New York Times foreign affairs columnist Thomas Friedman smells a rat in the bilateral talks between Trump and Putin about the war in Ukraine. He’s been watching both of them for years, and he knows they are both lying. Putin is using Trump for his own ends. Trump wants to please Putin.
Ever since President Trump returned to office and began trying to make good on his boast about ending the Ukraine war in days, thanks to his relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin, I’ve had this gnawing concern that something was lost in translation in the bromance between Vlad and Don.
When the interpreter tells Trump that Putin says he’s ready to do anything for “peace” in Ukraine, I’m pretty sure what Putin really said was he’s ready to do anything for a “piece” of Ukraine.
You know those homophones — they can really get you in a lot of trouble if you’re not listening carefully. Or if you’re only hearing what you want to hear.
The Times reported that in his two-and-a-half-hour phone call with Trump on Tuesday, Putin agreed to halt strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, according to the Kremlin, but Putin made clear that he would not agree to the general 30-day cease-fire that the United States and Ukraine had agreed upon and proposed to Russia.
The Kremlin also said that Putin’s “key condition” for ending the conflict was a “complete cessation” of foreign military and intelligence assistance to Kyiv — in other words, stripping Ukraine naked of any ability to resist a full Russian takeover of Ukraine. More proof, if anyone needed it, that Putin is not, as Trump foolishly believed, looking for peace with Ukraine; he’s looking to own Ukraine.
All that said, you will pardon me, but I do not trust a single word that Trump and Putin say about their private conversations on Ukraine — including the words “and” and “the,” as the writer Mary McCarthy famously said about the veracity of her rival Lillian Hellman. Because something has not smelled right from the start with this whole Trump-Putin deal-making on Ukraine.
I just have too many unanswered questions. Let me count the ways.
For starters, it took Secretary of State Henry Kissinger over a month of intense shuttle diplomacy to produce the disengagement agreements between Israel and Egypt and Israel and Syria that ended the 1973 war — and all of those parties wanted a deal. Are you telling me that two meetings between Trump’s pal Steve Witkoff and Putin in Moscow and a couple of phone calls between Putin and Trump are enough to end the Russian invasion of Ukraine on reasonable terms for Kyiv?
Trump couldn’t sell a hotel that quickly — unless he was giving it away.
Wait, wait — unless he was giving it away. …
Lord, I hope that is not what we’re watching here. Message to President Trump and Vice President JD Vance: If you sell out Ukraine to Putin, you will forever carry a mark of Cain on your foreheads as traitors to a core value that has animated U.S. foreign policy for 250 years — the defense of liberty against tyranny.
Our nation has never so brazenly sold out a country struggling to be free, which we and our allies had been supporting for three years. If Trump and Vance do that, the mark of Cain will never wash off. They will go down in history as “Neville Trump” and “Benedict Vance.” Likewise Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and national security adviser Michael Waltz.
Why else am I suspicious? Because Trump keeps saying that all he wants to do is end “the killing” in Ukraine. I am with that. But the easiest and quickest way to end the killing would be for the side that started the killing, the side whose army invaded Ukraine for utterly fabricated reasons, to get out of Ukraine. Presto — killing over.
Putin needs to enlist Trump’s help only if he wants something more than an end to the killing. I get that Ukraine will have to cede something to Putin. The question is how much. I also get that the only way for Putin to get the extra-large slice that he wants and the postwar restrictions that he wants imposed on Ukraine — without more warfighting — is by enlisting Trump to get them for him.
Why else am I suspicious? Because Trump has left all our European allies on the sidelines when he negotiates with Putin. Excuse me, but our European allies have contributed billions of dollars in military equipment, economic aid and refugee assistance to Ukraine — more combined than the United States, which Trump lies about — and they have made clear that they are now ready to do even more to prevent Putin from overrunning Ukraine and coming for them next.
So why would Trump enter negotiations with Putin and not bring our best leverage — our allies — with him? And why would he visibly turn U.S. military and intelligence aid to Ukraine off and then on — after shamefully calling Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky “a dictator”?
Sorry, that doesn’t smell right to me, either. What made Kissinger and Secretary of State James Baker particularly effective negotiators is that they knew how to leverage our allies to amplify U.S. power. Trump foolishly gives the back of his hand to our allies, while extending an open hand to Putin. That’s how you give up leverage.
Leveraging allies — the biggest asset that we have that Putin does not — “is what smart statecraft is all about,” Dennis Ross, the longtime Middle East adviser to U.S. presidents, told me.
“The key to good statecraft is knowing how to use the leverage that you have — how to marry your means to your objectives. The irony is that Trump believes in leverage — but has not used all the means that he has” in Ukraine, said Ross, the author of the timely, and just published, “Statecraft 2.0: What America Needs to Lead in a Multipolar World.”
What also smells wrong to me is that Trump appears to have no clue why Putin is so nice to him. As a Russian foreign policy analyst in Moscow put it to me recently: “Trump does not get that Putin is merely manipulating him to score Putin’s principal goal: diminish the U.S. international position, destroy its network of security alliances — most importantly in Europe — and destabilize the U.S. internally, thus making the world safe for Putin and Xi.”
Trump refuses to understand, this analyst added, that Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping both want to see America boxed in to the Western Hemisphere rather than messing around with either of them in Europe or Asia/Pacific — and they see Trump as their pawn to deliver that.
Finally, and pretty much summing up all of the above, it smells to me that Trump has never made clear what concessions, sacrifices and guarantees he is demanding from Russia to get a peace deal on Ukraine. And who goes into a negotiation without a very clear, unwavering bottom line in terms of core American interests?
