Adam Hubbard Johnson was trying to verify the claims of a miraculous transformation in Néw Orleans, and he went in search of the pre-Katrina data. Reformers said the graduation rate had grown from 54.4% before Katrina to 77% in 2012. That’s huge. But was it accurate?
He corresponded with a reporter. She used those numbers but didn’t know the source. He kept digging. Eventually he realized that the source was not city or state or federal data, but a charter advocacy group.
He writes:
“A thought experiment:
Imagine, for a moment, that Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld had said five years after 9/11:
“I think the best thing that happened to the defense system in New York and Washington was 9/11. That defense system was a disaster, and it took 9/11 to wake up the community to say that ‘we have to do better’.”
We would rightfully find this crude and opportunistic. But in 2010 when Secretary of Education Arne Duncan said
“I think the best thing that happened to the education system in New Orleans was Hurricane Katrina. That education system was a disaster, and it took Hurricane Katrina to wake up the community to say that ‘we have to do better’.”
the media either shrugged it off or embraced its thesis. The political and moral rot of the New Orleans education system pre-Katrina wasn’t just taken for granted – our political classes saw it as so manifestly depraved and corrupt that it validated the deaths of 1,833 people. Such is the hysteria with which conventional wisdom cements itself.
Like a tale out of an Ayn Rand variation of Genesis, the story of Katrina wasn’t one of nature’s caprice or racism’s legacy, it was instead the fortunate and righteous correction of liberal excess. And though graduation rates are not the only point of comparison used to prop up this perception (I will explore others later), they are the most accessible and finite.”
Why the missing pre-Katrina grad rate?
“The answer to this question illuminates, in a limited but potent way, what a corporate coup looks like up close. When education becomes charity rather than a right, an investment instrument rather than a civic good, the ability to distinguish between substance and marketing becomes by design, overwhelming. Like a refund department with a six hour wait time, the frustration in attempting to navigate this neoliberal maze of “private/public” responsibilities is precisely the point. Even the most basic of acts – hosting a website – turns out to be one of the primary reasons finding data is so difficult. The LDOE has had, inexplicably, five differnt primary domains in the past decade – from doe.louisiana.gov to doe.state.la.us to louisianaschools.net to louisianabelieves.net to its current, full-flown corporate iteration louisianabelieves.com”
He writes about the framing of the reform narrative:
“The story of Katrina and how it justified charter schools can best be summed up by Arthur Miller’s observation that “the structure of a play is always the story of how the birds came home to roost.”
“So went the Katrina reform school narrative in all its moral clarity. Circa 2005 charter school leaders, largely funded by the Walton, Gates, Koch families and given cover by neoliberal corporatists whose primary purpose appeared to be the act of looking busy, sought a PR coup. Though they were making incremental headway, there was little urgency to their cause. Two weeks after Katrina however, while 96% of corpses still remained unidentified and the Superdome had been reduced to a “toxic biosphere”, the story of how the birds had come home to roost was too good to pass up. Koch-funded and proto-Tea Party outfit FreedomWorks was the first to float this narrative on September 15th, both in the pages of the National Review and on their website, in an op-ed by Chris Kinnan.
[Kinnan wrote:] “There is a second rescue urgently needed in the terrible aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, and one that is long overdue: saving New Orleans school kids from their broken public-school system. The tragedy of the storm provides America with a golden opportunity”
This idea of a “golden opportunity” to perform a dramatic experiment in New Orleans became conventional wisdom.
Johnson writes:
“All of this is to say nothing of the core fallacy at the heart of the “choice movement”: the presumption of dichotomy. Schools going bad? Poverty’s not the problem, abject racism’s not at fault, underfunding is irrelevant (Louisiana spent $1,636 more in real dollars per pupil in 2012 than it did pre-Katrina). No, it has to be teachers’ unions and local school boards. Get rid of those and let slick PR firms, Ivy League idealists, and hedge fund real estate interest come in and do it right. A third option, or a fourth option or any cost-benefit was never discussed. Within 10 weeks of Katrina, while the state’s largely poor and African American diaspora were scattered throughout the Gulf states simply trying to stay alive – the Louisiana State Legislature called an emergency session, passing ACT 35 which, as even Tulane’s pro-school reform Cowen Institute acknowledged, radically changed the defintion of “failing school” from the flawed but objective criteria of having a state score of less than 60 to include any school that was below the state score median, which, at the time was 86.2. Put another way: the state assured itself that their own Recovery School Board would control, by definition, at least 50% of the state’s schools no matter what.
