Heather Cox Richardson relates Trump’s flurry of tweets yesterday, which indicate a heightened state of anxiety. It seemed as though he devoted an inordinate amount of time to posting on his social media site. He did board a helicopter at one point in the day and answered a reporter’s question, using the F word. What people say in private is their own business, but this may be the first time that an American President used that expletive in public, on camera, speaking to the American people. This is a man who seethes with undisguised rage.
Mary Trump would say that this rage is a consequence of slights from his childhood. Maybe she’s right.
Or was it because his grandiose claims of obliterating Iran’s nuclear stockpile turned out not to be true? Trump lies all the time, but this was a big boast on the international stage that turned out to be premature. He looks foolish. He hates that.
At 6:02 last night, President Donald Trump announced on his social media account that Israel and Iran has agreed to “a Complete and Total CEASEFIRE” that would lead to “an Official END to THE 12 DAY WAR.” Maggie Haberman of the New York Times reported today that the announcement took some of Trump’s own senior advisors by surprise. Since then, Trump’s social media feed has been unusually active, posting claims that his approval rate is soaring, that he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize, that “for the first time ever [a] majority of Americans believe the United States is on the right track,” and that “Trump was right about everything.”
“THE CEASEFIRE IS NOW IN EFFECT. PLEASE DO NOT VIOLATE IT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!” Trump’s social media feed posted at 1:08 this morning. But within hours, Israel had struck Iran again. At 6:50, Trump’s social media feed posted: “ISRAEL. DO NOT DROP THOSE BOMBS. IF YOU DO IT IS A MAJOR VIOLATION. BRING YOUR PILOTS HOME, NOW! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES.” At 7:28 it posted: ISRAEL is not going to attack Iran. All planes will turn around and head home, while doing a friendly “Plane Wave” to Iran. Nobody will be hurt, the Ceasefire is in effect! Thank you for your attention to this matter! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES.”
After Israel struck, Iran retaliated. This morning, Trump accused both countries of violating the ceasefire agreement—although, to be sure, there has been no published confirmation that any such agreement exists. Sounding angry, Trump told reporters: “We basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the f— they’re doing.”
At 11:17 the account posted: “Both Israel and Iran wanted to stop the War, equally! It was my great honor to Destroy All Nuclear facilities & capability, and then, STOP THE WAR!” It also attacked Democrats, especially women of color, at length, saying they were stupid and “can’t stand the concept of our Country being successful again.”
The account also said: “Now that we have made PEACE abroad, we must finish the job here at home by passing “THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL,” and getting the Bill to my desk, ASAP. It will be a Historic Present for THE GREAT PEOPLE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, as we begin the Celebration of our Country’s 250th Birthday. We are finally entering our Golden Age, which will bring unprecedented Safety, Security, and Prosperity for ALL of our Citizens.”
In fact, Trump’s victory lap seems designed to be the finale to a triumphant storyline that can convince his loyalists he has scored an enormous victory before reality sets in. According to a new CNN poll, Americans disapprove of the U.S. military strikes against Iran by a margin of 56% to 44%.
Further, Natasha Bertrand, Katie Bo Lillis, and Zachary Cohen of CNN reported today that according to early assessments by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) of the damage caused by the U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, the strikes did not destroy the main parts of the Iran’s nuclear program and probably set it back by only a few months. The DIA is the intelligence arm of the Pentagon.
The White House called the DIA assessment “flat out wrong.”
Later today, the New York Times confirmed CNN’s reporting.
Republican senator Rand Paul of Kentucky suggested today that the Obama administration had the right approach when it negotiated the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) that limited Iran’s nuclear program. Paul said: “I’m arguing that the intervention, the military intervention, may not have been successful, as people are saying, and also that there may not be a military answer to this, that ultimately the answer to the end of the nuclear program is going to involve diplomacy.”
A video on Trump’s social media feed posted at 7:15 tonight recalled Senator John McCain’s 2007 call to “bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran” to the tune of the Beach Boys’ “Barbara Ann.” Trump’s version used McCain’s “bomb Iran” chorus but was longer and had visual imagery of planes dropping bombs. In Trump’s version, the soundtrack to the video used the melody of Barbara Ann to say things like: “went to a mosque, gonna throw some rocks, tell the ayatollah gonna put you in a box,” and “old Uncle Sam, getting pretty hot, gonna turn Iran into a parking lot.”
It is a truism that, like other authoritarians, Trump tries only to appeal to his supporters, but I confess this video, from the president of the United States, left me aghast. It seems to me long past time to question the 79-year-old president’s mental health.
