It’s typical in American politics that the party that wins the Presidency usually loses the mid-term elections two years later. The other party picks up seats, sometimes enough seats to dominate one or both Houses, enough to stymie the President’s agenda and enough to hold investigations that embarrass the President.
With Trump’s low standing in the polls, the rising cost of living, the backlash against tariffs, and the evident cruelty of ICE, Republicans have worried about an electoral wipeout in November 2026.
Some clever Republican strategist devised a plan to protect the Republican dominance in the House of Representatives. Simple. Persuade red states to redistrict (gerrymander) their Congressional maps, creating more Republican seats while eliminating Democratic seats. This was out of the ordinary, because states usually redistrict every ten years, after the latest census.
Texas Governor Greg Abbott, a loyal MAGAT, was first to act. He pushed through a new map that split up Democratic districts and created five new Republican seats. The U.S. Supreme Court supported the Trump goal, as usual, and approved the Texas gerrymander.
Governor Gavin Newsom of California was quick to respond. He called a referendum that would redistrict the state and produce five new Democratic seats. Newsom’s new map is being changed in the Supreme Court, but it’s difficult to see the Court approving the Texas gerrymander while rejecting California’s.
The administration began pressuring other red state governors to follow the lead of Texas. Some Democratic states set about redrawing their maps.
And then there was Indiana. NBC News tells the fascinating inside story of how the Trump team alienated key Republicans in that state.
Indiana is a deep-red state with a Republican supermajority in both houses of the legislature. Republicans hold seven Congressional districts, Democrats only two. Trump wanted those two seats.
The Trump operatives thought the state leaders would quickly fall in line. When they didn’t, the Trump operatives decided to unleash their usual tools: bullying, pressure, threats, intimidation, even death threats. At least 14 Republican state senators received death threats.
Jane C. Timm of NBC News wrote the story:
INDIANAPOLIS — As the redistricting battle began to pick up steam in Indiana last month, state Sen. Jean Leising’s grandchildren were receiving odd text messages.
Ads from little-known outside groups had spliced the longtime Republican lawmaker’s image next to prominent Democrats like New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker and California Gov. Gavin Newsom. Some of the messaging was sloppy, referring to Leising as “him.”
A conservative and supporter of President Donald Trump, Leising, 76, was furious. Following months of conversations with her constituents, she felt they were generally opposed to redrawing Indiana’s congressional map ahead of the 2026 midterm elections — even though such an effort would favor her party and was backed by her president. So in mid-November, she fired off a statement making it official: She wouldn’t support it.
“The negative campaigning just put me over the top,” she said in an interview with 13WTHR in Indianapolis, an NBC News affiliate, at the time. “He may wonder why Indiana is struggling to get on board. Well, it’s probably the antics they used.”
It was a sign of things to come. Ultimately, the months of pressure applied by Trump and his supporters from outside of Indiana to pass a redrawn map that would split up the state’s two Democratic districts backfired. On Thursday, Leising joined a majority of Republicans in the state Senate in voting to sink the map in the face of potential future primary challenges, a flurry of online attacks — and in some cases, violent threats.
The result was one of the biggest rejections that Trump, who has otherwise largely ruled over the GOP with an iron fist, has faced since returning to office, and it could cost the party in its bid to preserve its narrow House majority….
“You have to know Hoosiers. We can’t be bullied, we don’t like it,” GOP state Sen. Sue Glick said after voting against the map.
Despite intense lobbying by Trump, JD Vance, and Mike Johnston, Republican leaders in the state were not enthusiastic. They resented the pressure.
When Rodric Bray, the leading Republican in the State Senate, warned that there were not enough votes to pass the new map, Trump lashed out at him. He threatened to run an opponent to Bray, but Bray didn’t tremble because he’s not up for re-election until 2028.
Trump wrote on Truth Social:
“In the entire United States of America, Republican or Democrat, only Indiana ‘Republican’ State Senator Rod Bray, a Complete and Total RINO, is opposed to redistricting for purposes of gaining additional Seats in Congress,” Trump wrote in one Truth Social post of the well-liked Republican leader in the Senate. “The Rod Brays of Politics are WEAK and PATHETIC.”
The map passed the Indiana House by The map passed the state House last Friday by a 57-41 vote, with 12 Republicans voting against it.
When the vote shifted to the State Senate, the map was resoundingly defeated, 19-31, with 21 Republicans voting against it.
Trump lost the vote of one State Senator when he called Tim Walz “retards.” The State Senator has a child with Down Syndrome. Others said they would not be bullied.

My favorite story of the year – when Trump lost a vote for calling people “retards.” To know, to hope that calling people names has real repercussions is inspiring.
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Should I find it interesting that these political figures reacted more to personal attacks than they did to the knowledge that their party was tearing away at the constitution itself? Should I find it horrifying? Depressing?
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Both!
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Good for Indiana Republicans for resisting this odious gerrymandering scheme. Will ultra-partisan Diane Ravitch now call on her fellow tribalists in Illinois to undo their even more extreme gerrymandering that existed long BEFORE Texas re-did their electoral maps?
“Perhaps the most egregious Democratic-drawn gerrymander on the current congressional map is in Illinois. The worst example is the 13th district, which connects disparate pockets of Democratic voters in Champaign, Urbana, Decatur, Springfield and East St. Louis. The district splits six counties, as well as multiple townships, cities and even precincts, contributing to a 14-3 Democratic edge in the state overall.” – political scientist
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BART, ,
I’m flattered.
