This was one of Jennifer Rubin’s last columns for The Washington Post. She resigned on January 13 to start The Contrarian, to be free of the whims of billionaire Jeff Bezos. Bezos wants to be Trump’s ally. Rubin wants to be an independent journalist.
She writes here about the mainstream media’s newfound appreciation for Biden’s economic policies. The latest jobs report showed a healthy increase of 256,000 new jobs, which stunned economists. During the Biden administration, new jobs were created in every quarter for four years. This is an enviable record.
Currently, Trump and Vance are saying on social media that they are inheriting “a dumpster fire.” It won’t take long until they claim credit for the vibrant economy they are inheriting from Joe Biden.
She writes:
The New York Times wrote a few days ago, “President Biden is bequeathing his successor a nation that by many measures is in good shape, even if voters remain unconvinced.” Just how good are things? Here’s how the Times described the state of the economy:
For the first time since that transition 24 years ago, there will be no American troops at war overseas on Inauguration Day. New data reported in the past few days indicate that murders are way down, illegal immigration at the southern border has fallen even below where it was when Mr. Trump left office and roaring stock markets finished their best two years in a quarter-century.
The Financial Times reported last week on “why America’s economy is soaring ahead of its rivals.” Time published an essay in November that said, “President-elect [Donald] Trump is receiving the strongest economy in modern history which is the envy of the world.”
Gosh, you are not alone if you are wondering where such upbeat reporting has been for the past few years. After all, “The economy had a strong 2024: robust growth, low unemployment and inflation descending to 3%,” former car czar Steve Rattner told us. Moreover, he has said, “All told, Biden has added 693,000 factory jobs while Trump added just 425,000 before Covid hit.7 … The rate of grocery inflation — particularly troubling for everyday Americans — has subsided to less than 1.6%.” Real median incomes are higher than when Trump left office, border crossings are lower.
Overall, the Biden record is impressive, especially in light of the recession and pandemic he inherited. Researchers at the University of Chicago told us: “Under the Biden administration, real GDP rose 12.6 percent, rightly cheered … as ‘a historically robust expansion’ that repeatedly defied forecasts. Since the pandemic, economic growth in the US has far outpaced that of our peer nations. Business investment is up; unemployment is low.”
There are several explanations for why we did not have coverage commensurate with the success President Joe Biden enjoyed. The news media’s fixation on polls showing what voters thought about the state of the economy and its negative news bias (which I have written about) that refused to give proper weight to Biden’s successes failed to give voters an accurate picture of Biden’s achievements. And yet now, somehow, with the election over, the media widely acknowledges that Biden’s record is strong, something they downplayed during the election.
We should not discount the disproportionate impact of rising costs (again, echoed without sufficient context in political coverage) on the public perception of the economy (which in turn got amplified to the exclusion of “good news” by the media). “Inflation in the United States reached 9% in 2022, meaning that the average cost of goods and services went up by that amount,” Johns Hopkins University’s David Steinberg explained. “That is the highest rate of inflation that this country has experienced in over 40 years.” While inflation has now dropped close to the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent benchmark, “the price level today is more than 20% higher than it was four years ago. As a result, many Americans cannot afford to buy as many things as they otherwise would.”
There is something else at work as well. Utilizing 89 years’ worth of data, University of Chicago researchers found, very simply, “It is not enough to say that a strong economy favors the incumbent. … A strong economy favors Republicans, and a weak economy favors Democrats, regardless of the incumbent.” They postulate that “when the economy is weak, Americans become more risk averse, and that’s why they favor the party that promises redistribution and social insurance — Democrats. During booms, by contrast, voters are more willing to take risks and therefore more likely to elect Republicans, who favor lower taxes.”
Democrats, including Biden and former president Barack Obama, like to point out that Democrats routinely inherit recessions from Republicans, clean up the mess and yet get no credit for it. (“In finance, there’s a phenomenon known as the ‘presidential puzzle’ — stock returns have been higher under Democratic administrations than Republican ones,” the research showed. “Between 1927 and 2015, the period analyzed in our study, the average excess market return was nearly 11 percent per year higher under Democrats than Republicans.”)
And yet this does not explain why, after inheriting great economies, Republicans manage to mess things up, ushering in the conditions for Democrats to return. Let me suggest the most simple explanation: The sugar-high from the only consistent economic policy Republicans favor (supply-side economics) quickly wears off, leaving the country with higher debt, more economic inequality and underinvestment in critical areas (e.g., education, infrastructure). Coupled with reckless deregulation that often results in financial crisis (as in 2008), Republicans’ policies leave Americans reeling, ready to bring back the only party of responsible governance: the Democratic Party.
