Jan Resseger, who spent many years as an advocate for children and social justice, reviews the effects of Trump’s promise of mass deportations on the children of immigrants. Others look at the economic costs of his promise. Jan considers the human costs. Please open the link to read her post in full.
She writes:
On Tuesday, the NY Times’ Dana Goldstein rather blandly reported that the nation’s largest school district, the New York City Public Schools, has now sent guidance to school principals to prepare them for President-elect Trump’s threatened immigration raids:
“If immigration agents arrive on the doorstep of a New York City public school, principals have been told what to do. Ask the officers to wait outside, and call a school district lawyer. The school system has enrolled about 40,000 recent immigrant students since 2022. Now, as President-elect Donald J. Trump prepares to take office with promises to deport millions of undocumented immigrants, the district has shared with school staff a protocol to try to shield students who have a tenuous legal status. In a December letter to principals, Emma Vadehra, the district’s chief operating officer, wrote, ‘We hope using this protocol will never be necessary.’ Still, New York and some other school districts across the country are readying educators and immigrant families for a potential wave of deportations.”
Goldstein’s interest seems more centered on the challenges these students have presented for the school districts serving new immigrant families, however, than on the coming trauma if Trump’s threatened raids actually become a reality: “Public schools serving clusters of migrant children have already dealt with a dizzying set of challenges in recent years, as an influx of hundreds of thousands of migrants crossed the southern border. Some are educating students who speak Indigenous languages and may have never before been enrolled in formal education. Others are trying to prod teenagers to class, when they may face intense pressure to earn money. And many have assisted newly arrived families with finding shelter, food and winter clothes. Now, these schools are facing an additional challenge: convincing parents to send their children to class when some are so anxious about deportation that they are reluctant to separate from their children for even part of the day.”
Of course, public schools, no matter their location, are expected to provide appropriate services for all the children in the community, and most are prepared with qualified English as a Second Language teachers. While 40,000 new immigrant students would overwhelm most local school districts, the NYC public schools serve approximately a million students every day and were likely well prepared. One wonders if Goldstein remembers the chaos that schools faced during immigration raids back in 2019.
More realistically, Chalkbeat‘s Kalyn Belsha has explored some recent history to remind readers about what happens when a massive immigration raid at a local industry disrupts the community’s public schools and terrifies children and adolescents: “When immigration agents raided chicken processing plants in central Mississippi in 2019, they arrested nearly 700 undocumented workers—many of them parents of children enrolled in local schools. Teens got frantic texts to leave class and find their younger siblings. Unfamiliar faces whose names weren’t on the pick-up list showed up to take children home. School staff scrambled to make sure no child went home to an empty house, while the owner of a local gym threw together a temporary shelter for kids with nowhere else to go. In the Scott County School District, a quarter of the district’s Latino students, around 150 children, were absent from school the next day. When dozens of kids continued to miss school, staff packed onto school buses and went door to door with food, trying to reassure families that it was safe for their children to return. Academics were on hold for weeks, said Tony McGee, the district’s superintendent at the time. ‘We went into kind of a Mom and Dad mode and just cared for kids,’ McGee said. While some children bounced back quickly, others were shaken for months. ‘You could tell there was still some worry on kids’ hearts.’”
In an important December 18, 2024 update that considered President-elect Trump’s threatened immigration raids after he takes office in January, Belsha described the struggle school districts will possibly face: “For three decades, federal policy has limited immigration arrests at or near schools, treating the places where children learn as ‘sensitive’ or ‘protected’ areas. But President-elect Donald Trump likely will rescind that policy soon after his return to the White House, according to recent reporting from NBC News. That could open the door for immigration agents to more frequently stop parents as they drop their kids off at school, or for interactions with school police to lead to students and their parents being detained. Educators and advocates for immigrant children worry that would create an environment of fear that could deter families from bringing their children to school or participating in school events. That could, in turn, interrupt kids’ learning and make it harder for educators to build trusting relationships with immigrant families.”
