamorphoses being led by young, new age progressives like Alexandria and Tulsi.
Even the GOP might also be rebooted in a few years. I read this week that only 10 percent of under 50 Americans are fundamentalist evangelical Christians while the numbers are much higher for the over sixty conservatives. The piece said that by 2024, the evangelicals won’t have the numbers to be the tail that wags the GOP’s body.
LikeLike
Lloyd,
The Murdoch’s, Koch’s and pseudo Dems. won’t give up, even when demographics like religion change. They will think up something new like border control. The establishment Dems. e.g. CAP and Third Way, will help the right wing box the Dem. party into policy positions like defending the rights of people wanting to gain entry to an economy reduced by concentrated wealth so that it appears Dems are working against labor.
Nelson Gonzalez, I agree, “real radicalism” has become the only response that can work.
LikeLike
I agree with you. The corrupt greedy ass-hats responsible for the disruption of public education are not going to stop … on their own.
That’s why I think Thomas Jefferson was right about why we must nourish the tree of liberty on a regular basis with the blood of tyrants and patriots.
LikeLike
Lloyd, you are so un-PC! I love it.
LikeLike
What is Nancy Pelosi’s networth.
$100,643,521 i.e One hundred million, six hundred forty-three thousand, five hundred and twenty one dollars. Much of it accumulated while in office!!!!!!
If possible, the Democratic Party is more hipocritical than the Republican Party.
When will activist stop covering up for these liberal hippocrites!
Both parties represent the rich, time for a Labor Party and working class candidates and leadership that really represent working people.
LikeLike
There are at least 3 labor parties plus the socialist workers’ party, etc. The problem is that they are not viable and can’t get any traction. Not that they shouldn’t keep trying but we need to get the money out of politics, overturn citizen’s united and get rid of the electoral college.
LikeLike
Nota bene, please, the spelling of “hypocrite” and its morphemes “hypocrisy” and “hypocritical.”
I’m an English teacher so–Just sayin’.
LikeLike
If I am not mistaken, a hippocrite is a hypocritical hippopotamus –eg, one who makes fun of those who are overweight.
Just sayin
LikeLiked by 1 person
Why bring hippopotamuses into this? What have they ever done to you?
LikeLiked by 1 person
After fixing the Constitution and the US Presidency, we need to fix English spelling, so that each letter stands for the same sound. Then not only kids would have to go to school much less, but the spelling bee contests would also stop.
LikeLike
Not ALL Democrats Nelson…. Go AOC!!!!! Bring on that progressive taxation!!!
LikeLike
Please stop sending me your emails.
Thank you ,
Rosalie Jacobs.
Sent from my iPhone
>
LikeLike
Learn how to unsubscribe. Your responsibility.
LikeLike
I have no idea how to unsubscribe anyone.
I have the opposite problem. WordPress frequently drops readers without their requesting it. They contact me and ask why they are no longer receiving the blog. I then contact WordPress (the “happiness engineers”) and spent hours trying to help people get reinstated.
LikeLike
Click on reply and then scroll down to the boxes next to:
Notify me of new comments via email.
Notify me of new posts via email.
Click on the boxes next to the above choices so that the boxes are empty and you have unsubscribed to notifications.
LikeLike
And if you can’t do that, there’s a “delete” key. It’s ain’t rocket science.
LikeLike
Our market based policies consistently favor the already wealthy as this post clearly demonstrates. The result of all this manipulation and partiality is a huge income gap between the rich and poor. Stagnant wages and inflation are moving many formerly middle class workers into poverty as the cost of living increases. #45’s absurd tax package is leaving us with a much larger deficit without the promised increase in jobs since most companies are opting to put their tax gains into dividends for shareholders. All of this manipulation and favoritism to the wealthy is making our economy worse for most Americans. With all this hyper capitalism that ignores the needs of more that ninety per cent of the people, we will hit wall that will lead to another grim reality of recession or even depression unless we change our current policies.
LikeLike
Bottom line remains: We can have democracy or we can have the super-rich, certainly not both. Wealth has obstructed American democracy since its founding and continues to do so.