Tonight, Trump’s social media feed posted: “FAKE NEWS CNN, TOGETHER WITH THE FAILING NEW YORK TIMES, HAVE TEAMED UP IN AN ATTEMPT TO DEMEAN ONE OF THE MOST SUCCESSFUL MILITARY STRIKES IN HISTORY. THE NUCLEAR SITES IN IRAN ARE COMPLETELY DESTROYED! BOTH THE TIMES AND CNN ARE GETTING SLAMMED BY THE PUBLIC!”

I think Iran had plenty of warning this might happen, since Trump was threatening he was going to do it before the strike happened.
That means Iran had time to move the 800 pounds of 60% enriched uranium. 90% is needed for a bomb.
It is possible that if the sites were destroyed, they were empty.
The BBC reports, “However, Hassan Abedini, the deputy political director of Iran’s state broadcaster, claimed the three sites targeted by the US had been evacuated a “while ago”, and that Iran “didn’t suffer a major blow because the materials had already been taken out”.
Both Saudi Arabia and the UN’s nuclear watchdog said there had been no increase in radiation levels after the attack.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg9r4q99g4o
I didn’t think I’d ever agree with Vance, but I cannot argue with him calling Trump an “idiot” and comparing Trump to “America’s Hitler.”
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/10/01/vance-walz-vp-debate-tonight/vances-past-trump-comments-00182072
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I don’t believe any of these reports. IAEA made preliminary speculation of “significant damage” 2 days after US bombing, while simultaneously demanding inspection access. “At this time, no one including the IAEA, is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordow.”
Iran says the equivalent of “we moved it all beforehand, no big deal.” [On 6/19, an Israeli journalist claimed they moved it before first Israeli strike, source “a senior IRGC official” [IRGC = Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps]. What else are they gonna say?
Israel intel claims enriched uranium—as well as enrichment processing eqpt and labs developing capability to explode were dispersed or duplicated here and there over a period of time [i.e., there’s lots more to go after]. Their angle: need to do lots more bombing.
My own conclusion at this point: we don’t know enough to say Iran’s nuke bomb capability has been set back just months, or possibly years. It’s obvious that’s where they were headed: nuclear power needs about 4% enriched uranium, bombs need a bit over 90%. Consensus is Iran had reached 60%; experts say just wks or mos more (if uninterrupted) needed to get to 90%. Simultaneously Iran was [presumably? reportedly?] developing tech reqd to convert that to operable/ triggerable bombs (said by experts to be the more difficult task). Haven’t seen much on where those labs were thought to be located/ whether moved/ how far they’d advanced. The announcement that a few key scientists were targeted/ killed is not necessarily reassuring: this has happened before over the last decade or two, and they were replaced.
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It’s sad that any American citizen hopes that Trump is wrong about Iran’s nuclear capabilities being destroyed, but such is this blog.
I, too, often roll my eyes about Trump’s outbursts that are characteristic of an immature teenage boy. He has long been a no-class man. But I’m curious if left-wing activist Heather Cox Richardson – who poses as a serious historian – ever expressed concern about Joe Biden’s obvious cognitive decline while he was President, a severe decline that is no longer denied by anyone other than the blindest pro-Biden partisans. I will donate another $200 to the American Red Cross if anyone can provide evidence that HCR ever expressed such a concern about Biden.
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Iran never had any nuclear capabilities, nor were they seeking any. Our own intelligence sources said that in March, the same as they’ve said for every year for the past thirty years.
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Since when did you believe US intelligence?
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Regrese debajo de su piedra de donde vino.
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HCR met with Biden and they had extended conversations about foreign policy.
Her judgment is better than mine. I never met him.
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Great point about the guy who dropped out versus the puppet of Russians, traitors and oligarchs. And Whatabout faery dust and unicorns?
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I am curious about the cognitive fitness of any person who calls Heather Cox Richardson a “left-wing activist”.
I, too, often roll my eyes at commenters like “Zach”, whose outbursts are characteristic of an immature teenage boy. They have long admired no-class people. But I’m curious if right wing activist Zach Sherrod has ever expressed concerned about Donald Trump’s obvious cognitive decline – a severe decline that is no longer denied by anyone other than the blindest pro-Trump partisans.
It’s sad that any American trusts Trump after he lied to them so many times and treats his supporters the way he treated the folks who readily handed him thousands of dollars to attend Trump U. Trump could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and they’d come here to say that Trump was “immature” and has no class, but how dare any “left wing activist” criticize the man who can do no wrong in their eyes.
