Chris Tomlinson, a columnist for the Houston Chronicle, writes that Trump will break the economy unless he breaks five of his campaign promises. Fat chance.
The U.S. voter will soon see what happens when President-elect Donald Trump’s hyperbole meets reality.
The former and future president made a lot of big promises during his campaign, from blanket tariffs to mass deportations to budget cuts. Luckily, he broke half his campaign promises during his first term, PolitiFact reported.
For the good of the economy and Texas, here are five promises he needs to forget he ever made.
Blanket tariffs: Global trade is the bedrock of the U.S. economy, with consumers purchasing cheap foreign goods and turning foreign raw materials into high-value products. Trump’s track record proves that tariffs are a tax on American consumers and are not paid by foreign nations or corporations.
“The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades,” the conservative Tax Foundation said.
Trump’s most constrained new tariff proposal would cost American consumers and companies another $524 billion annually, shrink the economy by at least 0.8% and wipe out 684,000 jobs, the foundation calculated. That does not include Trump’s most recent promise to impose 100% tariffs on our largest trading partner, Mexico.
Mass deportations: The U.S. construction and hospitality industries are entirely dependent on undocumented immigrants. Deporting millions of these workers would drive housing costs nationwide through the roof and shutter restaurants and hotels.
If Trump only managed to deport 1.3 million workers by 2028, he would shrink the economy by 1.2%, the nonpartisan Peterson Institute for International Economics calculated. If he were wildly successful and deported 8.3 million people, Trump would put the United States into a depression, decreasing economic activity by 7.4%
Inflation Reduction Act repeal: President Joe Biden is proud of his administration’s signature legislation to boost domestic manufacturing and fight climate change. Trump and his ally Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, have promised to roll it back.
The IRA provides hundreds of billions of dollars in credits and grants for renewable energy, clean technology manufacturing, hydrogen development, carbon capture and nuclear power. Federal agencies have awarded $8 billion in grants to Texas alone.
Corporations have invested hundreds of billions more to collect credits and grants. Rolling back the entire act would effectively terminate hundreds of projects creating good jobs nationwide, including Texas projects valued at $8 billion.
Cutting incentives for wind, solar and battery storage, the cheapest methods of new electricity generation, would contradict another of Trump’s promises. Repealing the IRA would prevent him from supplying the “#1 Lowest Cost Energy and Electricity on Earth.”
Affordable Care Act repeal: Trump has never liked Obamacare and promised to replace it with “a concept of a plan” his staff is developing. Congressional Republicans are also excited about rolling back another signature Democratic program.
Obamacare subsidizes health insurance to nearly 30 million Americans, including 2.5 million Texans, most of whom work for employers who do not offer health insurance. The law also protects people with pre-existing conditions and allows parents to keep their kids on the program until they are 26.
Repealing the ACA without a replacement would leave most enrollees without health insurance. Those people would visit health care providers less often, possibly costing the industry 1.2 million jobs, the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute calculated.
Private insurers would also increase premiums because more people would rely on free emergency care, forcing hospitals to charge insured people more to make up for the uninsured.
Drastic budget cuts: The president-elect has always promised lower taxes and less government spending. His 2017 tax bill slashed taxes for corporations and the very wealthy, but he failed to cut the budget. Instead, he added $1 trillion to the federal deficit.
Trump’s proposed tax cuts would add $5.8 trillion to the deficit over a decade, according to the Wharton School. He has promised to cut government spending by $1 trillion yearly, while Musk has pledged to find $2 trillion, but they don’t say from what programs.
Trump seems to have forgotten that government spending buys goods and services from companies. Taking that much money away from those businesses will slow the economy.
Even a Republican-controlled Congress will likely block Trump’s most costly promises. Lobbyists will still wield a lot of power on Capitol Hill, and no member wants to explain why investments in their district were canceled.
However, Trump can implement the most dramatic and damaging policies on his own, especially tariffs and immigration enforcement. Hopefully, Trump will surround himself with people who will find ways to break his promises.