In her December report, Belsha also provides important context for concern about Trump’ threatened immigration raids: “An estimated 4.4 million U.S.-born children have at least one undocumented parent, and an estimated 733,000 school aged kids are undocumented themselves. Other students may have authorization to live in the United States but hold temporary immigration statuses that Trump has threatened to revoke. Researchers estimate that half a million school-age children have arrived in the U.S. just in the last two years. Federal law generally overrides state and local statutes, and immigration agents have broad authority to detain people they suspect of being in the country illegally.” She adds, however, “Nevertheless, several large school districts already have mapped or expanded policies they crafted during the first Trump administration to reassure students and parents… Trump left the sensitive locations policy intact during his first term, but won re-election with a series of hardline immigration proposals, including a plan for mass deportations.”

And, a BOLD MAYOR would stand up in support of the district’s stance. Oh, wait, Eric Adams is in Mara Lago begging for a pardon.
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What do you think of the Laken Riley Act? Enough Democrats support it that it’s likely to become law.
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Yet another posting advocating for open borders.
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Your post is advocating for closed minds. Immigration is one reason for our vibrant economy. Despite some initial costs when they arrive, they pay taxes and help underwrite social services they can never collect. Immigrants provide a net plus to the American economy. “Open borders” is a right wing talking point. BTW Biden deported more people than Trump during his term. https://www.epi.org/publication/u-s-benefits-from-immigration/
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As a group, low-income people – both citizens and illegal immigrants – receive far more in public benefits than they pay in taxes. That’s a designed feature of a progressive income tax system. Up to around 2007, almost all prominent Democrats publicly recognized this economic reality. Low information people who know nothing about economics and taxes – e.g. many retired teachers – have never been exposed to these facts by their exclusively left-wing sources of information – including their unions. The economics of illegal immigration have not changed over the last 20 years, but the politics have. Case in point: Paul Krugman vs. Paul Krugman.
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/paul-krugman-immigration-economy
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Undocumented immigrants are not eligible for most federal benefits.
https://search.app/p3dgbEK7Fa6s3Eei6
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Immigrants–legal and undocumented–generated $1.6 trillion in economic activity.
https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/how-does-immigration-affect-us-economy#:~:text=According%20to%20an%20American%20Immigration,which%20such%20data%20is%20available.
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Undocumented immigrants are barred from most government benefits:
Restrictions on Access to Federal Public Benefits for Noncitizens
Noncitizens—a term that covers immigrants of all statuses except for naturalized citizens—are generally ineligible for federally funded programs including the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), Medicaid, Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), Supplemental Security Income (SSI), and Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (TANF) if they are not refugees or in a refugee-like status and have not spent five years with a green card (or other such status). Children can access SNAP during their first five years on a green card, and in some states that have elected to supplement federal coverage with their own resources, children and pregnant women can access Medicaid and/or CHIP during their first five years as legal permanent residents.
The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC), which provides nutrition assistance for young children and pregnant and postpartum women, is one of the few major public benefits programs for which immigrants are eligible regardless of immigration status.
Some other programs that provide additional support, such as Medicare and Social Security, have eligibility requirements that naturally restrict immigrant access compared to that of the U.S. born. For instance, Medicare requires 40 quarters of qualified work (about 10 years) to be eligible, in addition to legal status, and so is unavailable for some immigrants—even naturalized citizens—who arrive at older ages.
Unauthorized immigrants face the greatest restrictions on benefits use. Other than WIC, unauthorized immigrants are generally ineligible for federally funded supports except for emergency Medicaid, primary and preventive health care at Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs), free/reduced school lunch, and short-term access to shelters and soup kitchens in emergency situations.
https://www.migrationpolicy.org/content/immigrants-public-benefits-us#:~:text=Other%20than%20WIC%2C%20unauthorized%20immigrants,soup%20kitchens%20in%20emergency%20situations.
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The libertarian CATO Institute –not liberal or Democratic–published this report:
https://taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/do-immigrants-pay-taxes#:~:text=According%20to%20a%202023%20analysis,than%20they%20receive%20in%20government
Like all other residents, immigrants of all legal statuses are required to pay income, payroll, property, sales, or other taxes throughout the US. For example, most immigrants with wage earnings have income and payroll taxes deducted from their wages throughout the year and must comply with the IRS rules to file their taxes each year. Those who are homeowners or purchase most goods and services must pay state and local property and sales taxes on their expenditures.
