Fred LeBrun of the Albany Times Union says that time is running out for Cuomo. The angry parents who lead the opt out movement have pushed him into a corner. He has tie to recover. But if he is playing tricks, the movement will come roaring back in Spring 2016.
LeBrun writes:

While we haven’t a clue even at this late date who among a kennel full of Republicans is likely to challenge Hillary for the job, short of a major cosmic collapse we can be assured there will be no President Cuomo next November.
For a fiercely ambitious politician with the highest aspirations, Andrew Cuomo has to be bitterly disappointed at the trajectory of his once-promising career, which is pointed at his toes. He isn’t even remotely in the national conversation anymore. And even if he were to turn it around, the modern American political reality is even a George W. Bush gets two terms, so the earliest Cuomo could muster up a run of his own is for 2024. He’d be 65, still young enough. But between now and then, as Mario used to muse, a pope can be born.
Besides, Andrew will have to survive two New York gubernatorial elections to stay in the game. The thought of that is daunting enough, a reminder of his precipitous fall in popularity right here at home. Andrew Cuomo has been governed by the polls. Now the polls are burying him. On ethics and education he gets deeply failing grades from the public, and these are two categories about which the public cares deeply.
At the least, federal prosecutor Preet Bharara is making a fool of the governor every time there’s a new conviction of a legislator, which seems to be a perpetual motion machine. Remember, the governor with characteristic hubris proclaimed he’d cleaned up political Albany. Bharara is showing us how very silly and ineffectual the governor’s efforts have proven to be. Bharara has also taken the cocksure out of the governor’s step, the brash arrogance. Now, what Andrew can do to get Preet off his case may be out of his control.
But on reforming the reform of public education in New York, Gov. Cuomo created the problem. He can resolve it. But he’s going to have to work a lot harder at it than he has to reverse tumbling poll numbers because he’s lost the trust of the electorate on this. Getting it back will not be easy. Nor is a meaningful reversal amenable to shortcuts. The good news for the governor is that this sort of dilemma plays to his strong suit, adeptly moving pieces to achieve a particular result.
However, the time line is working against the governor.
Let’s cut right to the chase: the penalty if he fails. A manure wagon load of rejection from irate parents across the state as Opt Out numbers soar. The sleeping giant is the electorate rebelling, about the worst nightmares any politician can imagine, because what began as the forceful and effective rejection of the governor’s education policy can easily enough morph into a rejection of the governor himself.