Democrats should extract several lessons from this pattern. First, the media cannot be relied on to tell the success story. Republicans have a reliable propaganda machine in right-wing media; Democrats enjoy no such luxury. (One need only look at the economic coverage during Biden’s term to see this is true.) Second, it follows that Democrats must do a much better job touting their own successes and communicating with low- and no-information voters. Biden joked he should have put his name on the stimulus checks; he was right.
And finally, before Democrats change their philosophy or dump capable leaders, they might simply run a 24/7 hard-hitting critique of the Trump economic agenda. That will set the stage for the midterms.
We already have hints what Trump will do: run up big deficits, cut taxes for the super rich, slash entitlements, enact inflationary tariffs that provoke trade wars, undertake mass deportations that prove economically disastrous and do corporation’s bidding in enacting reckless deregulation.
Voters may not have long memories (amnesia about Trump’s first term pervaded the campaign) but, fortunately for Democrats, Trump’s failures and scandals will be fresh in the minds of voters when they go to the polls in 2026

“Voters may not have long memories (amnesia about Trump’s first term pervaded the campaign) but, fortunately for Democrats, Trump’s failures and scandals will be fresh in the minds of voters when they go to the polls in 2026.”
#NUTPOD • Never Underestimate The Power Of Denial
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It is interesting to me how Democrats and Republicans both blame “the media.” It would be nice to think that the American people can think for themselves. But then how can about half of them be so wrong without “the media” to blame?
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I think Americans do think for themselves, to a degree. They form their opinions on small sample sizes and then seek out the “media” sources that confirm their biases.
My neighbors are wonderful people who vote 180 degrees different from me. We don’t discuss politics but there are little clues in our conversations that reveal their attitudes about certain current topics. I instantly recognize their right-wing media talking points. It’s their reality and thy have found the places where they can nod their heads.
We live in different realities. I teach global politics and world history and I’ve met people who are convinced that I spend time on CRT. And I cannot persuade them otherwise.
Oh, well. It will be fun watching Trump do nothing for them.
The only issue is that Trump will take credit for everything he’s inherited (again). His followers will believe him.
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Steven K: I never thought I’d be happy about anything that Steve Bannon said, but his recent comments about getting Elon Musk out gave me hope that they will rot from within. CBK
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The mainstream papers I read have been reporting on the strength of the U.S. economy for a long time.
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You are correct, of course. Good economic news has been the stuff of mainstream reporting, as has been news of the housing shortage and other effects of the economic impact of the end of the COVID.
No better proof exists that a slim majority of Americans get heir news exclusively from right wing talk shows designed specifically to feed grievances in the population and place responsibility for the problems on Biden.
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Yes, right-wing talk, Fox News and Newsmax, the information silos in Twitter, etc. poison.
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Yes, talk radio is over 90% right wing flame throwers. It’s almost impossible to find liberal talkers on the air waves. You need to go to the Internet to hear Thom Hartmann, Stephanie Miller, Mike Malloy, Randi Rhodes, The Young Turks, The Majority Report, etc. The right wingers think that NPR is a liberal broadcaster, not true. NPR works hard to present the news as it actually is and does not do any advocacy journalism. The righties hate NPR because it is not a right wing propaganda machine.
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I assume you are talking about the Nations Paper of Record. “Aldo McCoy, who owns an auto repair shop in Toms River, watched the numbers on a gas pump flash higher Wednesday as he filled up the tank of his 1963 Chevrolet Impala. He recalled recently filling his 2003 Cadillac Escalade and seeing the price go above $100, where it used to be $45.Mr. McCoy said he and his staff were working more than 15 hours of overtime each week to compensate for the extra money they spent on gas. He has also cut back on his household spending.
“You don’t go out to stores much, or out to dinner,” he said. “You can’t travel to enjoy yourself. It’s off the table now.”Doesn’t everyone own a 63 Chevy Impala and a 2003 Escalade. The minimum wage in NJ was $15 an hour so assuming he was making the minimum. $22.50 an hour . x 15 hr = $328.00 The National average price of gas when this article was written on Nov 20 2021 was $3.40 So on top of his normal weekly gas bill he had enough overtime money for 97 gallons of gas . Everybody does. !!!!! Don’t get picky about after tax income . The point is with outrageous story after story about the hardships of inflation. From the NY Times, on down, stories that continue to this day . It was near impossible to convince the American people that real median wages were rising higher than inflation since 2019. That inflation adjusted spending .” Real spending ” was higher as tourism boomed and spending surged. That is the reason we have had a soft landing wages rose . I wonder what Krugman’s NDA looked like. I don’t think he left the NY Times just to post on Substack daily.
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Joel, stop confusing this discussion with facts.
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Some time back, if memory serves, even The Wall Street Journal editorialized favorably on the success of President Biden’s economic strategy.
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Jennifer Rubin is right.
If America believed lies because the right wing mediasphere was pushing those lies, then why – after a year of non-stop shouting that Trump won the 2020 election and Biden “stole” it — did December 2021 polls show that 69% of Americans still believed Biden won the 2020 election fairly?