“Overnight, 102 of the 119 locally control New Orleans schools, all primarily poor, all primarily black, were put under the pro-charter, primarily white state control. Not because they were “failing” – a school cannot “fail” to meet retroactive standards – but rather because they were vulnerable. No study issued. No ballot measure campaigned for. No discussion had.
“The corporate forces were too overwhelming, the liberal class too monied and distracted. The official history of a broken school system that was simply washed to sea, too convenient. And the truth – like the shiny new charter school system that emerged at its expense – was simply torn down and built again from scratch.”

Here is how corporations will control the thoughts of children in the classroom. Teachers choosing appropriate textbooks will become obsolete.
http://www.edweek.org/ew/articles/2015/05/20/open-educational-resources-promoted-in-us-senate.html
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This is actually a pretty good idea (at least in HS ELA), if — and it’s a big if — everyone can have equal access to the materials 24/7. 33% of my kids have no internet access outside of school, and only half of this is because of economic factors. The rest never will because their parents seem to think it’s an instrument of the devil.
However, I can see where this could be an area ripe for government attempts as mind control in areas such as science (ironically, also seen as an instrument of the devil).
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Mercedes Schneider picked up where Adam Hubbard Johnson left off:
————————————————-
NEWS: Info on New Orleans Graduation Rates Pre-Katrina
June 11, 2015
Today I read a May 2014 post, Charter Schools’ Memory Hole, written by Adam Hubbard Johnson.
His piece opens as follows:
Pre-Katrina New Orleans graduation numbers are charter school advocates’ exhibit A for reform. One problem: The U.S. and Louisiana Departments of Education say they don’t exist.
What Johnson attempted to do was track the supposed pre-Katrina New Orleans graduation rate of 54.4% to a primary source by contacting those who have cited this stat, including NOLA.com reporter Danielle Dreilinger and former state board member Leslie Jacobs.
Even the Louisiana Department of Education (LDOE) communicated to him that they did not have “published graduation rates” that went back that far (Johnson asked for 2002-04).
No primary source available.
Well. I have some graduation data on Orleans Parish pre-Katrina, and it comes from LDOE data.
Here is the process that I followed:
In his post, Johnson noted that the url for the LDOE website has changed five times in the past ten years.
I used the web archive search engine Wayback Machine and plugged in the first of Johnson’s reported LDOE urls. Archived page views went back to 2006.
Not far enough.
So, in an effort to find a document with an older LDOE url on it, I googled the term, “louisiana department of education 2001 pdf.” Sure enough, I came up with doe.state.la.us.
When I plugged that into the Wayback machine, it showed archived LDOE page views going back to November 1996.
Here are some that I saved– and they are a trove of archived data that LDOE cannot erase:
La. overview, data and reports
La. student data, 1998-2003
La. district composite reports, 1996-2003
La. first-time college freshmen state reports, 1997-2002
La. dropout numbers and percents, 2001-02
My goal in this search was to find information on Orleans Parish graduation rates in the years preceding Katrina, information archived from LDOE.
I found two items of data that allowed me to calculate graduation rates for Orleans Parish schools for 1998-99, 1999-2000, 2000-01, and 2001-02.
The first information comes from the OPSB District Report 2002-03. Page 5-8 includes the total number of high school graduates for the district for the years 1997-98 through 2001-02 in the charts regarding first-time college freshman performance for 1998-99 through 2002-03.
The next information comes from several pages that can be found using the “student data” link above. The pages are named, “Multiple Statistics” for October of each year. I used the pages with data from 1998 to 2001. One of the district-level stats available is the number of students enrolled in each grade level in October of each school year (the official state count). Thus, I was able to find out how many seniors Orleans Parish schools had at the beginning of a given school year.
By dividing the number of Orleans Parish graduates for a given school year by the total number of Orleans Parish seniors enrolled at the beginning of that same school year, I was able to calculate Orleans Parish graduation rates for several years preceding Hurricane Katrina.
And here they are:
Year……………# grads……total # of seniors….OPSB grad rate
1998-99……….3,507………….4,583………………….76.5%
1999-2000……3,604………….4,473………………….80.6%
2000-01……….3,450………….4,409………………….78.3%
2001-02……….3,471………….4,395………………….79.0%
Not even close to the marketed-though-unsubstantiated pre-Katrina “54.4%” that LDOE refuses to validate.
contemplative kid
But this surely presents a marketing problem for those who would have the public believe that the charter school takeover in Orleans “raised” the graduation rate to 77.8% in 2012, as NOLA.com claimed in 2013…
…And on the proverbial eve of the National Charter School Conference, scheduled to transpire in New Orleans from June 21-24, 2015.