There are sustainable ways to end a war and keep it ended and there are unsustainable ways. It all depends on the bottom line — and if our bottom line departs fundamentally from that of Ukraine’s and our allies’, I don’t think they are going to just roll over for the Trump-Putin bromance.
Putin wants a Ukraine with a government that is basically the same as his neighboring vassal Belarus, not a Ukraine that is independent like neighboring Poland — a free-market democracy anchored in the European Union.
What kind of Ukraine does Trump want? The Belorussian version or the Polish version?
I have absolutely no doubt which one is in Ukraine’s interest, America’s interest and our European allies’ interest. The thing that gnaws at me is that I don’t know what Donald Trump thinks is in his personal interest — and that is all that matters now in Trump’s Washington.
Until it’s clear that Trump’s bottom line is what should be America’s bottom line — no formal surrendering of Ukrainian territory to Putin, but simply a cease-fire; no membership for Ukraine in NATO, but membership in the European Union; and an international peacekeeping force on the ground, backed up with intelligence and material support from the U.S. — color me very, very skeptical of every word Trump and Putin say on Ukraine — including “and” and “the.”
It is clear to Friedman that Trump sides with Putin. But why? Why is he eager to satisfy Putin? Why does he behave like the wimpy little brother when he talks to Putin?

Occasionally a commenter will dissent from this blog’s standard opinions and link an essay from National Review. The responses are invariably of the ad hominem/genetic fallacy type: National Review is conservative on this or that issue so nothing appearing in that publication has any credibility. Here’s an example of the type of principled conservatism that is published all the time in National Review. I’m overall a moderate Democrat, but I make a strong effort to access thoughtful opinions that challenge my existing beliefs.
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/falling-for-putin/
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Jack Safely is a moderate Democrat and the pope is an atheist. Absolutely.
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National Review has really fallen off in quality over the years. It’s a shell of its former self.
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The responses to me are what is typical of this blog – no engaging with the topic. Joe Jersey knows nothing about me, but he claims to know what I believe. I’m curious why Flerp thinks National Review has declined in quality – that’s exactly what the Trump cultists say. NR has published hundreds/thousands of essays critical of Trump. There is an actual diversity of opinion there – unlike on this blog.
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Its heyday was decades before my time, but even in my youth I remember National Review being a pretty substantive and interesting—albeit extremely conservative—magazine. Now it seems to be just a bunch of short squibs on pages that are completely littered with banner and pop up ads. Just not much “there” there.
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Flerp,
You’re comparing the print edition from your younger days with the current online edition. As with all modern online publications, there is far more content that is published than when magazines were published weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly. So National Review Online does have much more shorter stuff because online publications have far more space for written content than the dead tree versions. That’s true for all of them, whatever their political leanings.
NRO still has a lot of substantive material, and there is genuine debate among their writers and commenters. NRO is definitely to my right, but it’s worth reading because they aren’t in the Trump cult or worshipful of any politician. The online outlet that is closest to my own opinions is The Liberal Patriot.
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I’m having a deja vu moment with this comment by Jack Safely, someone (maybe it was JS himself) made the same comment previously. Why is he shilling for the NR and why is he assuming that no one here on this blog takes an occasional gander at some article or articles in the NR? It appears to me that JS is making a lot of assumptions about the readers and commenters here on the DR blog. I’m here because Diane gives strong support to our public schools and their teachers, very refreshing. And of course I do agree with her political stances and I am a proud far lefty liberal who is opposed to violence. I’m for peaceful protests when needed. I do drop in on right wing sites just to see what they are saying or propagandizing at the moment. But I do have a limit about how much balderdash I can absorb at any given moment.
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I would bet my life that not even ten people who read this blog even occasionally and on purpose access non left-wing sources of news and opinion. National Review publishes an essay that agrees with the position of Diane Ravitch and you say that I am “shilling” for them. Very typical.
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Who cares? If we agree on this issue, why fight?
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Friedman can not possibly be so naive as to be “suspicious” at this late date.
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Well said, Martha!
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Friedman makes a good case to question Trump’s intention in the negotiations. Trump has long standing ties to Eastern Europe and Russia. Some say his association started with his first wife, Ivana, and others believe Trump became beholden to Russia when after his bankruptcies, American banks would not lend him money, which he eventually received from Russia. There are alleged claims that he was recruited by the KGB, and other allegations that Trump does not want a certain compromising video from the 2013 Miss Universe Pageant held in Moscow and sponsored by Trump, released to the public. Nobody knows for sure how deep Trump’s association with Moscow is, but we do know many Russian oligarchs have bought properties from Trump including many in Trump Tower, NYC. We also know that Trump met with a Russian lawyer who met with senior Trump campaign officials at Trump Tower in the summer of 2016. Attorney Natalia Veselnitskaya has since has been charged with obstruction of justice tied to a money laundering case in New York. Trump has a long history with Russia that likely is not on the radar of many of those in his cult, but, it may explain why Trump is not negotiating in good faith, as if he even had any good faith. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Links_between_Trump_associates_and_Russian_officials
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Very insightful, retired teacher! And I think this is spot on: “Trump has a long history with Russia that likely is not on the radar of many of those in his cult, but, it may explain why Trump is not negotiating in good faith, as if he even had any good faith.”
Then there was that home in Palm Beach that he bought out from under Jeffrey Epstein (who was his friend until he did that to him), which he sold to a Russian Oligarch who then had it demolished, subdivided the property into 3 lots and sold them off for a profit. (Isn’t that how money laundering often works?..) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maison_de_L%27Amitie
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