I watched an interesting election debate between Scott Adams, the creator of the Dilbert, and Cenk Uygar of The Young Turks. Adams said that he didn’t believe that Trump was going to do what he said he was going to do, and that it wouldn’t be possible even if he tried. He said he supported Trump because he like the general direction he was moving in, such as tough trade negotiations, controlling immigration, etc. I hope Adams right and Trump doesn’t make good on his promises.
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Scott Adams created a popular comic strip, which I enjoyed.
Does that give Adams any special credibility on anything other than creating a comic strip?
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recent Scott Adams news. I think it’s fair to assume his analysis is flawed. To put it in the most professional and noninflammatory response I have.
https://www.npr.org/2023/02/26/1159580425/newspapers-have-dropped-the-dilbert-comic-strip-after-a-racist-rant-by-its-creat
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Shorter Scott Adams: “Aside from the Jews and fascism, Hitler is moving in the general direction I like.”
When folks say that they don’t believe the guy they voted for is going to do what he said he is going to do, they mean that they don’t care whether or not he does the thing he says he is going to do, and they wouldn’t be particularly bothered if he did.
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A debate between Scott Adams and Cenk Uygar = brain cell destroyer.
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It’s not impossible that Traitor Trump might break some of his latest campaign promises. After all, he is a lifelong cheater, and a serial liar, who broke 53% of the promises he made during his first four years in the White House, while filling nappies and throwing tantrums.
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“We are going to build a wall and Mexico will pay for it!”
Serial liar. Tells people what they want to hear.
I wonder if someone said, “You want mass deportation, this will be the amount added to your Fed tax bill.”
As they say, “No one rides for free,” someone pays for it and it is typically the middle class.
But, if you have time, take a look at the BILLIONS mass deportation will cost. https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/mass-deportation
Matthew Dowd, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthew_Dowd said that Biden had a 40% approval rating and the vote went the same way. He stated if Biden had a 44% approval rating, the outcome might have been different.(apparently this has been a pattern). You don’t like what’s happening, blame the person in charge.
Once again, just my thoughts and processing all of this. Now that I am retired and my healthcare could be at stake, my social security and whatnot. My parents (85+) are worried about it all, too.
Blessings to you all.
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“We are going to build a wall and Mexico will pay for it!”
Serial liar. Tells people what they want to hear.
I wonder if someone said, “You want mass deportation, this will be the amount added to your Fed tax bill.”
As they say, “No one rides for free,” someone pays for it and it is typically the middle class.
But, if you have time, take a look at the BILLIONS mass deportation will cost. https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/mass-deportation
Matthew Dowd, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthew_Dowd said that Biden had a 40% approval rating and the vote went the same way. He stated if Biden had a 44% approval rating, the outcome might have been different.(apparently this has been a pattern). You don’t like what’s happening, blame the person in charge.
Once again, just my thoughts and processing all of this. Now that I am retired and my healthcare could be at stake, my social security and whatnot. My parents (85+) are worried about it all, too.
Blessings to you all.
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Good Luck with that. According to his son they are picking candidates for the Cabinet and other assignments who do not think of themselves as more knowledgeable than their new President.
Where they will find such people who are picked to be “Yes” men and women does not bode well for Trump’s administration or for the American people, even those who voted for him.
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“they are picking candidates for the Cabinet and other assignments who do not think of themselves as more knowledgeable than their new President.”
His poorly educated crazies have no clue what a low bar that is.
He’s a know-it-all and doesn’t really want any American advisors, just a room full of people who will regularly tell him how smart and knowledgeable he is –much like what he made people say at his Cabinet meetings before.
Who needs advisors about a democracy anyway, when the plan is to be a dictator and circumvent the Constitution? Most probably, the autocrats abroad who he admires have already been teaching him how to do that for years.
