Dan Rather is as nervous about this election as everyone else is. he’s been election-watching for many years. He offers sage advice. But whatever you do, keep reading this blog! Usually an island of reason, intelligence, and sanity.
……Here’s my first tip to surviving the final two weeks before the election: Save your sanity and stay off social media. Get away from the TV, the computer, the phone. It is not good for anyone’s mental health to doomscroll. Leave the house and enjoy the lovely fall weather. Take a walk or a drive.
Sure, use your phone to check sports scores, make dinner reservations, or call someone — the device’s original purpose.
Yes, we’re all on the edge of our seats, awaiting our chance to vote. Friends, I am not one to sugarcoat anything, much less the state of the most important election in our lifetimes. The race appears to be incredibly close. Based on my 70-plus years of covering American politics, please allow me to offer some suggestions for getting through the next two weeks without losing our collective minds.
Do not obsess over the polls. The national horse race polls are meaningless at this point. We know it will come down to the seven battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. And the public polls that you see from those swing states are worthless, according to David Plouffe, a Harris senior adviser. He doesn’t even look at them, instead using the campaign’s internal polling, which he believes is more reliable.
Do not react to every flutter you read or hear — good or bad. Social media and the mainstream media amplify chatter for clicks and views. It is designed to get your attention, but that doesn’t mean there is any value or validity to the “news.”
Do consume other things. Read some fiction, go to a movie, listen to music.
Remember that a race this close — and it has been close for months — will not change significantly over the next two weeks. If you see a poll or anything else that suggests a huge swing in either direction, it is likely bunk.
I can’t write a piece this close to the election without (again) talking about Donald Trump’s unhinged and increasingly angry and erratic behavior. But I will keep it short.
In the last three days, he has talked incoherently about topics that have absolutely nothing to do with anything meaningful to voters. He made vulgar comments about golfer Arnold Palmer. He characterized January 6 as “a day of love.” He had a staged photo-op “working” at a McDonald’s in a misguided appeal to working-class voters — interesting coming from a candidate whose FEC filings show he has spent $31,000 at the fast-food chain since January 2023.
It is doubtful that any of this will motivate fence-sitters to the polls for Trump, and what matters most now is getting people into the voting booth. That doesn’t start and end on November 5. Early voting has already begun in 46 states and Washington, D.C., so the turnout ground game is already underway.
“[Turnout] is a combination of best operation, best data, best resources, best volunteers. But what really gives all of that energy is the candidate closing well,” Plouffe explained on a recent podcast. “That gets more volunteers out. That might get some of those tough-to-get voters to say, ‘She’s taking the fight to them; I like that.’ Sometimes it’s not policy-based; it can be based on performance and energy. And she’s out there campaigning hard, having fun, going into tough [venues] like Fox News,” he continued.
As close as this race is, I still maintain that Harris has more going for her than Trump does. She has raised more money. The Democrats’ ground game is bigger and better organized. Most importantly, Harris is a more energized and likable candidate.
But none of that will matter unless she gets her vote out.
The best advice I or anyone else can give is, vote! And get as many others as you can to do so too.
Open the link to read the post in full.

Here is even better advice that applies to all of us. It is especially valuable for anyone who is prone to stereotyping other people whom they don’t know and who differ with them politically. For example, describing anyone who supports Trump as “garbage.”
https://www.thefp.com/p/whatever-happens-love-thy-neighbor-trump-kamala
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Hey, Kirk, how about the candidate who encourages violence and tells his rallies that Kamala is “stupid,” “low IQ,” and if she’s elected, will destroy the country? And the candidate who said Liz Cheney should be subject to a firing squad, 9 rifles pointed at her face? And the same candidate who says Kamala voters are “the radical left,” Communists, Socialists, etc.? You seem to think that Kamala voters are at fault for the toxic atmosphere. I’d say it is the candidate who constantly appeals to fear, hatred, and violence. That not Kamala.
