I enjoyed reading this candid conversation among left-leaning columnists at the Washington Post about Biden’s candidacy. The conversation was moderated by Chris Suellentrip, the politics opinion editor of the Post.
What do you think?
President Biden is 80 years old and is running for a second term, more or less unopposed, in the Democratic primary. So I gathered a group of our left-leaning columnists for a conversation over email and asked: How do you feel about that?
Has Biden failed to be a “bridge” to a new generation of leaders, as he pledged to be in 2020? Should he have declared himself “one (term) and done,” like a college basketball star? Should the party have held a competitive primary instead of clearing the field, as is traditional for an incumbent president? Is the fascination with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s not-gonna-happen campaign a sign of nervousness about Biden 2024 in some portion of the Democratic primary electorate? And will you change your mind about any of these things if someone other than Donald Trump is the 2024 Republican nominee?
Dana Milbank: If hand-wringing translated into votes, Democrats would never lose an election. I find their fretting over Biden’s age tedious — and probably exaggerated by the disinformation from the right portraying him as drooling and senile. The wandering speeches, the gaffes and the other traits people now assign to his advanced age are the same traits I observed when covering him in the 1990s.
As a Gen Xer, sure, I would have preferred if Biden had offered himself as a one-term anti-Trump savior and cleared the way for a new generation. But a competitive primary would only have turned him into Carter ’80. It’s also just as likely that a decision not to run for reelection would have had the effect of anointing Kamala D. Harris, who by virtue of being a woman of color would make it easier for Trump to foment a 2016-style backlash of racism and misogyny.
Would all this change if Trump (or Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis) isn’t the GOP nominee? Well, sure. I suppose if Asa Hutchinson were the nominee it wouldn’t matter as much whom the Democrats put up, because he wouldn’t pose the same existential threat to American democracy. But I’m not yet declaring victory for Hutchinson.
Jennifer Rubin: So Biden is 80. Live with it. He’s certainly sharp enough to have solidified and expanded NATO, snookered Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) in the debt ceiling negotiations and racked up as impressive a first-term domestic record as any incumbent in memory. If inflation is less than 3 percent and job growth is still strong on Election Day, Biden will have pulled off the near-impossible soft-landing (with Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell as his co-pilot).
Paul Waldman: Of course Biden’s age is a concern, even if at the moment it’s only a theoretical one. The presidency is an extraordinarily demanding job, and it would have to be a pretty unusual 86-year-old (the age Biden would be at the end of a second term) who could handle it. But we haven’t yet seen any evidence of age having an effect on Biden’s decision-making or his energy. There are occasions when he appears old in public — a shuffling gait, a momentary inability to find the word he’s looking for — but that’s not the same as him not being able to perform the job.
For all the talk of building a bridge to the next generation, Biden was never going to serve one term and step down. He spent half a century trying to get to the Oval Office, and he won’t leave it voluntarily.
Perry Bacon Jr.: I am not thrilled that Joe Biden is running for a second term.
His approval ratings are significantly lower than Bill Clinton’s, George W. Bush’s or Barack Obama’s were at this stage of their presidencies, midway through their third years in office.
They are very similar to Trump’s numbers. In polls of a potential 2024 matchup, Biden is effectively tied with Trump. Biden would be the favorite against Trump (and probably DeSantis). But that’s because of how unpopular those two Republicans are, not Biden’s political strength.
I think the driving factor here is Biden’s age. People just feel like he is too old. I personally don’t see any evidence that Americans shouldbe worried about his health or mental capacity. But I hear concerns about his age all the time from people in my life who aren’t partisan Democrats. This concern about age shows up in basically every poll.
I think an incumbent Democratic president with Biden’s record who wasn’t 80 years old would be more popular and therefore have a better chance in next year’s election. And while I don’t think just any Democrat under age 80 (or 70) who was the party’s presumptive nominee would be polling better than Biden is against Trump, I think many younger Democrats would be stronger candidates in a 2024 general election.
For example, it seems pretty clear that if Democrats could agree, without a primary, that the party’s 2024 ticket would be Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (Mich.) as president and Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (Ga.) as vice president, that would be stronger electorally than Biden-Harris. Or say, Sens. Cory Booker (N.J.) and Amy Klobuchar (Minn.). What I mean is a ticket with a White person and a person of color, a man and a woman, two people who are generally in the mainstream of the party ideologically — and no one over age 70.
But there is no magic way to skip a primary, of course!
Ruth Marcus: Riffing off of how Perry phrased it, I wish Biden did not have to run for a second term. He is too old. No, he is not the drooler of overheated GOP imaginings, but he has slowed down, obviously and measurably. And 80 is too old, period, for the demanding job of the presidency. Let the torch be passed, etc.
Except for this: Biden needs to run. He (and Democrats) are correct about that assessment. If he were to have announced that he was stepping aside, the internecine warfare that would have erupted over Harris, the heiress apparent, versus everyone else, would have torn the party apart, or risked doing so, and opened the door too wide to risk a Republican president being elected.
And not just Trump. He is the biggest, most existential risk, and the primary driver of my “Biden must run” mentality. I used to believe Trump was a singular threat, and that there would not be Trumpism without Trump. But that was wrong. The forces he has unleashed are powerful and dangerous, and exist even in his absence from the scene. From my point of view, the risk to the Supreme Court alone is enough to justify doing whatever it takes to maximize the chance of a Democrat being elected (which means: Biden, Biden, Biden).
Eugene Robinson: Look, we all wish that Biden were, say, 60 instead of 80. But is there a younger Democrat who could have beaten Donald Trump in 2020? I doubt it. And is there a younger Democrat who could beat Trump in 2024? Maybe. I like Perry’s ticket of Whitmer and Warnock. But I don’t like the idea of taking another existential gamble with our democracy. If Trump is the GOP nominee, which seems likely, this will almost surely be another close election. We don’t have landslides anymore; and no matter how queasy Republican voters might be about four more years of Trump’s insanity, we should expect most of them to support their party’s nominee. It is unwise to count on the justice system to bail the nation out. On Election Day, Biden will be 82 and Trump will be 78. The “age issue” should be de minimus.
And, not incidentally, Biden has been a highly effective president who has instituted policies, at home and abroad, that I support. A president with his record deserves a second term — and congressional majorities to go along with it.
Greg Sargent: Improbably, Biden has been the guy with enough appeal to the middle needed to both beat Trump and to pass (parts of) a historically progressive agenda (bringing Bernie Sanders into the tent) while recasting it to the electorate (including affluent suburbanites who supposedly lean right economically) as sensible moderation. Biden seems uniquely well-positioned to not just beat Trump again but also to cement a broad, center-left ideological consensus with paradigm-shifting durability.
As for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., historically there have always been candidates who tap into disaffected pro-insurgent constituencies in the Democratic Party (Bill Bradley, Howard Dean, etc.). Kennedy represents a particularly ideologically heterodox and unbalanced version of this. It’s hard to imagine his support, such as it is, says anything meaningful or predictive about eventual support for Biden.
E.J. Dionne Jr.: Early in the administration, I thought Biden wouldn’t seek a second term. He would find it appealing, I thought, to declare that he had achieved what he promised when he decided to run in the first place. He saved the country from a Trump second term, defended democracy, solved a bunch of big problems, restored the country’s standing abroad, notched a number of bipartisan victories and created an opening for a better kind of politics. Call it the Cincinnatus Option. He would spend the rest of his term being more praised than damned, the Republicans would have less interest in attacking him, and his popularity would go up because a lot of Americans (with their instinctive mistrust of politicians) would admire someone who could walk away from power.