Simply terrible.
But wait: AN UPDATE:
One of my colleagues in North Carolina commented that Louisiana uses a cohort graduation rate, which means that graduation rates are calculated using stats from the freshman year to determine a four-year rate. (For more on the varied ways of calculating high school grad rates, read here. Also, as of 2011-12, the US Dept of Ed had states standardize reporting of grad rates.)
The only data I have readily available for such a cohort calculation is taken from the info I used above for calculating based on the number of seniors, except backing it up to the number of freshman, for 1998-99 (which means the graduation rate for 2001-02).
The calculation yields a 2001-02 OPSB graduation rate of 52% (3,471 grads from 6,675 freshman in 1998-99).
But there is yet another issue here, and that is the issue of the state splitting what were the OPSB schools into two districts– with one being state-run (Recovery School District– RSD) and turned into an all-charter district in 2014-15, while the other remained local-board-run OPSB with its own charters (but not state-takeover charters).
The data cited below can be found here.
The first RSD cohort post-Katrina was the freshman class of 2006, which means the graduating class of 2009-10. The graduation rate for this RSD cohort was 49.7%.
The RSD cohort graduation rate for 2010-11 was 58.8%.
For 2011-12, it peaked at 67.7%. Then, in 2012-13, it dipped to 59.5%.
Now, these are the fruits of the state running the show, the system that was supposed to save New Orleans schools. A question that begs an answer is the 8.9% rise to the 2011-12 67.7% peak then the 8.2% drop from the 67.7% peak to the 59.9% in 2012-13.
It is hard to sell RSD as a solution if the graduation rate does not continue to rise– and especially if it drops so drastically.
Meanwhile, the OPSB has been “creamed” (and here); the OPSB cohort rate for 2009-10 (based on the freshman class in 2006-07) shot up to 90.3%, and then further in 2010-11 to its peak, 93.8%. The OPSB cohort grad rate then dropped to 89.3% in 2011-12, where it remained for 2012-13.
The parlor trick comes when the state combines the OPSB and RSD cohort graduation rates. It is a way of selling the state-run RSD while deflecting attention from the fact that the state running schools does not produce miracles.
The best combined statistic happened in 2012: the 77.8% previously alluded to in this post. That stat helped prop up the RSD 67.7% and make it look even better than the state average of 72.3%. But then 2013 came, and with it, a drop in that combined OPSB-RSD stat to 72.8%– even as the state graduation rate continued to rise to 73.5%.
And the 2013 RSD grad rate dropping below 60 percent once again, to 59.5%, well, that’s just not a good selling point for advertising RSD as a state-run model.
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I’m reminded of the scene in 1984 when Winston comes, briefly, into possession of a little slip of paper that proves that Oceania was indeed at war with Eurasia before it was at war with East Asia.
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There is a lot of confusion here. The US Department of Education reports “Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR)” for public high school students. The graduation rate/s discussed in the article above and in the comments introduce many new ways but are we making good comparisons? What is the real definition of the graduation rate? Is it the one used by USDOE?
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But that’s part of the problem, Raj. There’s a false certainty to these numbers that is capable of being spun beyond belief.
The whole point of collecting all this “data” was so there would be objective information, but that isn’t how it’s used and that isn’t how the public will use it. I see it happen every single year when my local newspaper runs the banner headline with the school scores. Then I get the pleasure of reading the elaborate explanations and qualifiers of the local school leaders, which adds CONTEXT.
No one reads that second part. There’s an effort to pretend these reported numbers are determinative, the last word, and that’s how people treat numbers, that they “don’t lie”. Yes, sometimes they do.
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Chiara: quite so.
One of the hallmarks of the self-proclaimed “education reform” crowd is the use of mathematical intimidation and obfuscation.
I respectfully refer and others to a posting on this blog entitled “Thankful for John Ewing”—
Link: https://dianeravitch.net/2014/05/28/thankful-for-john-ewing/
Who is John Ewing? What did he write?
Click on the link.
😎
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The New Orleans Miracle:
[start excerpt]
One of those who saw opportunity in the floodwaters of New Orleans was Milton Friedman. … “Uncle Miltie,” as he was known to his followers, … found the strength to write an op-ed for The Wall Street Journal three months after the levees broke. “Most New orleans schools are in ruins,” Friedman observed, “as are the homes of the children who have attended there. The children are now scattered all over the country. this is a tragedy. It is also an opportunity to radically reform the educational system.”