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I rarely approve of anything Trump says. But as always you turn everything into a partisan political issue, left-wing politics being your fundamentalist religion these days. The Free Press writer discusses non-politicians – neighbors – being nice to each other despite political differences.
Your acolyte Lloyd Lofthouse recently wrote here that anyone who supports Trump is garbage. You have said that some of your relatives will vote for Trump. Do you agree with Lloyd that those relatives are garbage? I don’t.
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Kirk,
I never said that anyone is garbage. Yes, a brother and sister are voting for Trump. We don’t talk politics. I’m one of eight children. 3 of 8 are or were Republicans. The other 5 are or were Dems. I have been both.
It’s Trump who introduces hatred: hatred of LGBT, hatred of Kamala, hatred of Liz Cheney, hatred of immigrants. He has encouraged violence against his enemies repeatedly.
He wants Liz Cheney to face a firing squad. He wants to incarcerate Hillary Clinton, Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, Joe Biden, and anyone else who opposes him.
He wants General Milley to be executed. Probably thinks the same of General Kelly and General Mattis.
He calls them “the enemy from within” and says they are more dangerous than Russia or other foreign adversaries.
What has Kamala said that encourages division or hatred?
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Biden is an elderly man who has difficulty speaking clearly. But if you’re that upset by what he said, my advice for you is to not vote for Biden.
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Well said, FLERP!
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The polls for president are based on the Electoral College results. Not the popular vote. Traitor Trump will still lose the popular vote by more than the results in 2020.
According to the number crunchers, the Electoral College will be decided by the results in a handful of states.
The only way the convicted rapist, fraud and felon can win those states is to bully, lie, cheat and threaten. That is all he has done for most of his life (not counting his first three years).
According to the polls, Harris is leading by a very slim margin in those few states.
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Ruth Marcus, too; no paywall:
https://wapo.st/3UAieKq
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Exactly right!
But I was heartened by the Des Moines Register poll of Iowa voters. Iowa is a solid red state. Trump may one day regret Dobbs. Women are not stupid.
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We’re not! But a whole lotta menfolks seem to think we are.
Good discussion on emptywheel about the Iowa poll. Wheeler’s blog is like yours in that one can learn as much from the comments as from the post.
https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/11/03/male-pollsters-shocked-shocked-when-a-woman-pollster-discovers-women-voters/
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Here’s another inspiring post by Jess Piper. Highly recommend following her. She’s a former teacher (16 years) who gave up her position to runas a Democrat in a red, red, gerrymandered state.
https://jesspiper.substack.com/p/harris-could-takeiowa
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I’m banging my head against the wall (ouch, that hurts), how in the name of all the stars in the heavens can this election be close. Harris should be ahead by light years. Trump has said hundreds of really horrible things over the past months, (his whole adult life, actually), that would have demolished the careers of any other politician of whatever ilk. Is he the teflon Don or have people become so inured to his demagoguery and just shrug their collective shoulders in apathetic acquiescence.
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Joe Jersey: I think this election time has ripped the bandage off of a long-infected cultural wound: misogyny--look at the numbers of men vs women who are voting for either candidate. It’s not a glitch.
The other thing is this: I spoke to a very nice, retired neighbor on Friday who still had no idea that Trump is not a republican like he remembers the Republican Party, e.g., of Reagan or McCain. He said all of us should tone down our rhetoric–I asked what he meant about democrats–he said it was about the nazi and Hitler references, as if it were all just political rhetoric.
It doesn’t take a party-democratic spirit to be apoplectic about what Trump et al are trying to do. They are all quite clear about it; but my neighbor “read” it as merely “political rhetoric.”
I told him that the democratic “rhetoric” was really just reporting on what Trump is trying to do, and not to kill the messenger (or misinterpret what democrats are saying).
He is a long-term republican, that’s how he has always voted, and that’s how he voted this time.
I can only think that he is just not paying attention. CBK
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