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This Supreme Court has become so openly partisan that many legal experts now argue some of its rulings lack any logical legal justification. Because the Texas and California gerrymandering cases rest on different legal grounds, the majority could easily accept Texas’s map while rejecting California’s — and still claim they’re being consistent. I would not be the least bit surprised if that’s exactly what happens.
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Diane,
There is also the statistics issue of “stupidmandering” Those Democratic Hoosers still exist with a new map and the way Gerrymandering works involves watering down all the Republican seats a bit each to take in the Ds. In this fired up Democrats environment, it could all backfire and lead to incumbent Republicans losing +10 or +15 red districts. No GOPers want to absorbed these orphan Democrats and reduce their own margins or even lose.
Solidarity Doug Little Toronto.
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TRUMP ENDS HIS PRESIDENCY
At his December 2 Cabinet Meeting in the White House, Trump announced that he will not be the Republican Party candidate for President in November 2028. Trump’s final presidency will be ended by the November 2028 elections.
Faced with the fact of deteriorating health and the fact that the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution states that “No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice,” regardless of whether or not the elections are consecutive, Trump has decided to face the facts.
Trump’s loss of his physical fine motor ability was evident to our entire nation when Trump was unable to even flip the coin to start the Army-Navy football game.
Who will be the Republican presidential candidate in 2028? “It’s not going to be me,” Trump told Cabinet members and the media at his December 2 Cabinet meeting. “It’s going to be somebody that’s probably sitting at this table. It could be a couple of people sitting at this table.”
Trump told reporters previously that Vice President Vance is the “most likely” heir to run the MAGA movement and would “probably be favored at this point” to secure the 2028 Republican nomination.
But Trump has also spoken highly of Secretary of State Marco Rubio who was sitting near Trump at the Cabinet meeting table. Rubio ran against Trump in the 2016 Republican presidential primary, calling Trump a “con artist” and pointing out that “He’s going to Americans who are struggling, who are hurting, and he’s saying, ‘I’m fighting for you.’ This guy inherited $200 million. He’s never faced any struggle in his life.”
If Rubio were elected President, he would become America’s first Cuban-American President.
So, the infighting has begun behind the scenes and in the open in Congress and in state legislatures to determine who will be the next leader of the Republican Party and MAGA; and we will see within the Republican Party more and more revolts against Trump’s misguided policies that are hurting Republican voters and the Republican Party.
With Trump’s announcement on December 2 that he will not run again, Trump became a “Lame Duck” president, and that is already having an impact on Republican politicians, setting them free from his rule. For example, the refusal of the Republican-controlled Indiana legislature to obey Trump’s command and Trump’s threats that Indiana “must” redistrict is a powerful example of Republicans flatly saying “No” to Trump because they are looking to the future that will be without Trump.
(Share this on “social media”.)
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At the risk of appearing ignorant (or stupid) OR–let’s be nice here–a vessel of wishful thinking–did this really happen-?!
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Yes, this did actually occur. See: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/12/02/trump-2028-republican-nominee-election-rubio-vance/87570629007/
Doing the work required seems to be very challenging for him and I think he’d much rather be playing golf and napping. But he revels in the power and prestige tremendously (and his ego usually gets the best of him), so whether he really won’t try to run again in the future is something else…
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He’s old and tired. He enjoys golf and writing nasty comments in TRUTH SOCIAL.
He has the worlds greatest job now. He plays golf every weekend. He occasionally travels abroad in royal comfort. No matter what he does or what he steals, he can’t be prosecuted.
Can’t beat that job.
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Yes, it really happened. The reasons why you haven’t seen it widely reported is because (1) the timid corporate media doesn’t want to upset Trumpy, and (2) none of the MAGA media, such as Fox News, Newsmax, etc. want the MAGA minions to know that Trump isn’t going to be around much longer. Google it.
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Thanks for the detailed answer, quikwrit.
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Gerrymandering should be opposed by everyone who believes in fair elections. But notice that this blog only condemns gerrymandering when it hurts Democrats. Does Diane Ravitch oppose gerrymandering in Illinois, Maassachusetts, and other blue states? Silence is complicity.
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I oppose gerrymandering everywhere.
Remember that the current redistricting was launched by Trump. Texas was first to respond by cutting up five Democratic districts.
I agree: everyone who believes in fair elections should oppose gerrymandering. It’s especially egregious because redistricting is supposed to happen every ten years, after the census.
Can you acknowledge that Trump launched the gerrymandering as a desperate effort to hold off a Democratic win in 2026?
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“Governor Gavin Newsom of California was quick to respond. He called a referendum that would redistrict the state and produce five new Democratic seats. Newsom’s new map is being challenged in the Supreme Court, but it’s difficult to see the Court approving the Texas gerrymander while rejecting California’s.”
There is a HUGE difference between what Newsom did vs Abbott and other Red States doing the same BS TRUMP wants.
Newsome left it up to the voters, like me, since I’m a born in California voter. Correct me if I’m wrong, but that legislation voters approved in California also said it would only become active if Texas did what Trump wants.
The voters in Texas didn’t have a choice.
“The California measure to implement a new congressional map to counter the Texas redistricting effort, known as Proposition 50, was approved by voters with 7,453,339 “Yes” votes, which represented approximately 64.4% of the total votes cast. The “No” votes totaled 4,116,998 (35.6%).”
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I should have added that what California’s voters approved is temporary and will revert back to the way it was after Trump is gone.
That is if we get rid of Trump, since it is obvious to anyone who has a working brain that Trump plans to stay in the White House as president for the rest of his life while launching the Trump dynasty.
That’s what Project 2025 is for.
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