Friedman’s radical idea was that instead of spending a portion of the billions of dollars in reconstruction money on rebuilding and improving New Orleans’ existing pubic school system, the government should provide families with vouchers, which they could spend at private institutions, many run at a profit, that would be subsidized buy the state. It was crucial, Friedman wrote, that this fundamental change not be a stopgap but rather “a permanent solution.”
A network of right-wing think tanks seized on Friedman’s proposal and descend on the city after the storm. The administration of George W. Bush backed up their plans with tens of millions of dollars to convert New Orleans schools into “charter schools,” publicly funded institutions run by private entities according to their own rules. Charter schools are deeply polarizing in the United States, and nowhere more than in New Orleans, where they are seen by many African-American parents as a way of reversing the gains of the civil rights movement, which guaranteed all children the same standard of education. For Milton Friedman, however, the entire concept of a state-run school system reeked of socialism. …
In sharp contrast to the glacial pace with which the levees were repaired and the electricity grid was brought back online, the auctioning off of New Orleans’ school system took place with military speed and precision. Within nineteen months, with most of the city’s poor residents still in exile, New Orleans’ public school system had been almost completely replaced by privately run charter schools. Before Hurricane Katrina, the school board had run 123 public schools; now it ran just 14. Before that storm, there had been 7 charter schools; now there were 31.
[end excerpt]
(From Naomi Klein, THE SHOCK DOCTRINE: THE RISE OF DISASER CAPITALISM, 2007, pp. 5-6.)
And I couldn’t help noticing the following from the posting: “Louisiana spent $1,636 more in real dollars per pupil in 2012 than it did pre-Katrina”—
What happened to the charter mantra “do more with less”? Again, they are doing “less [educating] with more [of our money].”
$tudent $ucce$$! Ain’t it grand!
😡
But the chief beneficiaries and enforcers and enablers of the self-appointed “education reform” movement were pegged long long ago by a very old and very dead and very Roman guy:
“For greed all nature is too little.”
Lucius Annaeus Seneca. He knew the type.
😎
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“Milton Greedman”
Milton Greedman
Loved a crisis
Market seed men
Were his vices
Planted seeds
In crisis soil
Watched the weeds
Take over all
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KrazyTA
June 16, 2015 at 2:01 pm
Chiara: quite so.
One of the hallmarks of the self-proclaimed “education reform” crowd is the use of mathematical intimidation and obfuscation.
I’m not intimidated by their math skills. These are the same people who insist “100% of 50% remaining students” is “100%” right?
Not intimidated by that. Baffled why they keep doing it after they’ve been corrected 15 times, but not terrified by the math whizzes in ed reform.
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Chiara: I’m with you on this one.
100%!
Go figure…
😃
The rheephorm equivalent of bean counters trot out their formulae when cornered but do everything possible to avoid, deflect or not hear any questioning of the basic premises and assumptions behind those formulae.
In other words, all the complicated and sometimes arcane mathematical machinery rests upon, and proceeds from, some sort of assessment or judgment.
For example, Audrey Amrein-Beardsley uses the fortuitous phrase “heroic assumptions” to describe the foundations of VAManiacal math.
But, if I may add, just as the rheephormsters ensure one sort of educational experience for THEIR OWN CHILDREN and [when they can get away with it] something very different for OTHER PEOPLE’S CHILDREN, we must pay attention to what they say and do on different occasions.
For example, when the VAMster “experts” run their numbers & stats up a pole, in technical reports and small footnotes and invitation-only meetings, they will [sometimes] grudgingly include caveats and cautions and such. But when the folks cutting their checks and the heavyweights among the edupreneurs and so on are mandating the use of VAM eduproducts as bludgeons against teachers and students, the impression is given to the general public that VAM measures teaching and learning in absolute terms. And nothing could be further from the truth—the elaborate math simply disguises various schemes for measuring this against that. Absolute terms? Not at all! It’s all relative! And the “experts”? Silence is golden. They spend their time and energy keeping a close watch on their tongues so they can keep a close watch on their own wallets…
But that is not how it is (literally) sold to the general public. And that doesn’t even get into the spurious nature of reducing (in practice) all aspects of teaching and learning to standardized test scores.
So, in closing, I’ll see your 13th percentile and raise you a 90th.
Rheeally! And a most Johnsonally sort of way too…
But not really…
😎
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I loved when Arne Duncan said it broke his heart (or whatever!) when children identified themselves as a test score. “II’m a 1”
What did he think was going to happen? They would perform a nuanced analysis of all their learning objectives and their progress towards goals? Has he never listened to high schoolers agonizing over their ACT scores?
If you give people a reductive measure they use it. The same thing will happen with the Common Core tests, except worse because now they have a national number.