The right wing media DOES have influence, but aside from the 30 or 35% of Americans who believe everything they hear from a right wing “news” source, MOST Americans don’t believe lies if the mainstream media clearly and often reports the truth, instead of just reporting that “good people in a diner” believe something, and a Trump-hating Democrat disagrees.
After a full year of the right wing mediasphere shouting that Trump won the election and Biden “stole it”, in December 2021, polls showed that 69% of Americans — 69%!!! — still believed that Biden won the 2020 election fairly. Why?
69% of Americans were not reading the NYT or other major “liberal” newspapers. But the NYT’s reporting influences the narrative, and the NYT was showing their “extreme liberal bias” by simply reporting the truth instead of making whether Trump or Biden won in 2020 a “both sides issue”.
It’s textbook journalism (from the pre-propaganda days). The mainstream media didn’t write 1000 articles about how “Republicans say Biden stole the election but Trump-haters disagree”. The mainstream media didn’t write 500 articles about the “very good people” at a diner who knew Trump won the election (and zero stories about voters who knew it wasn’t true).
When covering Republican lies about the 2020 election, the mainstream media did not do what it did in 2024, writing an infrequent story every few months saying that Biden won the election fairly, in the midst of 1,000 big stories about how “good people” whose views are very, very important and newsworthy know Trump won the 2020 election and Biden stole it. (Reminder that Dominion’s lawsuit with Fox was not settled until 2023!!)
The mainstream media in 2021 acted like journalists – they wrote many stories with the narrative that the politicians and lawyers who said that Trump won the election are liars and had offered no evidence to support their lies. How SHOCKING!! How BIASED!!! some here would say about that “anti-Trump” coverage. In 2021, it wasn’t “biased” or “anti-Trump” to report the truth.
Imagine if – beginning in February 2021, the NYT had banned such articles for being “too anti-Trump”, and replaced them with daily stories amplifying the voices of the “very good people” who are positive that Trump won the 2020 election, with a single quote from someone identified as a “rabid Trump-hater” saying “I disagree” in order to show “the other side”? Polls would show a lot more people believed Fox News.
This holds true for every “scandal” that the right wing mediasphere shouts.
Do the majority of Americans believe a lie like “Biden stole the 2020 election” that the right wing mediasphere is repeating non-stop?
Not unless the so-called LIBERAL media is too cowardly to tell them the truth. Not unless the liberal media decides that the only way to prove they are not “pro-Democrat” is to write a single story mentioning there is no evidence to support the election was stolen narrative, followed by 100 articles on the subject “many very good Americans believe the election was stolen (with a disclaimer that rabid Trump-haters disagree, implying that the only reason anyone would disagree with a blatant lie is that they hate Trump!, not because it is not true!)
This post was about the MAINSTREAM media discovering Bidenomics works, something that was deemed not newsworthy throughout 2023 and 2024. The mainstream media felt that it was far more important to devote 2024 to writing thousands of articles informing the public that “everyone believes Bidenomics is a failure”.
In 2024, the economy itself was NOT considered a newsworthy story – what people BELIEVED about the economy was the biggest story of the election. Ergo, the NYT wrote at least 3 or sometimes far more stories a week talking to “regular” voters who expressed how concerned they were about the economy and blamed Biden. There were zero stories talking to regular people who were happy that Biden’s economic policies were working. Those people did not exist. People who were “very concerned” because they knew the economy was terrible were the only people who were newsworthy to the liberal media.
How can reasonable, rational people argue that it’s not the fault of the liberal media (which they claim is so rabidly anti-Trump) but instead it is all because the right wing mediasphere is telling them those lies. There are some people who believe anything they hear on Fox News, but MOST Americans don’t believe lies just because Fox News and the right wing mediasphere tells them so. They believe the lies when the mainstream media is COMPLICIT in legitimizing those lies as truth. Most voters DO hear the mainstream narratives that the NYT and big media influences even if they don’t read the NYT!
A majority of voters did NOT believe that Trump won the 2020 election because the mainstream media did not legitimize what they were hearing on Fox News by amplifying the lie in “both sides equal” news stories. A majority of voters did NOT believe Haitians were eating pets, or that a pizza shop was HQ for a Democrat pedophile ring. A majority of voters did NOT believe Obama was born in Africa and had a fake birth certificate — even though the right wing media they listened to told them it was true. Why not?
Most voters did not believe those other Fox News lies because the mainstream media told them it was false, instead of the mainstream media writing 100 articles about how “many voters” are very concerned about Obama’s fake birth certificate, but “rabid Obama supporters” claim Obama was born in the US and no one knows for sure. THAT’S what makes people believe lies. Not because the right wing media are saying those lies, but because the mainstream media is giving those lies undeserved legitimacy.