LikeLike
A very interesting, and important, point. Does a worker’s pay really reflect his or her unique contribution to the value of the products he creates? The reality is, as the author explains, that most work is social, in the sense that individuals work as part of groups of workers to produce stuff that is sold. It’s hard, perhaps impossible, to say exactly how much any one particular member of a team contributes to the value of the product, just as it is very hard to say exactly how much Eli Manning or any other quarterback contributes to victory, or is responsible for defeat. There are 50 or so players on a football team (actually two teams–the offense and the defense), in addition to coaches and the like. It is one thing to say that Tom Brady is the best of the best, but it is quite another to say that he contributes 46% (or any other %) to Patriot victories. Exactly how much he is worth is determined by the quite subjective opinions of owners (not the “market”).
One interesting historical note here: the concept of marginalism in economic theory was invented in the 1870s-80s, at a time when industrial workers were organizing and demanding all sorts of things above what owners were willing to pay them. Owners spent money helping some economists develop the idea that workers were owed only the part of the value of the product they produced, and nothing more. And the way to determine that amount is to look at the amount of money an owner was willing to pay to hire an additional worker and no more–because he believed that the final worker’s contribution (his wage) would be just equal to the additional revenue the owner could get from selling the last widget that could be sold in the “marketplace”. This concept is the basis for saying that the wages and salaries we all get paid are “fair” because our wages and salaries are somehow just equal to the value of the things or services that people are willing to buy. No consideration whatsoever is given to the reality that no one works to create any thing or service apart from the work of others, organized in a specific manner. It is undeniable that the value of what anyone in particular creates is made possible by the work of other people in a specific organization of work (massive corporation, mom and pop store, and so forth). (And that context is controlled completely by the owner!)
So, to take but one example–the famous assembly line in Henry Ford’s auto factories–the actual value of what an autoworker creates is a combination of his work plus the work of his fellow assembly line workers plus the work of the white collar crowd, etc. How can one say that the wage paid to workers is just equal to the value of what that worker has created, when the work this person does is done with others, and with others in a specific way? The value of what a worker makes (as opposed to what his wage may be) is greater than his wage because of all the “help” he receives from the organization of which he is a (small?) part. Thus his wage is not the same thing as the value he creates, and thus his wage is far from being a “fair” wage. Eli Manning can’t be valuable if he has lousy receivers and a lousy offensive line. If the team loses enough games the value of the team declines, but it would be unfair to say it’s Eli’s fault alone.
Marginalism as an economic concept was developed at just the moment when ORGANIZED labor was coming into its own, demanding a seat at the corporate table to determine “fair” wages and “fair” working conditions–just the sort of thing owners could not abide and refused to consider. These owners paid a bunch of economists to argue that what Henry Ford paid his assembly workers was fair because wages were the exact value of what they produced. Whereas the assembly line worker’s UNION argued that workers should share in the profits of the corporation because profits were produced not by individual people but by the entire organization, and the proportions of those profits that ought to go to this or that member of the organization had to be negotiated because there is no clear way to separate the work of any single employee from the total organizational environment that makes any single employee’s work possible.
As long as people believe that their wages or salaries are fair, they are less likely to fight to increase them. But if workers believe that their wages are much less than what they actually create, then there will be a struggle between workers and owners–and what owner wants THAT???? If I believe that my wage should include some part of the profit of a company–because everyone in a company helps everyone else to produce whatever consumers purchase–then I will likely believe that we need to negotiate my wage instead of just accepting whatever the boss offers because there is someone else ready to take my place. (This is the reason employers HATE full employment!)
Which is why teachers’ unions are so crucial in this story: only organizations of workers have the power to assert that the value of what is created is different from what an owner says it is. Just because there may be someone willing to take my job if I quit does not mean the value of what I do or make is less than what I, or anyone else, including economists, say it is…for the simple reason that if there were no one ready to take my job, then I would be paid more FOR THE SAME WORK. (The owner would dip into profits to pay me more, because even at this higher salary or wage, he’d still make money!!) .
So who should say what part of the revenue of a firm should be divided among workers and what part should be the profit of the owner? Marginalism gave owners an answer that suited their interests. Workers have been contesting this theory ever since as something less, much less, than real science.