There are only a few, specific tax liability exemptions for certain immigrants. Taxpayers that, for IRS purposes, are considered “nonresident aliens,” are exempt from paying Social Security and Medicare taxes on wages. This includes, but is not limited to, students that are employed under eligible conditions of their F-1, J-1, or M-1 visa status, specifically those who have been in the US for under five calendar years. These individuals are, however, still liable for all other federal, state, and local taxes at standard tax rates. And they have limited eligibility for certain tax benefits. For example, “nonresident aliens” are not allowed to claim the federal earned income tax credit (EITC), which largely benefits families with low to moderate incomes, or the lifetime learning credit, which can help offset certain educational expenses.
Since the IRS does not require taxpayers to report their nationality or legal status when filing their taxes, it is difficult to measure total tax payments, benefits, or liabilities of immigrants. Per the American Immigration Council’s analysis of US Census Bureau data, immigrant-led households in the US paid $492 billion in federal, state, and local taxes in 2019.
Contrary to common assumptions, undocumented immigrants, or those without a valid and unexpired visa or other form of legal status, also pay federal, state, and local taxes. Because they are not eligible for Social Security numbers (SSNs), the IRS requires these individuals to comply with federal tax reporting by issuing them individual taxpayer identification numbers (ITINs). Some survivors of domestic violence, Cuban and Haitian entrants, student visa holders, and certain spouses and children of those with employment visas also use ITINs. According to the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration, there were 5.4 million active ITINs in January 2021.
Per the IRS’ Taxpayer Advocate Service, over 2.5 million federal tax returns were filed by ITIN filers in 2019, with a total reported tax liability of nearly $6 billion. Additional estimates suggest that undocumented immigrants pay nearly $12 billion in annual state and local sales, excise, income, and property taxes (Gee et al. 2017). Undocumented immigrants also pay billions of dollars in federal payroll taxes that are withheld from their wages, even though they are not eligible to benefit from the Social Security and Medicare programs these revenues support (Goss et al. 2013).
Recent research from TPC has highlighted that even when certain undocumented immigrants are made eligible for tax benefits, such as the child tax credit (CTC), they can face various administrative barriers, including a maze of household eligibility requirements and processing delays from the IRS (Godinez-Puig, Boddupalli, and Mucciolo 2022).
Frequently debated are the short-term and long-term economic impacts of immigration in the US (NASEM 2017). According to a 2023 analysis by the Cato Institute, immigrants overall have a larger positive fiscal impact than native-born Americans when accounting for both groups’ incomes, taxes paid, and government benefits received; this is, in part, because immigrants on average pay more in taxes than they receive in government benefits at federal, state, and local government levels combined (Nowrasteh 2023).
Updated January 2024
CONCLUSION:
According to a 2023 analysis by the Cato Institute, immigrants overall have a larger positive fiscal impact than native-born Americans when accounting for both groups’ incomes, taxes paid, and government benefits received; this is, in part, because immigrants on average pay more in taxes than they receive in government benefits at federal, state, and local government levels combined (Nowrasteh 2023).
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What a laugh: Diane Ravitch quotes the pro-open borders, Koch-financed libertarian think tank Cato as an unbiased authority on immigration matters. The ultimate goal of the open borders crowd is to grant citizenship to ALL illegal immigrants, which would then make them eligible for ALL public welfare benefits. That would beyond all doubt result ina net loss to the public treasury.
But if you are going to approvingly cite Cato, does that mean you also support their proposals for vouchers for all K-12 students and their opposition to many of the teachers’ union ideas that you support?
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I quoted many sources, not just CATO. I am not a libertarian. No, I do not support vouchers. I support the rule of law. I believe that immigrants should enter the country legally.
Wait until the farmers start weeping about having no one to plant or pick their crops. When the slaughter houses shut down. When the contractors can’t find anyone to do their dangerous work. When the tourist industry complains that they can’t find anyone to clean their rooms, wash up in the restaurants, wait on tables, etc.