That still sounds pretty good to me, but it’s not what happened. The reason it didn’t is, as Greg suggested, that Biden might be the only Democrat who can sit atop the various factions of the Democratic Party and bring them together.
If you ask yourself why Democrats are united behind Biden, why only cranks are running against him, it’s because Democrats across their various divisions agree that now is not the time for ideological Armageddon, which is what would happen if Biden stepped aside. And anyone who claims that a tough primary would be good for Biden should consider history. When they were incumbents, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were all weakened by primary fights (against Ronald Reagan, Ted Kennedy and Pat Buchanan, respectively), and they all lost in the general election.
Does Biden’s age create challenges? Of course. Especially against anyone other than Trump. At the margins, Biden’s age could cost him votes, and the margins matter. My hunch is that Biden’s camp will try to find subtle ways of making his age at least a partial asset by stressing his seasoning, wisdom, experience, etc. It won’t be easy, but they have to do some of this. His camp also made a mistake by not lifting up Harris early on and trying to turn her into an asset. They have realized this and are working on doing that now. Biden’s age means more voters will be looking at her as a possible successor, and her favorability ratings need to go up.
Rubin: It’s a relief to have an empathetic, decent human being in the White House. While it is fashionable to pine for someone new and young, with our democracy still frightfully fragile and with war raging in Europe, I don’t think a younger governor or senator would be a better choice. Biden can pass the baton in 2028. Maybe with age comes some old-fashioned sense of propriety, civic virtue, common courtesy and, dare we say, dignity. I’ll take it.
Milbank: I think the Biden-is-too-old theme is itself a demonstration that we’re all forced to live in a world shaped by disinformation from the right. We’ve been hearing from Fox News since the 2020 campaign (when Biden was hidden in his “basement”) about Biden’s “cognitive decline” and his struggle to “string two sentences together.” He has been routinely described since then as “senile,” as a man with “obviously declining mental faculties” who is “a cognitive mess, and he has no idea that today is Wednesday.” During the debt ceiling fight, Kevin McCarthy offered to bring “soft food” to the White House for Biden. After the debt deal, Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) marveled that “Republicans got outsmarted by a president who can’t find his pants.”
There’s every reason to believe this “senile” old coot will outwit his Republican opponent in ’24.
Sargent: Democrats have won or outperformed in the last three national elections. Yet we’re still constantly running down rabbit holes into debates about why Dems suck so much at politics and how Trump continues to outfox them among working-class voters.
Democratic struggles with some working-class constituencies are real, but some proportion is in order here. MAGA continues to alienate a majority of the country.
Robinson: I’ve had a couple of occasions to spend extended periods of time with Biden, including a long chat on Air Force One, and I can attest that whatever else anybody thinks about him, he’s not senile. And I’ve seen him turn a scheduled quick half-hour of meet-and-greet with supporters into an hour-plus marathon, at the end of a long day, that exhausted aides half his age.
Dionne: Without formally breaking with either Clinton or Obama, Biden has moved the party’s policymaking past the consensus that influenced those earlier administrations. His appointments have given the party’s progressive wing a strong voice in areas such as labor rights, civil rights, trade and antitrust, even as he has kept the party’s more middle-ground legislators and voters on his side — by, for example, refusing to challenge the Federal Reserve’s efforts to contain inflation (even if the administration devoutly hopes it lets up on rate increases).
And the president’s economic record turns out to be very good. Inflation has come down much faster than Biden’s critics expected, and the country has so far avoided the recession many of those detractors predicted. It’s a long way between now and November 2024, but at least for now, Biden has the better of the economic argument.
The age issue is obviously one of the right’s favorite talking points, but from my own encounters, I share Gene Robinson’s view that a picture of Biden as some sort of doddering old guy is flatly wrong. Biden is especially sharp when he turns to U.S. foreign policy and makes a persuasive case that the United States is now in a much stronger position in the world, partly because it is building alliances across Asia to contain China’s power. Foreign policy won’t decide the next election, but voters who have a sense of security are more likely to support the incumbent.
But realism requires coming to terms with the age issue anyway. Like it or not, Biden’s age will be brought into play whenever he makes a miscue or garbles a sentence or stumbles or looks less forceful — even if whatever is going wrong has nothing to do with his age. Beneath the surface, the Biden forces know it’s something they have to struggle with, not because of what Fox News commentators will say but because of conversations among not particularly ideological voters over back fences and in neighborhood cafes.
Bacon: If the Democrats’ only potential options for the 2024 ticket were: 1) Nominate Biden without a real primary; 2) Conduct a primary in which Harris would likely win without any serious challenge; 3) Conduct a primary in which Harris carried the Black primary vote overwhelmingly but lost to someone with a heavily White base (say Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg), I can see why the party kind of informally opted for No. 1. After all, Harris wasn’t a great candidate in 2019, few Black voters backed Buttigieg in that primary and Biden has the electoral advantages of being White, male and the incumbent president.
But I suspect there were two other potential outcomes, if Biden had announced in January that he was not seeking a second term: 4) Harris wins against a crowded primary field and in doing so demonstrates she is a strong candidate for a general election, like Obama in 2008 and Trump in 2016; or 5) Harris runs but another candidate (say, Whitmer) builds a broad coalition and decisively defeats her in the primary.
So I am frustrated that Democrats are running a candidate who in my view is too conciliatory and centrist in the face of a radicalized Republican Party, but also a candidate whose centrism and conciliation isn’t being rewarded by centrist/independent/swing voters with more approval and support. Biden’s age makes his reelection really dicey — something voters keep saying in poll after poll but the Democratic Party has decided to ignore.
All that said, Biden has been fairly good on policy and would be much better than any of the Republicans running. So I will be voting for him next November without any hesitation. I think he has been a better president than Clinton or Obama. He has been less centrist and cautious than I expected. He has embraced the progressive thinking that emerged from 2013 to 2020, instead of being stuck in old ways. He has appointed some great judges, most notably Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson. He has also been very pro-labor and more skeptical of big business than other modern presidents.
The Democratic Party has moved in a more liberal direction — and Biden moved with the party. Great.
Waldman: The good news for Democrats is that, at the moment at least, they have so much going for them heading into 2024: a strong economy, a broadly popular agenda, and an opposition committed to a hateful politics that their base seems to want, but that a majority of the electorate finds repugnant.
Finally, you have the likely nomination of Trump, who cost the GOP the elections of 2018, 2020 and 2022. Everything that made people choose Biden over Trump three years ago — that Biden is a decent human being with conciliatory impulses who would govern in a responsible way — is no less true today than it was then. So for all the unease among Democrats (which Perry is absolutely right about), they’re in about as good a position as they could have hoped for.

It is very far from ideal, to understate things. But it is what it is—Biden is running for re-election, and unless something extreme happens in the coming months, he will be the candidate. My biggest fear is that something serious happens with regard to Biden’s health next year.
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I agree.
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I always wonder why Republicans never have that same fear about Trump. I never hear Trump supporters worried about Trump’s health or declining mental state, and prominent Republican politicians and pundits are not endlessly debating publicly about whether Trump’s mental decline and age will allow him to function as president properly. It’s a non-issue instead of an issue that is worthy of endless public debate where Republican pundits and politicians discuss whether Trump’s mental decline will be a serious issue with Republican voters or not. If Republican voters were often hearing their favorite pundits and politicians debating whether Trump’s declining mental capacity will be of concern to them, our side wins.
Lucky for Republicans that only our side does that.
When Reagan said he wouldn’t exploit for political purposes his opponent’s youth and inexperience, he was cheered on as giving a brilliant response that totally put to bed all questions about his age.