LikeLike
Koch Bros, Mike Bloomberg, Bill Gates, Donald Trump, Jeff Bezos, Betsy Devos, Warren Buffet, Zuckerberg and the United States now has 680 billionaires. Oligarch society you say? Soon to be unless the US Gov enforces some sort of tax restructuring not allowing any individual to earn over a certain amount.
It has to happen otherwise bye bye democracy, hello to a society controlled by people like mike bloomberg and the koch bros. who are demonic people in search of their destiniy and wiping out anything in their way using their means of cash since they were unable to do it any other way.
In reality does anyone really need more than say 10 million dollars in a lifetime? What is the purpose of putting hundred of millions of dollars in the hands of individuals in society? A human being can live a wealthy life in this country with 10 million they do not need a 100 million dollars.
LikeLike
I think Stephen Schwarzman qualifies to be added to the list of tyrants that Thomas Jefferson mentioned when he wrote about nourishing the Tree of Liberty on a regular bases.
It’s obvious that Tree hasn’t been nourished and watered for a long time and if we don’t do it soon, it will wither and die.
LikeLike
Answer: NO! TAX this bonehead.
LikeLike
Poverty by Design: https://mailchi.mp/socialism.com/poverty-by-design?e=150e392d4c
LikeLiked by 1 person
additionally, shockingly rising levels of wealth by design. It begins to feel as if we may actually be looking at a near future where trillionaires ARE the government.
LikeLike
Poverty exists not because we can’t afford the feed/clothe/educate/house the poor, but because we cannot satisfy the rich. We are clearly living in a world ruled like The Hunger Games….when will one of the wealthy decide to hold the lottery for “the games”?
LikeLike
The games already exist. Football, boxing, mixed martial arts competitions — any games that comes with risk of severe injury or death but makes a profit for the wealthiest 1-percent.
LikeLike
you’re right!
LikeLike
He does not deserve a salary of $786 million.
He deserves at least $800 million!
LikeLike
John Locke suggested that the individual who took a resource and turned it into a product was by act the owner of the product and stood to profit from its sale by virtue of his having changed it with his labor. He certainly did not have the world of finance on his mind, but was trying to differentiate picking up a nut from the woods from making a piece of furniture.
Liberitarian thinkers who look to the market to regulate human behavior would do well to read what the people they quote actually were talking about. There is nothing self-regulating about great wealth.
In actuality, great wealth is more akin to the creation of a competing government with a government. People who manage bottom lines the size of third world countries’GDPs need to be treated the way we treat foreign powers, for they truly represent a power that competes with the existing institutions of government that are there for the attendant attention to the public welfare.
LikeLike
Many of these billionaires (Warren Buffett, for example) don’t actually produce ANYTHING.
They are basically parasites feeding off the efforts of others.
LikeLike
The ruling class of today has a great deal in common with the Roman ruling class (and not just their games).
If one were to describe both with a single word, that word would be decadence. (witness the life of billionaire Jeffrey Epstein, who abused scores of teenaged girls as apart of an international sex trade operation and pretty much got off with a slap on the wrist with help from a Harvard Law professor and a US labor Secretary.
Such decadence is a symptom of rot at the very core of our society. There is no reason to expect that the US Empire will not suffer a similar fate to that of the Roman empire.
The question is when, not if.
LikeLike
Even having just arrived in FL, this long post was vital reading. Thanks Diane our #1 teacher by blogs
LikeLike
Gail,
Enjoy the warm Florida weather. It is in the 20s in the NY/CT area.
LikeLike
During my 33 years as a college prof, I have made as much as Schwarzman (Blackman?) makes in half a day. Now the article convinced me that I deserve part of the $800 million pie Schwarzman received this year. Indeed, during these 33 years, I have taught over 10 thousand students, and some might have done excellent work for Schwarzman that contributed to his $800 million well-earned income. Furthermore, many of these students I taught went on to teach other students who also ended up working for Schwarzman or designed some good stuff for the firms Schwarzman invested in. It’s entirely possible that Schwarzman made the decision to invest in a firm exactly because of such a product designed by a student of a student of mine. But the vast majority of my work is not teaching, it’s math, and at least some of the formulas I invented have helped computer engineers design faster, more secure hardware which possibly contributed to Schwarzman’s computer or smartphone to work better, not to break down during his making a critical deal, or (more likely) not to allow hackers to take over his gadgets.
