Laura Chapman recounts the failed efforts to predict the jobs of the future:


In 2004, Achieve,Inc, the Education Trust, and Thomas B. Fordham Foundation, and William and Flora Hewett Foundation started marketing the myth that specific high school requirements would provide the necessary “college and career readiness” for “high-performance, high- growth jobs.”

The report: Ready or Not: Creating a High School Diploma that Counts was designed to say that American education had one main mission, preparing students for those jobs—projected to “ support a family well above the poverty level, provide benefits, and offer clear pathways for career advancement through further education and training. (p. 105).”

The writers relied on the 2002–03, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, and course taking patterns and transcripts of a cohort of students who graduated from high schools in 1992 in order to make absurd claims about the “proper curriculum content” for entry into high-growth, well-paying jobs.

This effort, called the American Diploma Project, morphed into the Common Core State Standards, with math and ELA the be-all and end-all of education and the meme of “college and career readiness” implanted as if the only thing that mattered in education.

There was not an ounce of reliable information in that report. The economy tanked in 2008. It has not yet recovered.

Now the tech industry is pushing computer everything into school. Here is a recent account of who is doing this and how well. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/27/technology/education-partovi-computer-science-coding-apple-microsoft.html

Here are the Bureau of Labor statistics job projections for the next 10 years 2014-2014. These projections are modified every two years. A typical US worker has held 11 jobs before the age 44.

People who say that career planning should begin in pre-school and kindergarten are really doing damage to education. The “college and career” meme has been marketed as if there is nothing more that matters, and that these two emphases will guarantee a great future for students and the economy. NOT, NOT, NOT.

FASTEST GROWING OCCUPATIONS

Bachelors degree or higher required
Number of new jobs in thousands and median salary
Physical therapists 71.8 $85,000
Nurse practioners 44.7 $100,900
Physician assistants 28.7 $101,480
Statisticians 10.1 $80,500
Operations researcher analyst 27.8 $78,300

SOME POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION REQUIRED

Web developer 39.5 $ 66,310
Physical therapy assistants 31.9 $56,610
Occupational therapy assistants 14.1 $59,010
Commercial drivers 1.6 $49,090

FASTEST GROWING JOBS OVERALL

Home health aides 348.4 $22,600
Physical therapy assistants 31.9 $56,610
Occupational therapy assistants 14.1 $59,010
Physical therapy aides 19.5 $25,680
Wind turbine service technicians 4.8 $52,260

OCCUPATIONS WITH THE MOST JOBS
Personal care aides 458.1 $21,920
Registered nurses 439.3 $68,450
Home health aides 348.3 $22,600
Food services, fast food 343.5 $19,440
Retail sales 314.2 $22,680