If Biden had made that statement, the right wing would push the narrative Biden’s opponent was a long time US Senator who had also served as Vice-President and he was 56 years old. Clearly Biden referring to this person as inexperienced and young is just more evidence Biden is demented. And they’d get our side to publicly debate whether Biden making that mistake was proof of his dementia, or just an idiotic decision by him.
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I’m pretty sure FDR knew he might die in his fourth term and that is why he dropped his third term VP before the 4th election and switched to Truman.
I think FDR wanted to leave the country with someone he trusted wouldn’t destroy it one way or another. And Truman was his best choice.
I wonder if it would boost Biden’s odds if his current VP announced she was stepping down for whatever reason, and Biden picks Whitmer or Warnock to be his running mate, a month or two before the election so the MAGA propaganda machine doesn’t have time to launch an effective lying smear campaign targeting the new VP running mate.
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I’m sure there are already thick oppo files on Whitmer and Warnock (especially Whitmer, who is deeply hated by the right) from their past campaigns, so I don’t think the smear campaigns would need much time to adjust.
If you could wave a magic wand and [poof!] swap out veep candidates with zero transaction costs, it probably would help Biden. But in the real world, there would be the inevitable endless criticism (because everything must be criticized constantly) that Biden got rid of a black woman in favor of a white woman, or got rid of a woman in favor of a man.
All of which is to say . . . maybe?
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I will vote for Biden or anyone else on the Democratic ticket. This maybe the most important election ever. Our democracy is on the ballot.
But, in my humble opinion, I would like to see Biden step aside, having accomplished great things, and let Democrats choose a replacement. The primaries would be hotly contested. I would love to see Whitmer win and Choose Warnock as her running mate.
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Why is Biden’s age any different than Trump’s? Biden takes care of himself; Trump,… not so much. If the docs put the two side by side in a “blind taste test,” who do you think would win? Beyond that there is no one in the Democratic party that could have done what Biden has done. He knows how to get things done. Show me someone else who wouldn’t be starting far back in the horse race.
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Well, speaking only for myself: It’s objectively similar. Trump is quite old. But I think Biden comes off as a lot older than Trump. He appears fragile, frail. Trump, against all logic, seems more robust. That doesn’t mean Trump is healthier than Biden — logic would suggest the opposite if we go just by lifestyle (there’s more to health than lifestyle, obviously). But my general impression — and I think it’s the impression most people have — is that Trump is hardier.
Also, Trump’s cognitive decline is more difficult to identify because he has been a crazy rambler for so long. Biden has a reputation as a gaffe machine but despite his occasional odd wanderings, he has always been remarkably eloquent in my estimation. So there’s more to contrast with Biden.
When I see Trump, I don’t worry about his age. I worry about his potential longevity. Don’t quote me on it, but I think Trumpism will die with Trump.
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lol he fell off his bike he fell upstairs he cant speak cant remember needs people to wipe his ass are you blind!!!!!! lol !!!!!
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“Milbank: I think the Biden-is-too-old theme is itself a demonstration that we’re all forced to live in a world shaped by disinformation from the right.”
Yep. Again and again the right gets us to unwittingly amplify and legitimize their disinformation narratives just by having us treat them as serious topics for debate, and then we look for scapegoats (the Dems suck at messaging, public school supporters suck at messaging) because we don’t understand why so many voters support the right wing. We debate what the right wants us to debate (is it good or bad to have an extremely old and potentially senile candidate, is it good or bad to keep disruptive students in the classroom) rather than debating the issues that would undermine the right wing takeover, like: is it good or bad for a president to encourage his supporters to violently storm the capitol so he can remain in power after he was defeated, is it good or bad for a large public school system to be seized by outsiders who hate public education and want to undermine it)
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Questions for columnists:
Are you versed in the
technology of precognition?
Has your crystal ball been
recalibrated, as per the
Institute of Prediction?
What meaningful change, is
the result of your
opining?
Is your analysis based on
assumptions or speculations?
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Curious, why are your comments always in a narrow column of text? Is there a technical reason, or are you using poetic lineation?
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Is orange yellow?
Are colors at all real?
Why is there air?
Are the proper lengths and topics poems
decided, or can they go on and on?
Inquiring minds want snow.
Or will.
Just curious,
for how can one get to the crux without questioning
the questioner?
I am the walrus.
And oh the things I can do.
I can do this, for example,
all the do dah
Derrida
do da do da
day.
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correction: Are the proper lengths and topics of poems
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Biden is old, very experienced and rational. He has proven himself capable for the job. He has provided steady leadership, a rebounding economy and international expertise. Democrats need to work on their messaging and get the word out about his accomplishments. He may not be flashy, but he is reliable. We need a steady hand in charge after the last administration and all the current chaos in The House. Biden is not my first choice, but I will still ‘ride with Biden’ as the alternatives are too dire to consider. If something happens and Biden cannot complete his term, I have faith that Kamala Harris will provide competent leadership needed going forward, despite the fact she is not extremely ‘popular.’ LBJ was not well-liked, and he managed to accomplish a great deal as President.
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Agree 100% with all these points.
And agree on messaging. But I feel sorry for Dems when even their “friends” in the media legitimize the message that Biden’s age “raises questions” and “raises doubts” and “creates distrust” instead of addressing it a way that de-legitimizes even debating the issue.
I get why Republicans keep trying to make Biden’s age a newsworthy topic of debate that correctly causes voters to have serious doubts about voting for him. They love when the debate is whether Biden’s severe dementia will cause voters to turn away from Biden, or if voters will make the risky choice of voting for a candidate with dementia. Heads Republicans win, tails Democrats lose.
But the framing of that debate needs to be crushed by the Democrats, by pushing a completely different narrative – like isn’t it brilliant that Biden put all questions about his age to bed when he invoked his opponent’s inexperience. It would be great if Republicans were forced to endlessly debate whether the extreme inexperience of their candidate will cause voters to be too frightened to vote for him because they don’t trust that someone that inexperienced can handle a crisis, or whether voters will decide to risk America’s future by voting in a candidate who has no idea what they are doing. Which of those will happen, Tucker Carlson? Which of those will happen, Fox News pundit? Will the the fact that the inexperienced Republican candidate has no idea what they are doing make voters fearful of the dangerous outcome of voting for the Republican, or will some voters put aside their serious doubts about this inexperienced candidate and risk their own family’s future to vote for him? Those are the questions – now “debate” which one will happen.
I wish Republicans were gullible enough to fall into that trap. Wish we could frame the terms of the debate instead of following theirs.
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I think some of the Democrats are starting to push back. When Kevin McCarthy announced the GOP’s intention to censure Adam Schiff, Democrats in The House starting yelling and announcing their rejection of the plan.
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” LBJ was not well-liked, and he managed to accomplish a great deal as President.”
I suspect that LBJ did more for Civil Rights than JFK ever would have done.
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Eight liberals will vote for Biden. News at 11:00.
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OK, Dienne. I admit it. That was pretty funny.
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PRESIDENT Biden is not too old. President Biden is, however, from an old generation. And, then there’s good old charisma and audience appeal.
The former president spews hate, anger at the “authorities,” and appeals to the self-perceived “I can’t get a break” public (low income and billionaires alike). He appeals to people who love outlaws (and who don’t care anymore about above the law).
The governors of florida and texas spew hate and a ’50s America, but unlike the former president, they actually govern stuff (bad policy, but action) and appeal to the “moms against everything” “can’t sit at the cool kids table” crowd.
PRESIDENT Biden is an elder. He is tradition. He’s grandpa (now owning up to 7 grandchildren). He’s educated. Even when he’s angry he sounds like a nice guy.