It’s more likely, though, that Schwarzman, as many similar “self-made” men before him, simply got lucky. According to Nobel winning economist/psychologist Kahneman,
Because luck plays a large role, the quality of leadership and management practices cannot be inferred reliably from observations of success. And even if you had perfect foreknowledge that a CEO has brilliant vision and extraordinary competence, you still would be unable to predict how the company will perform with much better accuracy than the flip of a coin. On average, the gap in corporate profitability and stock returns between the outstanding firms and the less successful firms studied in Built to Last shrank to almost nothing in the period following the study. The average profitability of the companies identified in the famous In Search of Excellence dropped sharply as well within a short time. A study of Fortune’s “Most Admired Companies” finds that over a twenty-year period, the firms with the worst ratings went on to earn much higher stock returns than the most admired firms.
LikeLike
Pluck or luck?
God or fraud?
Shaker or faker?
LikeLike
“One way to make the distribution of income more equal would be to change some of the rules and norms that govern market competition.
Another would be to leave the rules and norms in place and alter the distribution after the market has delivered its judgment, through more progressive taxation and government spending.
”
Just to make sure, we have a really fair system, I’d employ both of the above. I do not want to take chances.
LikeLike
change some of the rules and norms that govern market competition.
Tweak a few rules here and there to make it look like the game is not rigged?
Leave the rules and norms in place and alter the distribution after the market has delivered its judgment
Keep the fixed game and throw some peanuts to the 99% from time to time to keep them from revolting?
LikeLike
Here is another quote from Kahnemann’s book; it’s about Gates’s small school initiative.
Their essay focused on a large investment, some $1.7 billion, which the Gates Foundation made to follow up intriguing findings on the characteristics of the most successful schools. Many researchers have sought the secret of successful education by identifying the most successful schools in the hope of discovering what distinguishes them from others. One of the conclusions of this research is that the most successful schools, on average, are small. In a survey of 1,662 schools in Pennsylvania, for instance, 6 of the top 50 were small, which is an overrepresentation by a factor of 4. These data encouraged the Gates Foundation to make a substantial investment in the creation of small schools, sometimes by splitting large schools into smaller units. At least half a dozen other prominent institutions, such as the Annenberg Foundation and the Pew Charitable Trust, joined the effort, as did the U.S. Department of Education’s Smaller Learning Communities Program.
This probably makes intuitive sense to you. It is easy to construct a causal story that explains how small schools are able to provide superior education and thus produce high-achieving scholars by giving them more personal attention and encouragement than they could get in larger schools. Unfortunately, the causal analysis is pointless because the facts are wrong. If the statisticians who reported to the Gates Foundation had asked about the characteristics of the worst schools, they would have found that bad schools also tend to be smaller than average. The truth is that small schools are not better on average; they are simply more variable. If anything, say Wainer and Zwerling, large schools tend to produce better results, especially in higher grades where a variety of curricular options is valuable
LikeLike
It makes sense that small schools are more variable than larger schools but it’s important to ask why?
It might be because it is easier to change their modes of operation, which means it would also be easier for them to swing from poor to good and good to poor.
If the latter is true, it alone might be a good reason for pursuing smaller schools because with due diligence, one might be able to bias the variation from the norm in the positive rather than the negative direction.
But having said that, I would be very careful about concluding ANYTHING from so called research sponsored by Gates Foundation because it is almost certainly biased and for that reason, maybe even completely useless.
But even if one takes it at face value, the conclusion that reducing school size did not improve the schools depends on a lot of things, not least of all the definition of improve that was used to draw the conclusion and also the methodology used to test the hypothesis.
Gates has no clue how science is supposed to be carried out, so I, for one, would not pay any attention to his supposed research.
LikeLike
By methodology I mean the actual methods used when schools were split up and made smaller.
What was actually done as part of the downsizing?
Details matter because they can have an effect on the final outcome and they need not have been a necessary result of the downsizing itself.
LikeLike
Unfair, insane, and total greed……..
LikeLike