The well-publicized Vergara trial in Los Angeles has put a spotlight on teacher tenure and seniority.

The plaintiffs’s lawyers say that the “best” teachers are unfairly assigned to teach white students.

Gary Rubinstein looks at the claims and finds them statistically dubious.

For one thing, they are based on value-added measures, which are themselves of dubious scientific validity.

For another, those testifying for the plaintiffs–notably Tom Kane (who is known for his work for the Gates Foundation)–knows that the math behind his claims is shaky.

He notes that Kane testifies that 5.4% of Latino kids get “ineffective” teachers (as measured by VAM), when only 5% should get such teachers.

Hmmm. Not what one would identify as a smoking gun of discrimination.

The defendants should get a mathematician to punch a hole in these assertions.