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Not sure why you’d think any American citizen or specifically members of this blog “hope that Trump is wrong about Iran’s nuclear capabilities being destroyed.” I expect many here & throughout country would be pleased if Iran’s nuclear capabilities were nipped in the bud—or at minimum set back for many years. Our hopes and fears on the subject do not change reality— and we do not yet know what that reality is. We have no reliable evidence as of yet. We may not even attain it, as Iran refuses any on-the-ground inspection. There is absolutely no reason to believe we’re getting the straight story from Trump, nor Iran, nor Israel.
Personally, I would be delighted if the combo of Israeli & US strikes were sufficient to put a halt to hostilities and bring about diplomatic negotiations for another JCPOA or similar. But so far it appears that is not happening.
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Who said they “HOPE” Wanker Trump’s claims that those Iranian sites were destroyed along with Iran’s nuclear program?
No one said “HOPE”!
Still, Wanker Trump lies as easily as we all breathe. And relating to him, it is arguable that that lying is more important than breathing.
It will take time to find out how much damage was done. How much time, I don’t know. For sure, it wasn’t verified the same day as the strike.
On June 24, The Institute for Science and International Security reported: Post-Attack Assessment of the First 12 Days of Israeli and U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
“Overall, Israel’s and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran’s centrifuge enrichment program. It will be a long time before Iran comes anywhere near the capability it had before the attack. That being said, there are residuals such as stocks of 60 percent, 20 percent, and 3-5 percent enriched uranium and the centrifuges manufactured but not yet installed at Natanz or Fordow. These non-destroyed parts pose a threat as they can be used in the future to produce weapon-grade uranium. …
“It should be noted that this report does not address the nuclear scientists killed during Israel’s attack. Many of these scientists were affiliated with SPND (officially known as the Organization of Defensive Innovation and Research) and the centrifuge program. Nonetheless, their loss disrupted Iran’s ability to build nuclear weapons in the short term.“
I recall another Republican president making a wrong claim.
George W. Bush gave a nationally televised speech aboard the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln on May 1, 2003. This speech is widely known as the “Mission Accomplished” speech because he delivered it in front of a banner that read “Mission Accomplished”.
U.S. forces did not withdraw from Iraq until 2011. It began with the invasion by a United States-led coalition, which resulted in the overthrow of the Ba’athist government of Saddam Hussein. The conflict persisted as an insurgency arose against coalition forces and the newly established Iraqi government.
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This is an embarrassment to America and it is dangerous.
Diplomacy by tweet?
“I’m the president and you’ll do as I say?”
Ignoring military experts and surprising critically essential people… about dropping bombs and a war.
Turning war into a mini-series including cliffhangers to boost ratings.
Broadcast military action in live play-by-play tweets
International leaders must be laughing at us. If this is how negotiations around war occurs, they certainly cannot trust any promises on the economy, U.S. support for attacks on free countries, or the once bully-pulpit of the President which was backed by Congress in times of peace and war – and not on party lines.
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Can’t forget that Trump is a reality star performer.
It’s all about the ratings.
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Trump, as has several previous presidents, does what Bibi tells him to do!
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We will now LIE to Congress. About DJT’s claim to have “obliterated” Iran nukes. By limiting classified intelligence sharing with Congress. And making sure that The Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard will be notably absent & silenced.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/06/25/iran-intelligence-sharing-gabbard/
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Tulsi Gabbard has long been a pawn of Putin. I’m surprised she delivered the assessment on Otan from the intelligence agencies. Clearly, Trump did not tell her he planned to bomb Iran.
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I agree with HCR that Trump’s tweet-fests (and that one in particular) are unsettling, and cause even the casual observer to wonder if his head is still screwed on right [if it ever was 😉].
Facts are though, we witnessed much of the same stuff during Trump 1.0. No question the guardrails [cabinet/ advisors] were stronger then, but I don’t remember those folks had much success restraining him either, when it came to venting recklessly to media/ social media. Those who did loudest got fired/ replaced by loyalists; today he starts off with loyalists– any difference?
The difference today is circumstance: unlike during Trump 1.0, (a) he’s in his final term, so casts any impulse-control he possesses to the wind, and (b) he’s wading into a nascent war, where one of combatants is a nuclear power. So: I don’t see any “cognitive decline” or “descent into dementia” since 2017-2020. We are dealing with the same nutjob in charge as we were back then. The stakes are just much higher.
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