Last post on this race until there is a clear trend.
There was an update later than the one I just posted, which showed Tony Thurmond with a substantial lead.
Tuck is now ahead by about 13,000 votes.
Los Angeles County is supposed to report late tomorrow.
You can check too.
Fingers crossed.
Diane Ravitch's blog 
As of 6:00 PST, Tony has taken the lead by 3889 votes. Let’s hope LA votes Orange and San Bernadino out of the water tomorrow,
A lead of less than 4,000 votes out of 7.2 million counted.
Razor thin.
An interesting take on the effect of the elections of 2018 on education. I posted the more important view since it deals with DAVOS—–
BROWN CENTER CHALKBOARD
What do the 2018 midterm elections mean for education in America?
Michael Hansen, Elizabeth Mann Levesque, and Jon ValantWednesday, November 7, 2018
2018 Midterm ElectionsNationwide, education was not a top issue for many voters on Election Day–far from it. At the same time, the 2018 state and national elections may have important consequences for education policy across the U.S. Here, we offer several reflections on what some of these results may mean for the future of education policy.
WITH DEMOCRATS CONTROLLING THE HOUSE, EXPECT MORE RIGOROUS FEDERAL OVERSIGHT
With the House under Democratic control, it is likely that House Democrats will ramp up oversight of Secretary Betsy DeVos and the Department of Education through hearings and subpoenas. Oversight may focus on issues such as state implementation of the Every Student Succeeds Act; in particular, whether states are fulfilling the law’s obligation to hold schools accountable for the success of all students, including subgroups of students such as racial and ethnic minorities, English language learners, students from low-income households, and students with disabilities. Civil rights leaders have asked Congress to step up oversight on this very issue. Other issues that Democrats may be eager to investigate include proposed changes to for-profit college regulations, Title IX policies related to campus sexual assault, and the recommendations of the national school safety commission, among others.
Jon Valant
Fellow – Governance Studies, Brown Center on Education Policy
@JonValant
House Democrats cannot compel DeVos to change federal policies absent passage of legislation. But, Rep. Bobby Scott (D-Va.), the soon-to-be chairman of the House education committee, has the authority to call on DeVos and other officials in the department to testify during public hearings. Some of DeVos’s previous appearances in front of congressional committees drew intense criticism, so repeated visits to Capitol Hill could spell trouble for the Secretary. During hearings, evidence could be entered into the record that undermines the department’s position on controversial issues, such as the Department’s proposal to scrap the gainful employment rule. The House education committee also has the power to subpoena records from the Department of Education. As others have reported, Democrats are likely to use this subpoena power to investigate a wide variety of decisions made by the Trump administration.
Using oversight authority to investigate decisions made by DeVos could stall her agenda, and it could increase pressure on DeVos to revise department policies. At the same time, DeVos has thus far proved resilient to outside pressure, faithfully pursuing the Trump administration’s deregulatory agenda in spite of criticism from Democrats. This resilience, however, has occurred in the absence of public congressional scrutiny. Will an increase in oversight cause a real change in her policy decisions? That remains to be seen.
ELECTION RESULTS COULD CATALYZE (SOME) PARTISAN SHIFTS IN STATE-LEVEL EDUCATION POLICY
THE LEGACY OF TEACHER PROTESTS
LOOKING AHEAD TO 2020
MAKE IT A GREAT DAY!
Each county has only partially reported its results, making it impossible to suss who will win. One reassuring thought is that the smaller counties (Tuck bastions) are more likely to have counted and reported most of their ballots, while Los Angeles and Alameda (where Thurmond has stronger support) would naturally take longer to sift through their absentee receipts.
Regardless, it looks better for Thurmond today than on election night.
this mimics the trend across the nation: when we take the time to actually find and count all votes, the outcomes favor the party of the left
At 2:08 PM, PST, Thurmond was almost 1,800 votes ahead.
Which increased to 1808 2 hours later—now.
Clearly, one half of the population will be unhappy, if the entire staff is chosen by the winner.
Count remains the same as of this minute. Tony less than 2,000 votes ahead. Nerve wracking.
I promised not to post about this until the results are clear.
But I can’t resist sharing.
Tony Thurmond just jumped out of a dead heat and now leads Tuck by more than 65,000 votes!
He is far ahead in both LA (Tuck’s base) and San Francisco!
Go, Tony!
https://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/superintendent-of-public-instruction
It’s still way too early to call. Los Angeles, Alameda and Contra Costa Counties just dumped a bunch of results, showing Thurmond is ahead by about 65,000. Orange, Riverside and San Diego also reported (favoring Tuck), so the net gain for Thurmond is a good sign. However, a few more large Republican counties must report in…one or two days from now we’ll know if they swing it back.
It’s a crapshoot, with those of us in California crossing our fingers that the smaller counties have little more to report than what they already have….
Thurmond now up by 76,000+ votes.
The results were indeed updated. Thurmond is sweeping the urban districts that have charters. Tuck is winning conservative districts that have no charters. Tuck is leading by 76,000 votes. The billionaires must be stunned. They thought they had bought this election.
“They thought they had bought this election.”
They were not spending their own money. They were spending our money they should have paid in taxes. But I am sure, they do feel some pain. Hopefully. 🙂
Now it’s 74K.
I did some back-of-the-envelope vote cancellation this morning…about 15 non-updated counties will cancel out each others’ votes. Being up by 95,000 votes, Thurmond should win if he can stay ahead by about 10,000 votes when Imperial, Kern, Tuolomne, San Bernardino, Siskiyou, Sutter and Tehama Counties [Republican dominated that don’t cancel] update their absentee and provisional votes today or tomorrow.
Kern and San Bernardino Counties have very large populations…the question is how many of their citizens voted by absentee ballot.
Tony Thurmond lead over Tuck is holding steady at 75,000
https://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/superintendent-of-public-instruction
73K.
Looking good as of today!
As results come in, Tony Lead remains steady at anout 75,000
Thurmond is going to win! Fresno, Kern and San Bernardino Counties reported their latest results and Thurmond’s lead stayed at 70K+.
It’s essentially over…