In today’s America, angry, conservative, less-educated, UNDER 50, and/or passively on a college campus – – – want assertive, bold, outspoken, common sense, action-taking leaders (and too many do not vote). This is not the ’60s and there is no Kennedy (the inspiring one(s).
As for this grandpa, nostalgic, outspoken on these issues in my day job, ultra-liberal but traditional baby-boomer – – I want candidates and those in office to preach what is going on is not normal. America has been numbed by this heinous rhetoric and attacks like “just another car accident” or “just another shooting” and “today’s news is forgotten tomorrow.”
I don’t want to wait for “history will show..” what the President has done is unconscionable and in any other period of history would have been a disgrace.
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The actuarial stat is this: there is a 1 in 3 chance (33.5%) that Biden, being an 80-year-old man, will not survive a second term.
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There is a 100% chance that Merrick Garland and Jack Smith will not survive a second term of Trump.
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There is a 1 in 1 chance that if Trump is re-elected, our democracy will not survive til the end of his term.
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Stats like, there is a 3% unemployment rate, have limited use. The person who is unemployed is 100% unemployed and the rest of the workers are 100% employed. The logic about mortality timing or the odds of a single coin toss flipping heads (50%) have similar limited use. Neither the coin nor, the individual who is 80, have the knowledge/capacity that enables them to comply with the forecast, one way or the other.
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Yet if you have to bet, consult the actuary.
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There’s a one-in-three chance that if Biden is reelected, he will not survive to the end of his term.
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As estimated by actuary tables. Which are not random or unreliable. But we don’t know if that’s the real probability since we don’t have access to all the health and lifestyle information. (What does the stress of being President do to actuarial projections?). And presumably there could be (and I assume is) more sophisticated modeling than whatever we can find in a form-fillable web site.
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“There’s a one-in-three chance that if Biden is reelected, he will not survive to the end of his term.”[in office]
That may be, but there is a 100% chance that he will survive to the end of his term in life.
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You would think by now that we would be far more curious about statistics.
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Statistics are simply mathematical descriptions of reality. If they are accurate and interpreted correctly, there is absolutely nothing wrong with them. Statistics per se aren’t somehow evil. Badly gathered and interpreted statistics are evil. Properly arrived at statistics are simply reliable information about the world. Facts about it. Again, progressives shouldn’t emulate Repugnicans. They are the alternative universe folks. We should embrace actual facts about the world.
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And yet w accept them without knowing the parameters they used.
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We accept them when they come from folks whom we consider reputable and reliable. I am content to believe the actuarial tables published by insurance companies. They’ve been doing this for a long, long time (since at least the mid-1600s. They have it down to a science literally, not just figuratively.
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Yes, but they are using population statistics, not individual. You get denied medical coverage because people in your age range generally don’t do well or you are statistically likely to die before your ailment would kill you. Based on you? NO! Based on your age pool.
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In statistics, the population IS all the individuals under study. I’m not understanding you. If you are saying that there is variability among individuals, well, that’s true. I mentioned above that Biden appears as though he were much older than the average 80-year-old. Again, if I did not know this guy’s age and simply listened to him speak, I would think him in his 90s.
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If you listened to him speak ten years ago, you probably would have thought he was 90. Remember how Nixon lost the televised debate with JFK? Those who listened on the radio thought Nixon won. Not a direct parallel obviously, but I think you can understand what I am getting at. There has been voluminous reporting from the press on his incredible schedule and energy. He wears them out. In his case, you had better watch what he does and what he accomplishes.
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“If you listened to him speak ten years ago, you probably would have thought he was 90.”
???
I did listen to him 10 years ago. And 20 years ago. And 30 years ago. LOL. He’s been hard to miss.
https://www.axios.com/2023/04/28/inside-biden-run-against-age-white-house
I have known incredibly energetic aged people. When I was sixteen, my mother, who was a homecare nurse, had a client who was 104. I used to go visit her, and she would make me tea and read Robbie Burns to me. Very sharp and witty. But a rare bird.
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Whatever the probability that Biden dies in office, the only viable opposition for president comes from the Republican Party where 2/3 of them (based on polls) don’t think Trump had documents like the one the rest of us saw him holding up in a video. The majority of Republicans have the decision making skills to want Trump (DeSantis as distant 2nd.)
I’ll take Biden at any odds.
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Amen.
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Life’s Trend
He lasted till the end
Of life, and then he passed
It’s life’s unending trend:
Til breath is just your last
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This conversation has entered the Twilight Zone.
I keep expecting Rod Serling to join in any second.
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So let’s ask what the stats are for an 80-year old who is arguably on the healthy end of spectrum. 80-year olds is too broad a category.
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But who also is in a job that is known for aging people at multiples of the normal rate.
We’re not going to get granular accuracy here. The main point is there is a substantial risk.
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And no one in the country who gets or has access to better healthcare.
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No one except Biden’s doctors and perhaps Biden himself and a few people close to him has any idea what his actual physical condition is. The actual state of health of the President is ALWAYS withheld by his imagemakers. So, in lieu of any actual information, we must go with the general actuarial statistics. These tell us that there is a 1 in 3 chance that Biden will die during his second term. Yes, it is true that people age at very different rates. But I must admit that Biden appears to me, when he is being presented at his very best–in his newst campaign videos, for example–as very, very old–older, even, than his years. If I did not know his age and simply heard him speak, I would guess that this is a man in his 90s.
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My response is in moderation. I really freaking hate WordPress.
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Trump is 77. What are his odds? He’s overweight, has had Covid which was severe enough it sent him to the hospital and, reportedly, he has a McDonald’s style diet (although some of his French fries will end up on the wall when he is angry.)
His wife appears to loathe him while Jill likes Joe. Trump has the stress of being under multiple indictments going into primary season.
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Trump should like indictments because his polling keeps going up with each additional indictment.
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Poet-
Except 3/4 of the money he takes in is going to his lawyers.
Trump’s pressure cooker is, likely jail, if he can’t win the primary and election.
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Indictment Excitement
Trump gets excited
Whene’r he’s indicted
Cuz polling gets high
When charges are nigh
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Biden is not just “an 80-year old man”.
Biden is an 80-year old man with the top doctors at his beck and call and immediate “cut to the front of the line” access to every possible medical treatment. It is irrelevant to compare an 80 year old man who essentially has immediate access to top specialists to check his health if he even coughs, and a typical 80 year old man.
It’s unlikely Trump would have survived the severe covid case he got as a “typical” 70 year old man. I remember when Boris Johnson got severe covid and when he recovered, they spoke to the respiratory therapist whose job it was to monitor Boris Johnson, turn him, check his progress and breathing constantly etc. She was a very experienced medical professional and It was obvious from the way she described the situation that she was was assigned only to watch Boris Johnson constantly. One patient. I have no doubt that Trump had the same unusual treatment. It’s not simply “VIP” treatment — it is “we are assigning all the top medical professionals in every single specialty who will be monitoring this patient 24/7”. VIPs don’t even get this, because even the richest billionaires are not the US president. You can’t really buy the kind of medical care a US president gets, as Andy Warhol sadly learned.
Ronald Reagan was 70 years old when he was shot. There may be odds on a 70 year old surviving the kind of bullet wound that Reagan had, but a 70 year old US president has much better odds of surviving that than a typical 70 year old brought into the ER.
Biden may not survive a 2nd term, but he very well might. Or he might decide to step down midway. I wish we could stop talking about Biden’s age the way the Republicans refused to talk about Reagan’s age in 1984. I remember that election and Republicans were able to frame the issues so that the discussion was entirely about the issues that benefited Reagan.