Will you take a minimum wage job to help them out?
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The crime rate is higher for native-born Americans than for immigrants. Maybe we should deport criminals no matter where they were born. If anyone wants them.
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I taught ESL in New York state for more than three and a half decades. During that time I never had to prepare my students for immigration raids. It is sad that innocent young people are the victims of mass hysteria and politically driven policy surrounding immigrants. Most of our immigrants from south of the border only want to work and provide for their families, and most of them are law abiding residents. As with any group, there are always a few that break the law, and I have no problem with any lawless immigrants getting deported. Raids on schools and innocent young people, many of whom have already faced trauma in their home country, would be a low blow, even for Trump. I am grateful I never had to prepare my students for a raid. It has to be a heartbreaking experience for all.
I sincerely hope the DACA young people are allowed to remain here. Due to our failure to enact any coherent immigration policy for decades, these young people have been in legal limbo for years. They are taxpayers, own businesses, and some of them are college graduates with good jobs. A few may even own their own homes. At this point they are acculturated residents that have more in common with Americans than the people in their homeland.
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Some of the DACA young people were brought to the U.S. as infants. They know no other country.
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I have a friend who is married to a DACA recipient. They were overjoyed when President Biden had amnesty on the table for DACA recipients. They were so excited they could finally relax after the nightmare of tRumps first presidency. But of course, the GOP stopped the bill from going through. Alex has been here since he was 10 months old. His two younger siblings were both born here, so he could easily be deported, along with his parents, while his siblings stay. He is a college graduate and does important work.
The idea of knocking on school doors and demanding immigrant children be removed is not only outlandish, but heartless and cruel. I remember a raid in one of the southern states at a chicken processing plant, during the first tRump administration. Children got home from school and their parents were just gone. John Oliver did an entire episode about the raids and how not just illegal immigrants were rounded up, but legal as well.
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Sadly the cruelty is the point . I think we can agree that we need to reform our immigration system,but since the GOP and Trump don’t want that, because it’s been a winning issue for them we will get more cruelty and chaos instead.
We will also get more detention facilities built and operated by Trump donors.
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That is why Trump rejected a bipartisan border deal. He campaigned on division and hate, and it worked for him, unfortunately.
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The children of DACA residents are American citizens who are like other second generation immigrants. Some of them may not even fluently speak their parents’ first language. According to Trump’s border czar, Tom Homan, he would be happy to deport them all.
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Reading Diane’s responses is refreshing. A mic drop.
Picking away at dozens of responses does not negate everything. Trump reality is one outlandish disrupter boast as no other research, expertise, or person matters to him. Sadly, millions have drunk the kool aid or dismiss it as “oh, that’s just trump being trump. He’ll change his mind or not do anything after all.”
In the list of real effects (data) and outcomes of immigration (and poverty) cited, the practical one is “are you going to take the job when that person is deported?”
Remember the last time states (MO) had laws prohibiting teaching reading to a population. How many years to accelerate and catch-up learning then. The best thing we can do for kids here whether you want them or not is to educate them along with learning norms and responsibility.
As for Trump scuttling the Immigration bill – of course he did. It was bipartisan. He needed to test his loyalists loyalty (“defeat it”) and try (ha, wait and see) to pass one so only he is the smartest person who could do such a thing
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I can only worry for the kids I have taught, the people I Have met working counters in stores, and the carpenters that I used to work with. Will the coming administration really go after all these people? I heard this morning that the prison industry was gearing up for halcyon days, adding beds here and there, investing in a rosy future. When one group of people makes a living depriving another of its freedom, we have gone awry.
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I read that about 15% of the construction trades are immigrants. Trump’s actions will exacerbate the housing shortage.
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The NYT has reported that ICE raids will begin in Chicago starting Tuesday (the day after the inauseation) running through the following Monday. Meanwhile, WBEZ reported that the Chicago City Council passed a vote whereby the Chicago Police Department would not aid ICE/provide information.
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Good luck, Chicago. The ICE raids begin Tuesday. Parents and grandparents will be seized. American-born children will be left behind or deported with their families.
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