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He has no concern over keeping or breaking promises because he doesn’t have to worry about being re-elected now (nor public opinion). That’s not due to term limits, but because when China’s Xi Jinping consolidated his power and became president for life, tRump said “I think it’s great. Maybe we’ll give that a shot someday.” (So, as usual for him, the Constitution be damned.)
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trump-says-maybe-u-s-will-have-a-president-for-life-someday
He only cares about himself, so his only concern will be what has always been his bottom line: how much money HE can make.
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Putin plays the zero-sum game. There is no difference between Russia gaining power or America losing it. Trump’s job is to continue destabilizing our institutions, eroding democracy and our faith in its mechanics, and weakening our alliances, all of which we’ve already seen him do but are about to experience in much higher doses. Idiocracy has arrived. We’ve traded scientists and sobriety for incoherent conspiracists and cons hawking crypto. Lock in, there’s a horse in the hospital.
https://youtu.be/JhkZMxgPxXU?si=NkR19s1WgyOHlXdq
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Truly excellent points! And thanks so much for sharing this funny reminder of what we got before –which feels like gallows humor now…
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Here we go…the 4B Movement!!!
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/4b-movement-south-korea-inspires-american-women-trump-reelection-rcna179143
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This is silly.
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Why do you reject it outright?
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I reject it because this is not a movement. It’s a statement.
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It’s not silly for young women who are contemplating getting pregnant knowing full well that it may be a death sentence. Even if they don’t reject men outright, I think we will see many young women deciding not to have children and opting for sterilization. If contraception is taken away, more women may decide not to engage in sex with men. If women feel like they are not loved and supported by men, they will date them. I don’t think it’s silly at all.
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It makes total sense for young women to make decisions about reproduction that are self-interested.
What’s weird and silly is framing this as “men versus women.” There are all kinds of men.
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Sorry, they will NOT date them.
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I agree that not all men are created equal. But I think young women feel betrayed by men who they see in powerful positions. They view the whole culture as a patriarchy, so they feel like withdrawing their bodies and their powers from the society as a whole. I think that’s what’s happening. Time will tell how bad it gets for women. If women feel that men have control over their bodies, many women may try to take their control back in this way.
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Mamie, they should have voted.
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I have female students who refuse to say the Pledge of Allegiance now. I watched girls break down and cry in the school bathroom this week. Women friends are walking around wondering if the men around them hate them. Women I talk to are sad, depressed, angry and enraged. And if what is expected to happen comes to pass, there will be more of that.
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Maybe if they get angry, they will be more likely to vote.
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Voting is only ONE way of showing your power. There are other ways. I’m not saying that this is the “right” thing but I do believe that it will be a natural reaction to the removal of right that women have over their bodies and living among men who hold power.
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Mamie,
I think there are slightly more women than men in this country. Why are we underrepresented in state legislatures and Congress? The reason: the women who have been trained to obey men, the women who don’t want other women in leadership roles. Same women.
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Diane,
I don’t disagree. Everything going on now is very complicated. There is no one answer to it all.
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I get very annoyed by women who complain but don’t vote.
Even more annoying are the women who attack equal rights for women.
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Columnist Chris T may have noticed that this week Mike Miles ordered 2 more HISD Harvard Elementary administrators to toss their belongings into a cardboard box or maybe a trash bag and GET GONE. They were escorted off campus and assigned to an alternate location. The principal was “terminated” back in October. It is a regular revolving door at Harvard ES. The students are confused and their parents are outraged. So maybe the DJT promise & practice of treating people like objectified, disposable riff-raff could also be discarded. The strong arm tactical disruptions are now Standard Operating Procedure. Reminiscent of Occupied France.
https://www.click2houston.com/news/local/2024/11/08/2-administrators-escorted-from-houston-isds-harvard-elementary-school-campus/
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Mike Miles says the rejection of the bond issue was not a referendum on his leadership. Yes, it was. He should go, but he won’t because Greg Abbot wants to punish Houston
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Is there similar analysis on the whole Mein Projekt 2025, discussing what is possible to carry out, what is not, and what the damages could be? I am most worried about education and the environment.
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