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Different people age at different rates and in different ways. I am grateful to President Biden. I will support him in the upcoming election. However, I don’t think that progressives should, as Trump and the Republicans do, engage in denial. When I watch Biden speak, to the press or in an ad, I think, if I didn’t know how old this guy is, I would estimate his age at 94 or 95. He does not look or act well. If anything, I suspect that his health is much worse than that of the average 80-year-old. He should step aside and make room for someone like Newsom or Whitmer. or Warnoc. I’m sorry, but this is not a job for an elderly person. I am 68. I do not think that I have, at my age, the energy and cognitive capacity that I had when I was 50 and running a complex company successfully. I have had ideas, in recent years, for various startups, but I’m too old for that now. And I am young compared to Mr. Biden. Sorry. –Reality-based human
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In the end you can’t stop people from talking about things they want to talk about. At least I hope not.
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Bob,
Are Bernie and AOC too stupid to see how old Biden is? Or are they deluding themselves?
Why would they endorse Biden’s re-election so early?
The “Biden is way to old, demented, and out out of it to be president but I’m holding my nose and voting for him anyway” is a sure way to defeat. Just like the “HRC is corrupt, greedy, dishonest, neocon but I’m holding my nose and voting for her anyway” simply reinforced that the undermining false narratives the Republicans told about her were true.
I never hear any Republicans saying “It’s true that Trump is xxxx but I’m holding my nose and voting for him anyway.” And it’s not just Trump. I have watched many elections and I have never seen Republicans amplifying as legitimate all the negative things the Dems say about their candidate and then adding “but I’m voting for him anyway.” They simply dismiss the negatives as partisan lies and amplify the positives – and then they repeat the attacks on the Dems and point out that “even Dems” agree that these attacks are true. And the Dems too often agree those attacks are true, but they will hold their nose and vote for the candidate.
I have never heard AOC or Bernie validate a right wing negative attack on Biden, even when they strongly disagreed on policy. They simply never did it. AOC, especially, was simply brilliant at turning those attacks around to condemn the right wing and amplify their least popular policies.
Sure, we can keep making Biden’s age a “very serious concern” that “raises doubts” and “makes Biden a very risky choice” and talk about how he needs to step down for a candidate who isn’t so demented and “concerning to voters”.
Or we can follow Bernie and AOC’s lead. Since 1980, I have seen election after election where a completely acceptable and popular Democratic nominee then was destroyed by our side legitimizing the right wing narratives.
The only time a Democrat won was when our side refrained from doing that. Clinton (because the media’s complicity in destroying Dukakis temporarily shamed them from doing the same 4 years later). Obama (because the mainstream media realized how racist they would look) and Biden, who benefitted from the media’s embarrassing demonizing of HRC as well as the leaders of the progressive movement making sure that the kind of false narratives that destroyed Trump’s first opponent did not destroy Trump’s second.
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Good points.
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Bernie and AOC aren’t saying such things for the obvious political reasons. And I don’t think that the modus operandi of the Repugnicans should be emulated by us.
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Bernie and AOC are about as honest as they come. Why did you just dismiss them as “political”? What you seem to be implying is that they would both lie to the public for political gain.
I prefer to call AOC and Bernie “wise”. They agree with Dana Milbank that “the Biden-is-too-old theme” is disinformation from the right. They understand that the right wing narrative is completely exaggerating the risk of Biden having another 4 year term. They understand that the truth is that Biden is doing a perfectly good job and will continue to do a perfectly good job unless he becomes incapacitated, at which point he will step down.
Neither AOC or Bernie would lie. They both seem to have a strong ethical core. They refuse to exaggerate the risk of Biden being re-elected, and that makes them honest, not “political” (code word for dishonest).
In my opinion, of course.
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I never suggested that they were lying. I suggested that Biden’s age/infirmity is something they consider it politic or diplomatic not to mention.
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My opinion,too.
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Bob,
Both of them have no problem mentioning that Biden is old. Biden is old. That’s a fact.
But I believe neither of them believes Biden is “TOO old”, which is the narrative that the right wing has trying to push for 5 years. TOO old is very different than old.
I trust Bernie and AOC. Biden is “old”, but Biden is not “TOO old”. Who cares if someone’s cognition has declined if they started out at a high enough point that they can still be good at the job they need to do? They aren’t “TOO old” to do the job just because they have declined cognitively from their peak!
The presidency is a complicated job. But one of the most important qualities necessary is the ability to see the big picture and know which advisors to trust – not to get down in the weeds and do it yourself. In fact, a young Jimmy Carter lacked that ability which is why, despite his integrity and high cognitive ability, Carter was an unsuccessful president. But Biden is quite politically savvy. Even when I don’t agree with his policies, I can see the perfectly sound reasons why he made one choice over another. I have never seen Biden make an incomprehensible decision due to cognitive decline.
Bernie and AOC aren’t being “political” (and I still think that is insulting to them, because it implies they would pull their punches for political gain if they thought Biden was TOO old.)
They are simply expressing their view of the reality. If you don’t trust their judgement, that’s fine, but I trust both of them a lot more than I trust the right wing narratives and people who just watch Biden on tv.
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Bob, there is a difference between not engaging in denial and actually undermining a candidate.
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speduktr,
Thank you for your posts.
I wonder if you get as worried as I do about the future of the country when the smart, caring, committed folks at Diane Ravitch’s blog are having this kind of discussion.
Not sure our democracy will survive when we support right wing narratives that Biden is “too old” and Bernie and AOC are political actors who should not be trusted because they would rather mislead the public into believing something false.
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The cynicism does bother me. I actually still believe that there are politicians that have ethics and don’t compromise their beliefs for cynical and self serving reasons.
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Good points!
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That the president of the US (whoever that might be) will die in office is not my main concern.
That they can order a nuclear strike on short order (no matter how fogged their brain might be) is.
Then again, as long as they consult ChatGPT before doing so, I’m sure everything will be fine.
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What we really need is a test of mental acuity and rationality administered to every president on a regular interval by an outside team of doctors (and no, I don’t believe the current system is even close to adequate because it is far too close to the White House)
If the president (whoever they might be) failed the test, the 25th amendment would automatically kick in.
This would obviate the need for stupid blog debates by armchair doctors about whether this or that president is up to snuff.
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Multiple choice? 🙂
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We need an outside team — OR ChatGPT.
One of the other would suffice.
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Or we could just elect Ed Witten to the presidency and have him do hard integrals to test his mental acuity.
Then we could rest easy knowing that the nukes were all safe in their silos.
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Great! He could wow us all with his research on string theory. Do you suppose we might want somebody with some more mundane skills? What is this worship of mathematicians? Ditto for physicists.
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“ChiefGPT”
Ask the President GPT
“Shall I launch the missiles now?
Answer: “Plain as day, you see.”
“Nuke them Russkies now!! — and how!!”
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Or call up Elon
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I would agree that some people seem to worship physicists and mathematicians and there are obviously many other factors to being president beyond sheer mental power, Ed Witten is not just a brilliant mathematician but was actually a history major as an undergrad, has a broad range of interests and is also a very personable person. If you have never watched one of his public lectures, it is well worth the time. He is actually a very down to earth person who would make a fabulous president. But that’s just my opinion, of course.
As far as the “mental acuity” test, that would probably be better termed “assessment”. Neurologists do this sort of thing all the time (eg, for elderly patients with signs of Alzheimer’s) and I don’t really see how my suggestion to have the presidents mental acuity assessed on a regular basis is particularly extraordinary. But I am under no illusions that my suggestion would ever come to pass.