Readers of the NYT and other “mainstream media” were informed that “the bad economy” was the most important story of the election, over and over again. Once a month there might be a single news article about something good about the economy, but even those very infrequent articles had to include that “people thought” the economy is bad – which was also the subject of 99% of their election reporting.
Jennifer Rubin gets this.
If this was just about the far right media, the American public would believe many more of the lies that Fox News tells them are true. I guess it is just a coincidence that the public only believe the lies that the liberal media legitimizes and amplified, and NOT the ones that the liberal media doesn’t.
Why didn’t more Americans believe Obama was born in Africa? Why didn’t the NYT believe it was their sacred duty as “fair and balanced” journalists to write 1,000 stories featuring the voices of “very good people” who believed Obama was born in Africa but never the voices of the very good people who knew it was a lie?
If you want to make a right wing lie believable, just sic the NYT political reporters on the case so they can prove they aren’t “biased” by writing 100 stories that feature all the very good people who believe something that only rabid Trump-haters dispute.
I don’t understand why anyone thinks the public will believe lies just because the right wing mediasphere says them, when it is clear that there are plenty of lies that the right wing mediasphere tells that aren’t widely believed.
The right wing lies that are widely believed have one thing in common – that the mainstream media legitimizes those lies instead of reporting clearly and frequently that it isn’t true.
That’s why 69% of Americans didn’t believe Trump’s lies about the election in 2020 DESPITE hearing nothing but that for a year.
But the more that the liberal media decided that informing the public that the election lie isn’t true is not their job as journalists (because “people already know”), the higher and higher the percentage of Americans who believe the lie rises.
Already the lie that Trump won the 2020 election is believed by far more people than believed it at the end of 2021. And with the mainstream media on bended knee even more, I expect that more than 50% of Americans will believe that Trump was the legitimate winner of the 2020 election by the end of the year.
But the polls at the end of 2021 prove that the lies aren’t believed simply because the right wing media is saying them. They are believed when the so-called liberal media amplifies and legitimizes them.
Maybe people will start to believe Obama was born in African soon. Because the NYT will likely write 100 stories talking to very good people who are very concerned that Obama lied about his birth certificate (and zero stories talking to people who don’t believe that lie.)
That’s why fascism is so close.
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public school parent: ” . . . followed by 100 articles on the subject ‘many very good Americans believe the election was stolen’ (with a disclaimer that rabid Trump-haters disagree, implying that the only reason anyone would disagree with a blatant lie is that they hate Trump!, not because it is not true!)”
As a sometimes thing, the failure to identify truth and replace it with “they believe” can easily go by without notice and may not even matter from time to time.
But as a common performance, especially, by a press in a democracy that so many people read, it’s a deadly practice and points to the same problem–a methodical resort to relativism pointing to dual beliefs–that the Congressional GOP is also involved in–it is a hiding place for the spineless and so for “enablers” for the onset of fascism that is presently crawling all over everything–it’s a political plague we are involved in.
Trump’s double whammy history of bribery and intimidation, and his bevy of neo-brownshirts has everyone peeing their pants while the Maga Morons line the streets cheering as the irresponsibility parade goes by and gets bigger.
But it’s especially bad for the namby-pamby press whose formal responsibility it is, again in and for a democracy, to stay the course of truth. I also feel fear, even writing this note, but we are all depending on the press, even if they are threatened with jail, to speak the truth and to rely on the rule of law for protection while we actually still have access to its power. CBK
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nycpsp– I don’t think we can blame media coverage of Joe Schmo’s take on the Biden economy for Trump’s slim win. I agree with you that the vast majority of voters trust their own gut vs what they read in MSM (incl Fox et al). More to the point : they vote their pocketbook. Nov ’24 was too early for most to have felt any impact from Biden admin’s job-friendly major bills yet, then only felt in geographical pockets of population. Tightening of labor market helped many, but not to a degree that salary got ahead of daily costs.
Joe Schmo’s take merely reflected the Nov ‘24 reality: tho max post-pandemic [June ‘22] heights of inflation were steadily decreasing in monthly rate, they were increasing nonetheless: that meant food prices were still well beyond what Schmo could comfortably afford. Though housing prices were beginning to plateau, they were still at the +25%-30% levels achieved suddenly during the pandemic—while mtg prices increased due to Fed Res efforts to tamp down inflation. Meaning those who wished to downsize could not do so– and those renting were SOL.
It was not out of line for MSM to be reporting on the reality on the ground, as compared to all data pointing to a steadily improving situation (also reported on regularly). There were enough voters out there who felt, we’ve seen this story before, great Wall St #’s never trickle down to Schmo level, I’ll just try the other guy. (Or sit home on Election Day).
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“For the first time since that transition 24 years ago, there will be no American troops at war overseas on Inauguration Day.“
Bullshit.
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100 years ago. ..
Think about it.
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