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Chiara: you are referring to that exemplar of word salad and cognitive dissonance known as “Choosing the Right Battles: Remarks and a Conversation” given by Arne Duncan on April 30, 2013, to the annual meeting of AERA [American Educational Research Association].
Link: http://www.ed.gov/news/speeches/choosing-right-battles-remarks-and-conversation
Among other things, the current Secretary of Education came out foursquare and firm and with grim determination and rigor: for standardized testing; against standardized testing; and somewhat for/somewhat against standardized testing. All at the same time. A tour de farce.
He also expounded on Campbell’s Law. And you will be happy to know that he chastised his critics in the audience by informing them that they need to get standardized testing right. Yep, he sure did…
[start Duncan excerpt]
Many current state assessments tend to focus on easy-to-measure concepts and fill-in-the-bubble answers. Results come back months later, usually after the end of the school year, when their instructional usefulness has expired.
And today’s assessments certainly don’t measures qualities of great teaching that we know make a difference—things like classroom management, teamwork, collaboration, and individualized instruction. They don’t measure the invaluable ability to inspire a love of learning.
Most of the assessment done in schools today is after the fact. Some schools have an almost obsessive culture around testing, and that hurts their most vulnerable learners and narrows the curriculum. It’s heartbreaking to hear a child identify himself as “below basic” or “I’m a one out of four.”
Not enough is being done at scale to assess students’ thinking as they learn to boost and enrich learning, and to track student growth. Not enough is being done to use high-quality formative assessments to inform instruction in the classroom on a daily basis.
[end Duncan excerpt]
The usual unconfirmed rumors have it that after delivering this stirring call to educational arms he was heard singing, whilst alone in his room, these opening lines from his all-time favorite song:
“I could while away the hours
Conferrin’ with the flowers
Consultin’ with the rain
And my head, I’d be scratchin’
While my thoughts were busy hatchin’
If I only had a brain”
Of course, with regards to his favorite musical ditty the rest of us might keep repeating “if only” but I digress…
😎
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Excellent research, but I have two quibbles: “Ivy League idealists” is far too charitable a term for the arrogant colonizers who are disproportionately represented among the so-called reformers, and it avoids the systemic role these institutions play in school privatization. Harvard, in particular, has been a petri dish of toxic ideas about the public schools and their governance.
Second, the liberals were not “distracted.” There are many words to use for the role of liberals in this sorry tale – naive, negligent, complicit, useful idiots, disingenuous, etc. – but “distracted” is not an accurate description of it.
The enthusiastic participation of liberals in so-called reform, which continues, has been integral to the success of the reform narrative, going back at least to Teddy Kennedy’s co-sponsoring (not, by the way, the first time he’d spearheaded legislation that screwed over both the public and workers) NCLB.
The absorption of liberals into an anti-public, anti-union project is a perfect example of what author Chris Hedges has called “The Death of the Liberal Class,” in which they have abdicated their previous role of ameliorating the worst excesses of capitalism, and instead have reverted closer to a 19th Century definition of liberalism. No surprise there, since the Overclass is working overtime to take us back to the 19th century in terms of labor and consumer rights.In this instance, not only have liberals not ameliorated the excesses of the Overclass, they have enabled them, to their continuing disgrace.
A fine piece of work, but the author let’s the Ivy league and liberals off the hook for their role in this debacle.
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“Ivy league Opportunists” might be a better description.
Or just “Elite Opportunists” because as KrazyTA notes above, Milton Friedman at U of Chicago actually spawned many of these types.
“Ivy Culture”
Harvard is a Petri dish
An agar of “reform”
Culture of “reformer” wish
And validating norm
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“And colonizing norm” might be better
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or maybe “colonizing storm”
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SomeDAM Poet: I know this would be hard to fit in, but the unkind phrase “squirmin’ vermin” crept in my mind…
Ok, I’m going to stick my toe in the water:
Harvard is a petri dish
An agar of “reform”
Encouragin the spawn’
Of lotsa squirmin’ vermin.
Oh yes, I succeeded in embarrassing myself. Let’s stick with yours…
😎
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“Poison Ivy”
Poison Ivy
Is a bitch
Makes me hivy
Makes me itch
Someone bring
The Calamine
Fights the sting
of Ivy vine
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An oldie but goodie by the Coasters:
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This is one of the most interesting posts I’ve seen—what wonderful research and interpretation! P
Paul Lauter
Allan K. and Gwendolyn Miles Smith
Professor of Literature (Emeritus)
Trinity College
115 Vernon St.
Hartford, CT 06106, USA
Mobile: 646-824-8538
Home: 212-570-0997
Fax: 860-297-2303
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