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Or we could call up Elton (John), who foresaw the future with his song Rocketman.
Unfortunately, Elton is not a natural US citizen so can’t be president, but fortunately Elon isn’t either.
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If Elon were President , his first order of business would undoubtedly be to change the name of the country to “The United States of X” and we’d all have to start calling ourselves Xians
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And the flag would have a big X on it.
Hmm, that seems to ring a bell. Where have I seen that before?
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“What is this worship of mathematicians? Ditto for physicists.”
We have seen the consequences of having a person of extremely low cognitive skills in the Oval Office. It’s time that the freaking anti-intellectualism in America stopped. Angela Merkel was a published PhD chemist with a specialization in quantum chemistry. Why? Because the Germans have this weird idea that the people they put in charge ought to be intelligent.
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Though there are some who do, mist Americans certainly don’t worship mathematicians and physicists.
Any interest is far more of a fascination than worship.
Like Chauncey Gardiner, most people just like to watch physicists and mathematicians in movies (like Oppenheimer, a Beautiful Mind and Theory of Everything) because these people are do foreign to them. Like aliens from another planet.
Oppenheimer was obviously not only a brilliant scientist but also a brilliant manager of people , something that is critical for a position like president. And though Oppenheimer might’ve been an extreme example, there are actually a lot of scientists who are very good managers, particularly those who operate labs with a lot of people under their direction.
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I have had a fantasy for a long, long time, SDP, that instead of voting for lawyers to serve as politicians, we voted for scientists and physicians and scholars of everything from history to languages to philosophy.
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Witten or Witless?
Which would you choose?
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No Choice at All
Witten or Witless?
Which would you choose?
Oppy or Loopy?
Hawking or Cruz?
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I wouldn’t choose Hawking or Cruz. Neither one of them has demonstrated the ability to govern (especially since one of them would have to come back from the dead). Witten or witless? I didn’t realize there was no middle ground. Bob’s point about knee jerk anti-intellectualism is fair. I just over react to the immediate go-to being scientists as some sort of badge that qualifies you as an authority on everything. I understand this is not necessarily the way everyone reacts, but those who have some appreciation for educational achievement seem to default to the scientific mind as the pinnacle.
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No Choice at All
Witten or Witless?
Inspecting or gawking?
Oppy or Loopy?
Hawley or Hawking?
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Set aside whether you agree with Biden’s policies or not. He has clearly declined cognitively, just as Ronald Reagan noticeably declined in his second term. That all but one of the WP pundits won’t admit this obvious fact about Biden reflects – again – how tribal journalism has become. Same for this blog and almost all other blogs whatever their political leanings.
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It’s odd that it’s always the right wing demanding truth from the left. After you acknowledge Trump’s Narcissism, fascist tendencies and meaningless word salads, we can highlight the truth- Biden has the ability to communicate as a statesman. He has interest in the major issues that face the nation and, his concerns go beyond himself, unlike the Trump and religious right machines that are singularly motivated by money and power.
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What makes you think she’s right-wing? Anyone who disagrees with you must be?
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Dienne,
The monikers of people who ask Dems to “face the truth” but, never expose the deceits or realities of the right wing can be anything, “Wendy,” Karen, Moms for Liberty, Charlie Kirk, Tucker Carlson, Dienne, etc.
I don’t know if “Wendy” disagrees with me that right wingers only demand truth by one side. If “Wendy” does disagree, he/she should make his/her case. It’s similar to Diane asking you to say something negative about Putin and Trump. No answer speaks volumes.
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Yikes. Here I am agreeing with Dienne for the second time today.
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I agree with Linda. Thank you, Linda for making the obvious point. When you can’t say anything negative about Putin or Trump, but constantly post negatives about Biden, you certainly are neither progressive (like Bernie and AOC) nor a moderate.
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“He has clearly declined cognitively,…” and which right wing pundits told you that? All indications are that he is able to handle complex negotiations and policy decisions both nationally and internationally and maintain a schedule that would flatten most of us. Let me see this definitive assessment of his mental decline.
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You don’t think Biden has declined from his cognitive prime? I’m not saying he has dementia. But come on. I’m in my early 50s and I’ve declined from my cognitive prime (such as it was).
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If I didn’t know how old he was and simply watched Biden giving a speech or in one of his recent campaign videos (in which he is, presumably, captured at his best), I would estimate him to be in his 90s. I am not exaggerating. I would say, 94 or 95.
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We already know he struggled with stuttering for which he has pretty good compensation strategies. I question whether he would have received more and better help if he was of an age to benefit from our far better understanding of learning. It seems to me that you are essentially calling all the democrats who work with and serve in his administration no better than Trump’s sycophants.
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It isn’t just that. I am quite aware of his history there. There are many other factors. His tics. His blinking. His skin tone. His wavering. His vocal quality. It all say ADVANCED AGE.
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. It seems to me that you are essentially calling all the democrats who work with and serve in his administration no better than Trump’s sycophants.
I would not call those who hid Roosevelt’s polio from the public “sycophants.” It is the job of people working for the president to do everything that they can to support his or her agenda to the extent that it is in the interests of the country, and this includes doing what they can to ensure that he or she has a good image in the eyes of the people. Biden has been a good president–a much better president than I thought he would be, given his long history of protecting big banks and big healthcare. But it’s time.
The claim you are making, that getting behind Biden’s PR machine is equivalent to supporting Trump’s insane policies–Covid denialism, withdrawal from Syria, cutting the school lunch program. gutting the EPA, withholding aid to Ukraine, and so on–is way, way over the top. It’s comparing a skinned knee to colon cancer.
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I think my criticism is fair. Biden shows repeatedly through his actions that he is handling the job. He has never been a particularly good public speaker, but his actions speak far louder. What you are suggesting about members of his administration sounds like they are covering for an incompetent.
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I did not say that he was incompetent. I said that he appears to be quite elderly and that it is quite possible that he will die in office if reelected.
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Your words paint a picture of a doddering old fool.
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I never said anything about his being a fool. I said that he looks and acts quite old. I made the unremarkable remark that with age comes cognitive decline. I made the accurate comment that statistically, he has a 1 in 3 chance of dying while in his second term. These things are all true.
I know that with age comes some kinds of cognitive decline. I am not nearly as fast or accurate at math or logic problems as I once was. But, on the other hand, I know more than I ever did. But those aren’t the biggest issues. I get tired easily. I sleep a lot. It takes me a long time to cast the fog off after waking. I could not put in the schedule that I did when I was running large editorial projects. I don’t think that at this age I could run a country, I’m all for a council of elder advisors. But an aged person at the head of the Executive bureaucracy? This does not make sense to me. In my last corporate job, I worked for Houghton Mifflin. There was a clause in the corporate charter that required the CEO to step down at 72. There was a reason for that.
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I didn’t say you called him a doddering old fool. I said that was the picture you painted. We already know Biden would run rings around you (and me). His energy level is apparently epic.
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I painted a picture without saying it? LOL
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As an English teacher you should be skilled at saying things without spelling them out.
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I don’t even have any idea what that might possibly mean.
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Words can create images and impressions far beyond their physical reality. It’s why some poetry goes right over my head.
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Just wait and see. Biden will run his campaign from the Rose Garden.
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Remember how weirdly out of the picture his last campaign was? Republicans accused him of running for president from his basement. He was almost never out and about in the public eye.
And that’s true now, too. His pressers are very much scripted and timed. You don’t see him wandering about in crowds like DeSantis or even out addressing large rallies like Trump. BTW, Trump seems to be wearing a back brace a lot. What do you think? He as his weird stance, especially when he has to stand for an hour at one of his kvetchathons.
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Public speaking not his strength. As to Trump’s back, he probably swung too hard and missed the ball. 🙂
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You’re right. He’s not a public speaker. But it is quite likely that his schedule is as it is in order to accommodate the needs of an elderly person. Reagan was full-blown senile during his entire second term. His was a corproate presidency. Others ran it. Occasionally, if he was up to it, he spoke for a few minutes from a teleprompter. But even then, he would forget what he was saying halfway through a sentence, and the second half of it would be part of a different sentence altogether. Immediately after he left the White House, the pretense was dropped.
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If I had never seen this guy before, and I saw his latest campaign donation ad, and someone asked me, how old do you think he is, I would say, mid 90s, Maybe 94. He looks older than his years.
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At suggesting things?
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If I meant to write in such a way as to imply meanings beyond the literal meanings of what I am saying, then I would in fact write in that way. I do that all the time. I do it in poetry, in short stories, in film and theatre scripts. But if I say that I would guess, if I didn’t know better, than Biden is 94 or 95, that means “If I didn’t know better, I would guess that Biden is 94 or 95.”
A girl at a reading once asked Eliot what he meant by “Lady, three white leopards sat under a juniper-tree.” He said, “I meant, ‘Lady, three white leopards sat under a juniper-tree.'”
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The totality of your comments do not paint a favorable picture of Biden. Too much emphasis on the caveats as opposed to the possible benefits of another Biden presidency. I don’t dispute that you say his first term was far better than you expected. Since no one else has been able to come close to his accomplishments in recent decades.
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The subject at hand was not an overall assessment of Biden’s presidency. It was whether he should run for office or not due to his age. I think not. I think that he should step down and endorse a Whitmer Newsome ticket.
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Too unknown. Work for the future. There are several Democrats that I like. If Biden didn’t make it through a second term, Kamala can handle it, and there are more than enough talented Democrats to support her. We do need to do a better job of showing what our VPs do. The media could do a better job of that,too.
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agreed!
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I am a night owl, but this old lady needs to hit the sack. Good night, old man!
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Good night, dear Speduktr!
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I would prefer Biden in any mental state to the indicted criminal with Orange hair.
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agreed
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“It seems strange to judge someone’s performance based on how they appear.”
As usual, NYC puts words in my mouth that I did not say. I said nothing negative about Biden’s performance. Nothing.
I said that a) there is a 1 in 3 chance that he will die in office if he has a second terms and b) he looks to me quite a bit older than his age.
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You said a great deal more than he appears older.
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I said
His tics. His blinking. His skin tone. His wavering. His vocal quality. It all says ADVANCED AGE.
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No one has any idea what Biden’s actual physical and cognitive. level is. All this stuff is very carefully controlled. From Day 1, he has not given impromptu events with the press. They are almost all carefully controlled and scripted and limited in duration. He doesn’t start his workday typically until 10:00, and it is typically finished by 4:00.
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For being so carefully controlled, there is certainly detailed information of how he spends his time. I’m surprised we don’t have an accounting of how he spends his time outside the six hours it is implied that he works.
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Biden says that he rises at 7:30 and works out from 8:00 to 8:45. LOL.
I bet that there are times when he does this.
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More often than not. Isn’t he still on a bike? He seems to have put a priority on hi physical health.
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Just a couple days ago, he took a bike ride on a path at his home in Delaware. He was accompanied by a medical team in a golf cart.
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Did they wear white coats? No Secret Service?
Good night!
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By secret service and a medical team in a golf cart. Good night!
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No implication. That’s based on his daily schedule. He very, very rarely has anything scheduled before 10L00 or after 4:00. That makes total sense. He’s going to turn 81 very soon. And 82 very shortly after the next election.
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I fact, I said that he has been a much better president than I expected.
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Faint praise considering the rest of the discussion. For an old codger he’s been better than you thought he would be.
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He has. I vehemently opposed him during the primaries and referred to him as Status Quo Joe. He has far, far, far exceeded my expectations. He deserves much praise.
And an honorable retirement, along with Kamala, so that Gavin and Gretchen can run in his place.
It’s a shame about Kamala. I like her. But she hasn’t a snowball’s chance in hell of winning the presidency. Sexism and racism. Too many Americans are too sexist and racist to get behind her. Hilary was another crazy choice. A huge percentage of the country hated her. Passionately. Not a great place from which to start. Nonetheless, out of sheer skill and intelligence, she won the popular vote. I don’t think that Kamala, alas, would.
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speduktr,
I agree.
It seems strange to judge someone’s performance based on how they appear. They either do the job or they don’t.
I don’t see any problems with Biden’s job performance. All of this judgement is ENTIRELY based on appearance. Biden “looks” or “appears” old. I would like to hear some criticism of his job performance and how bad it is.
If both Bernie Sanders and AOC endorsed Biden so early – which was a surprise and, in my opinion, unnecessary to do so early – that tells me that Biden’s age isn’t affecting his ability to do his job. We can trust the judgement of Bernie or AOC, or we can say those two are not to be trusted and we’ll make our own opinion based on appearance. Whatever. I’m going with the progressives. There is nothing to lose IF we don’t legitimize the right wing narratives that will be so beneficial to Republicans.
If Bernie and AOC don’t have doubts, why do we? Why do we keep promoting that it is very legitimate to have doubts about a man whose job performance has been perfectly good? I would be perfectly fine with Kamala Harris as VP if the worst happens, but there’s no need to talk about the VP because that is also what the Republicans are dying to do.
Now in the unlikely event that Kamala steps down (for a Supreme Court appointment, perhaps?) I would love to see Pete Buttigieg as VP. Not Newsome, but instead Buttigieg. There is no one better (except maybe AOC) in reframing all of the right wing’s narratives into narratives that highlight the Republicans’ dangerous and unpopular policies. I’d love to see Buttigieg answer a question about Biden’s age. I think he’d knock it out of the park.
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I don’t see a Supreme Court seat opening any time soon
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Yup.
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Diane,
I don’t see a Supreme Court seat opening either. I was trying to make the point that if Kamala Harris appears to have been pushed out, the Democrats lose. It causes all kinds of divisions and the Dems only win they are are united, not divided.
So if there is a prominent enough position, maybe Secretary of State?, that is at the worst a step sideways that Kamala wanted, that would work and she could step down for it and be replaced. Maybe she’d accept being president of the Ford Foundation with billions to give away to good causes. Just saying it might be possible to replace her but only if she was perfectly happy to be replaced.
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Is anyone taking notes? We need to get these ideas to Biden’s people by morning if possible.
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The blog?
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Bob, why would you say “As usual, NYC puts words in my mouth that I did not say” in response to my comment that “It seems strange to judge someone’s performance based on how they appear.” ?
“It seems strange to judge someone’s performance based on how they appear.”
What words did I put in your mouth with that comment?
And what’s with your double standard?
Did speduktr put words in your mouth, too? Or did you just find a chance to gratuitously insult me again and find it too much fun to resist?
“I did not say that he was incompetent.” In response to speduktr
“I never said anything about his being a fool.” In response to speduktr
Do you frequently respond to people by accusing them of putting words in your mouth, or is that just something that speduktr and I are guilty of?
If your insults are intended to drive me from this blog, you got it. Just say the word.
Because I have no interest in being constantly insulted by your double standard where you accuse me of doing the very thing you often do yourself. I have no doubt I have (accidentally I hope) been guilty of putting words in your mouth and I’m sorry if I do, but people who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones. Just say the word, Bob, and I am out of here. I am just about done with this blog and it’s not worth it knowing Bob will usually fling some gratuitous insult and then justify it by telling me that I deserve it.
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NYC, you said that I judged his behavior. I did not judge his behavior. So, you are attributing to me speech that I did not engage in.
Again
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NYC. You do this again and again. You attribute to me things I did not say. Then you get furious at me for having said those things that I did not say. LOL
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It’s difficult for some of us to accept, but people generally reach their cognitive peak much earlier than 80 or even 50.
There are rare exceptions (Isaac Newton), but he was pretty exceptional.
So that Biden is most probably past his cognitive prime is really not a debatable subject.
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Let’s accept as a given that both Biden and Trump are past their cognitive prime. DeSantis is at his cognitive prime. He’s also mean, vindictive, racist, homophobic, cruel, and spiteful. Maybe it’s character that matters most.
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No doubt, but not being at his cognitive peak does not mean incompetent. I can think of more than one person at their “cognitive peak” that I wouldn’t trust further than I could throw them.
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DeSatan is at his cognitive prime. So are Cruz, Hawley, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Bobert. Yikes!
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DeSadist is at his sadistic prime.
And Trump is at his indictment prime.
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I guess that should really be “Trump is at his indictative prime”
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Here is an example of how we all get snookered.
Why does it matter if Biden is at his “cognitive peak”?
Did we ever discuss whether Bernie Sanders was at his “cognitive peak” in 2020? Newsflash: he wasn’t. Elizabeth Warren was also not at her “cognitive peak”. Trump is not at his “cognitive peak”.
If Sanders or Warren were the nominees, I have no doubt that the Republicans would try the “cognitive peak” narrative along with a bunch of others to see which one our side helped amplify.
NO ONE defending Biden has ever said he is at his cognitive peak. They said Biden is not TOO old because his PERFORMANCE has been good despite being old.
Bernie Sanders and AOC, whose judgement of whether Biden is “TOO old” is supposedly not trustworthy because they are “political” (which is frankly a slur on their judgement and character), endorsed Biden for re-election. If they thought Biden was “too old”, they would not have.
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It’s pretty clear now that barring a catastrophe Biden will be the Democratic candidate for President. I see no advantage in continuing to focusing on anything but his strengths. We need to repeat over and over again a narrative that highlights his policy successes on the national and international front. Who can point to a president in recent memory that has faced anywhere near as many challenges as Biden and managed to actually move the country forward.
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Bob, you began responses to speduktr twice by saying
I did not say that he was incompetent.”
“I never said anything about his being a fool.”
Was speduktr “putting words in your mouth”, or do you have a double standard where you take a comment I made that was obviously a response to speduktr (since I started by naming her!) where I don’t even mention your name, and you use it to gratuitously attack me?
But I leave you all to it, because I have no interest in my replies being parsed over for something that Bob can take offense at and then use as an excuse to be nasty and discourteous to me.
I never needed anyone to like me and no doubt my long posts are annoying. I don’t care if people disagree but I expect some measure of courtesy instead of snide personal attacks. Bob, you have a double standard. You were perfectly polite when other people like speduktr supposedly put words in your mouth: you began to replies to speduktr with the phrases “I did not say….” “I never said….” and then you wrote a perfectly reasonable response with no snide personal comments about her.
My kid is aging out of K-12 and for years I just ignored all that subtle nastiness where a response to me included some gratuitous personal attack. But I’m tired of it.
You have made me clear you don’t want parents like me on your side, and I’ve finally had enough of your unkindness and lack of empathy just because you don’t particularly like someone’s style.
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speduktr,
“We need to repeat over and over again a narrative that highlights his policy successes on the national and international front.”
I had to post one last time to tell your that your comment at 12:46pm says it all. Thank you so much as I have enjoyed reading your insightful comments. We have disagreed, but I always found you respectful and kind.
The entire reply above is brilliant and I believe you just set out a very simple and easy to follow recipe for the only way that the Democrats can win. Unfortunately, I fear that most people won’t follow it.
Thank you again.
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I think retired teacher said it best way back when. I don’t find myself making assumptions about what he/she is saying. That’s not a comment about anyone else’s style, but for me some comments leave themselves open to interpretation in a way that the writer may have had no intention of implying. Back yard fences can be far better avenues for conversation,…or not.
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This is hysterical, you are all paying 5,000-10,000 more a year. Everythinggggg is expensive, Biden falls asleep, cannot speak 2 sentences, does not take questions. Gives billions to ukraine nearly trillions, gave billions of weapons to middle east, son and biden are compromsied, cant figure out cocaine in white house, crime is through the roof, we are near ww3, and people are just ok with this? Trump is the problem with cheap gas, oil, no wars, jobs back here, closed border, tougher on crime.
You guys are hilarious, ohhhh Trump is racist, fascist,blah blah, he ia narcirsistic thats for sure.
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I would like today you are hilarious, but I find you just sad.
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So, 78 felony counts against your hero the rapist criminal traitor, Josh. Not looking so good there, buddy. Maybe you can go visit him in prison, take him some orange tan in a can to match his jump suit.
And so much gratitude to President Biden for standing up a) for Ukraine and b) for the NATO alliance and c) for international law against the INDICTED INTERNATIONAL WAR CRIMINAL Vladimir Putin.
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78 felony counts
You bet I’m laughing.
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Speaking of mental acuity, do you think Trump can even count that high?
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lol
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Trump likes to surround himself with lawyers but what he really needs most is accountants to keep track of all the indictments.
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He is such a racist creep, Trump.
In a 1991 book, John O’Donnell, the former president of the Trump Plaza Hotel & Casino, said Trump had told him: “Black guys counting my money! I hate it. The only kind of people I want counting my money are short guys that wear yarmulkes every day.” He later called O’Donnell a “loser” in an interview with Playboy, but allowed that, “The stuff O’Donnell wrote about me is probably true.”
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https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=10231353465607055&set=a.1200477179262
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This was quite a thread.
My own views are below, and I think most of them are uncontroversial, at least among people who don’t support Trump:
First, Biden is far enough past his “cognitive peak” that his age is a liability, both in terms of his re-electability and what most voters (certainly I) would want from a U.S. President. That does not mean his age is disqualifying (see point #2 below). But it is a liability, not an asset.
Second, Biden has been a good and competent President, and he likely will be a good and competent President in his next term, with the significant caveat of “health permitting.”
Third, Trump is also old, and in addition, he’s a piece of garbage who is unfit for office.
Fourth, Biden in any condition is preferable to Trump.
Fifth, some of us may wish that nobody speak of Biden’s age. But people will speak of Biden’s age. His age is not something that nobody would even notice in the absence of Republican attacks. It is obvious. And much as some of us may wish to control what other people say, ultimately, you can’t. (And thank goodness for that.)
Sixth, as concerned as we may be about how “the narrative” about Biden is shaped, absolutely nothing that someone types in the comments section of this blog will have any effect on that narrative.
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I agree that his age is more a liability than an asset, so let’s not belabor the point. If you are trying to sell a product, you don’t list all the things that might be a turnoff other than really quickly and softly at the end of stupid drug commercials because the law makes you. I hope we are interested in selling the Biden brand. I am not going to dwell on his or shortcomings. Everyone knows he is in his sunset years as is Trump. What do we gain by dwelling on it? NOTHING! He has accomplished so much that needs to be reiterated over and over again.
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See point 6, though. We are free to speak openly here, which is its own reward.
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Absolutely! I would feel better if we were talking freely in my living room, though. In this world it is hard not to be a little paranoid.
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If he is going to be the candidate, then we should give him our full support. The possibility of Trump or DeSantis is too grim to imagine.
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